2005-2006 PWR - playoffs edition!

[nyc94]

I'm getting 5th with no bonus and 33-22-11, 6th with 3-2-1.

[Chris \'03]

Now t5th with the 33/22/11 bonus in play. The bottoms of the bracket is getting infested with HEA teams. At first glance looks like Worcester could be CU/Maine and BU/UNO.

1     Minnesota    30     1     27-6-5     .7763     1     .5853*
2    Wisconsin    29    3    25-9-3     .7162    2    .5777*
3t    Michigan State    27    9    22-11-8    .6341    3    .5629
3t    Boston U    27    7    23-9-4            .6944    4    .5628
5t    Cornell         25    6    19-7-4     .7000    8    .5501
5t    Miami            25    2    25-7-4     .7500    5    .5627
7t    Harvard    24    11    19-11-2    .6250    6    .5557
7t    North Dakota    24    12    25-15-1    .6220    7    .5541
9    Michigan    22    20    20-13-5    .5921    9    .5478
10    Colorado C    21    17    24-15-2    .6098    10    .5470
11    New Hampshire    20    14    20-11-7    .6184    12    .5417
12    Maine            19    5    26-10-2    .7105    11    .5456
13t    Boston College    18    8    22-11-3    .6528    13    .5414
13t    Nebraska-Omaha    18    22    20-14-6    .5750    14    .5376
15    Dartmouth    15    16    18-11-2    .6129    15    .5357
16t    Denver     14    21    21-15-3    .5769    17    .5297
16t    Northern Mich    14    18    22-14-2    .6053    18    .5278
18t    Ferris State    13    29    17-15-8    .5250    19    .5262
18t    Holy Cross    13    4    24-9-2            .7143    16    .5300*
20    Alaska-F    11    28    18-16-5    .5256    20    .5251
21    St. Cloud     10    23    20-15-4    .5641    21    .5232
22    St. Lawrence    8    25t    20-16-2    .5526    23    .5183*
23t    Ohio State    7    37    15-19-5    .4487    24    .5130
23t    Vermont    7    25t    18-14-6    .5526    25    .5089
25t    Lake Superior    6    30t    15-14-7    .5139    26    .5087
25t    Colgate    6    13    20-11-6    .6216    22    .5217
27    Providence    4    30t    17-16-3    .5139    27    .5087
28t    Minnesota St    3    33    17-18-4    .4872    28    .5041
28t    Sacred Heart    3    15    20-12-2    .6176    30    .5003
30    Bemidji State    2    19    20-13-3    .5972    33    .4947
31    Mercyhurst    0    10    21-12-1    .6324    29    .5022

[Tub(a)]

Obligatory question:

Does Cornell have shot at a 1st seed?

[abmarks]

deleted...erroneous

[Omie]

With 33/22/11 bonus...
[Q]
Rk Team PWR  RPI
1 Minnesota          30  .5853*
2 Wisconsin          29  .5777*
3t Michigan State    27  .5629
3t Boston University 27  .5628
5t Cornell           25  .5501
5t Miami             25  .5627
7t Harvard           24  .5557
7t North Dakota      24  .5541
9 Michigan           22  .5478
10 Colorado College  21  .5470
11 New Hampshire     20  .5417
12 Maine             19  .5456
13t Boston College   18  .5414
13t Nebraska-Omaha   18  .5376
15 Dartmouth         15  .5357
16t Denver           14  .5297
16t Northern Michigan14  .5278 [/Q]

[DeltaOne81]

With 33/22/11 bonus, as of Sunday night:

Initial 1-16, 2-15, etc placings:

Grand Forks:
1 Minn (1)
2 UND (
3 Mich (9)
4 AHA/CHA (16)

Green Bay
1 Wisc (2)
2 Harvard (7)
3 CC (10)
4 AHA/CHA (15)

Albany
1 MSU (3)
2 Miami (6)
3 UNH (11)
4 UNO (14)

Worcester
1 BU (4)
2 Cornell (5)
3 Maine (12)
4 BC (13)

Problems:
3 MSU / 14 UNO
4 BU / 13 BC

Easy fix: Flipping UNO/BC solves both problems.

