Opponent and other news and results 2025-2026

Started by Chris '03, August 08, 2025, 09:36:19 PM

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andyw2100

#780
Quote from: andyw2100 on March 09, 2026, 06:37:48 PMSo how about looking at the other side of things...

If we win out how high are we likely to climb? Would a 2-seed (top eight) be pretty much assured? What if we only make it to the final game, but lose in the finals?

Optimistic minds want to know...

In the McNally mailbag article that Stereax linked to, McNally wrote:

"And hey, if Cornell plays its cards right and wins out, and some other dominoes fall, the Red could even inch up to a No. 2 seed — then we could be having a different conversation. Cornell has a 36% chance of shifting up from a No. 3 seed to a No. 2, per College Hockey News."

I couldn't find it directly on the CHN site, but a Google search indicates CHN has Cornell at 22% to win out.

I have to think that if we are 36% to be a two seed - 9%, 8%, 6%, 12%,  for finishing 5,6,7,8 respectively in NPI (guessing rounding accounts for the 36% McNally reported vs. the 35% the numbers in the matrix add up to) - then winning out through and including the championship game probably puts us pretty solidly at 8 or higher.

Edit: I found the 22% on the CHN site. It is in the same probability matrix I pulled the top 8 NPI percentages from. They have columns for IN, At Large, and Automatic Qualifier (winning the league tournament.) They show Cornell at 99.4% IN, 78% AL, and 22% AQ.

(Really useful stuff on CHN, Adam! Thank you!)

stereax

Quote from: andyw2100 on March 12, 2026, 01:19:24 PM
Quote from: andyw2100 on March 09, 2026, 06:37:48 PMSo how about looking at the other side of things...

If we win out how high are we likely to climb? Would a 2-seed (top eight) be pretty much assured? What if we only make it to the final game, but lose in the finals?

Optimistic minds want to know...

In the McNally mailbag article that Stereax linked to, McNally wrote:

"And hey, if Cornell plays its cards right and wins out, and some other dominoes fall, the Red could even inch up to a No. 2 seed — then we could be having a different conversation. Cornell has a 36% chance of shifting up from a No. 3 seed to a No. 2, per College Hockey News."

I couldn't find it directly on the CHN site, but a Google search indicates CHN has Cornell at 22% to win out.

I have to think that if we are 36% to be a two seed - 9%, 8%, 6%, 12%,  for finishing 5,6,7,8 respectively in NPI (guessing rounding accounts for the 36% McNally reported vs. the 35% the numbers in the matrix add up to) - then winning out through and including the championship game probably puts us pretty solidly at 8 or higher.

Edit: I found the 22% on the CHN site. It is in the same probability matrix I pulled the top 8 NPI percentages from. They have columns for IN, At Large, and Automatic Qualifier (winning the league tournament.) They show Cornell at 99.4% IN, 78% AL, and 22% AQ.

(Really useful stuff on CHN, Adam! Thank you!)
Being a 2 seed would be AWESOME. Hopefully we pull it off.
Law '27, Section C denizen, liveblogging from Lynah!

Trotsky

Just gotta play em one game at a time...

Jeff Hopkins '82

Quote from: Trotsky on March 12, 2026, 05:21:19 PMJust gotta play em one game at a time...

"Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.


Trotsky

After their Friday wins, Princeton is 13-2-1 at home and Dartmouth is 15-1-2.  That'll play.

andyw2100

Not sure why but the Clarkson vs. Quinnipiac game today is a 4:00 PM start.

Snowball

Quote from: BearLover on March 13, 2026, 09:14:36 PM
Quote from: Snowball on March 07, 2026, 06:25:58 PM4-0

Thank you Union!!
?


Yes, I wanted Harvard for the atmosphere. You may have been right that a different opponent would have been easier — but we'll never know.

My feeling is that the issue isn't the opponent; it's that our play needs to be a bit sharper.

Let's see what Cornell can do tonight.

stereax

What a strange feed for UConn-BU. A camera on the in-rink clock in the corner?
Law '27, Section C denizen, liveblogging from Lynah!

BearLover

Rough weekend so far but at least BU's season is over.

stereax

Quote from: BearLover on March 14, 2026, 03:30:39 PMRough weekend so far but at least BU's season is over.
Part of me is sad (friends, prospects on teams I like)... but overwhelmingly I am ecstatic I get to rub this in my friend's face.

Speaking of, they said UConn was 14th in the NPI, I think? How does that change after this one?
Law '27, Section C denizen, liveblogging from Lynah!

BearLover

Quote from: stereax on March 14, 2026, 03:38:55 PM
Quote from: BearLover on March 14, 2026, 03:30:39 PMRough weekend so far but at least BU's season is over.
Part of me is sad (friends, prospects on teams I like)... but overwhelmingly I am ecstatic I get to rub this in my friend's face.

Speaking of, they said UConn was 14th in the NPI, I think? How does that change after this one?
I think they end up behind Cornell in NPI no matter what (unless they win HE). So they can get an at-large, but Cornell gets in ahead of them, unless they win HE.

Speaking of, if Providence wins HE, we are in the NCAAs. But that can't happen until next weekend. Providence plays Merrimack today in the HE quarterfinals.

pjd8

Quote from: stereax on March 14, 2026, 03:38:55 PM
Quote from: BearLover on March 14, 2026, 03:30:39 PMRough weekend so far but at least BU's season is over.
Part of me is sad (friends, prospects on teams I like)... but overwhelmingly I am ecstatic I get to rub this in my friend's face.

Speaking of, they said UConn was 14th in the NPI, I think? How does that change after this one?

They were listed as 15th but really tied for 14th with UMass. I still have my window with the rankings from this morning to get a feel for how the NPI shakes out with all the games today.

sah67

Q and Clarkson tied 1-1 in the second period in a game that's as stylistically different to our game 1 as possible: nasty scrums after every whistle, run-and-gun odd man rushes each way, goalies getting run over...

stereax

Quote from: sah67 on March 14, 2026, 05:37:50 PMQ and Clarkson tied 1-1 in the second period in a game that's as stylistically different to our game 1 as possible: nasty scrums after every whistle, run-and-gun odd man rushes each way, goalies getting run over...
I gotta watch it when I get home on demand then. Fuckin love a scrummy game. So long as we're not in it.
Law '27, Section C denizen, liveblogging from Lynah!