Odds of winning 2024 NCAAs

[Jeff Hopkins '82]

Q's loss stung (like a deer tick?). They dropped from 7 to 9 and we lost bonus points.

Gives me mixed feelings.  I want the bastards to lose simply because they're assholes, but their winning helps us if they can move up in the PWR.  

What to do?  What to do?

[Trotsky]

What to do?  What to do?

What to do is catch them in ComOpp, beat them in Placid to flip the comparison, and jump them in PWR.

[Trotsky]

Cornell NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

Code Select Expand


[b]  1R   QF   SF    F   Title[/b]
 .73  .33  .15  .07  .03


[The Rancor]

Maybe with home ice on the line, we get better scheduling... maybe even a proper number of games played each season... better SOS... Better RPI... I'd rather have the odd chance at winning in Denver with the nearly same chance of winning at Lynah.

This logic doesn't make sense though. The entire point of RPI is to compare two teams who play different schedules. RPI is a function of SOS and win%. The better our opponents, the better our SOS but the lower our win%. If RPI accurately measures how good a team is, then team X in Hockey East and team Y in the CCHA should be on equal footing.

I get the point about playing more games/starting the season earlier, but does this actually impact RPI over the course of a season? It's leaves our RPI based on a smaller sample of games, but that shouldn't hurt us all else being equal. It probably disadvantages us the first weekend of the season against a team that already has games under its belt, but on the other hand, Cornell has the benefit of focusing its preparation on that singular team for weeks, and Cornell can go into its opening weekend without injuries. Basically what I'm saying is that the silly Ivy League restrictions on our schedule shouldn't impact our RPI much if at all.

I understand what you are saying. My point, or hope really, is that with more than 29 games, some of them might be against a Wisconsin or Denver, but just as likely it would be a Niagara or Canisius. A series against one or two more teams from conferences we don't always see.

[Trotsky]

We're alone in 11th... in KRACH.

[George64]

All and all, not bad for a rebuilding year!  Thank you for an exciting season! Let's Go Red!