Grand Forks:
1 Minn (1)
2 UND (
3 Mich (9)
4 AHA/CHA (16)

Green Bay
1 Wisc (2)
2 Harvard (7)
3 CC (10)
4 AHA/CHA (15)

Albany
1 MSU (3)
2 Miami (6)
3 UNH (11)
4 BC (13)

Worcester
1 BU (4)
2 Cornell (5)
3 Maine (12)
4 UNO (14)

BC may not be thrilled with going to Albany instead of Worcester, but big freakin' wah (anyone else notice my comments are getting progressively more sarcastic? )

[jy3]

I am updating the first post as well, so people can just look at that if they want to

bc can complain all they want. after todays selection show for bball, at least they werent screwed like cinci

[calgARI '07]

How about some best and worse case scenario's?  What is the lowest Cornell could finish?  What is the highest?  Is there any possibility of Minnesota or Wisconsin falling out of the top two?

[Lauren '06]

After all this speculation, it's almost weird to think that we'll know for certain in a week.

[DeltaOne81]

[quote calgARI '07]How about some best and worse case scenario's?  What is the lowest Cornell could finish?  What is the highest?  Is there any possibility of Minnesota or Wisconsin falling out of the top two?[/quote]

Ah, *now* is the time to start asking this

Except, well, now is not the time... because its 12:10 am and I need to get to bed. But assuming that JTW or USCHO gets their You Are the Committee script up soon, you can bet you'll have plenty of answers to this in the next few days.

[Dafatone]

Wait... do we somehow win the tiebreaker against Miami?  I thought it was RPI, which we're behind on.

[redGrinch]

[quote Dafatone]Wait... do we somehow win the tiebreaker against Miami?  I thought it was RPI, which we're behind on.[/quote]we win the pairwise comparison against them... we're behind on RPI, but ahead on TUC win % and COP win %.

[jtwcornell91]

http://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/yatc.php

[Tub(a)]

Cornell in 2nd (GO UMD!):

    * Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: Mercyhurst defeats Bentley.
    * Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Holy Cross defeats Connecticut.
    * Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Mercyhurst defeats Holy Cross.
    * CCHA Semifinal #2: Michigan defeats Michigan State.
    * CCHA Semifinal #1: Miami defeats Northern Michigan.
    * CCHA Championship game: Miami defeats Michigan.
    * CCHA Consolation game: Northern Michigan defeats Michigan State.
    * ECAC Semifinal #2: Cornell defeats Colgate.
    * ECAC Semifinal #1: Harvard defeats Dartmouth.
    * ECAC Championship game: Cornell defeats Harvard.
    * ECAC Consolation game: Colgate defeats Dartmouth.
    * Hockey East Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston College.
    * Hockey East Semifinal #1: Boston University defeats New Hampshire.
    * Hockey East Championship game: Boston University defeats Maine.
    * WCHA Play-in #1: Minnesota-Duluth defeats St. Cloud State.
    * WCHA Semifinal #2: Wisconsin defeats North Dakota.
    * WCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Minnesota.
    * WCHA Championship game: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Wisconsin.
    * WCHA Consolation game: Minnesota defeats North Dakota.

Cornell at 13 :`(:

    * Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: Mercyhurst defeats Bentley.
    * Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Holy Cross defeats Connecticut.
    * Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Mercyhurst defeats Holy Cross.
    * CCHA Semifinal #2: Michigan defeats Michigan State.
    * CCHA Semifinal #1: Miami defeats Northern Michigan.
    * CCHA Championship game: Miami defeats Michigan.
    * CCHA Consolation game: Northern Michigan defeats Michigan State.
    * ECAC Semifinal #2: Colgate defeats Cornell.
    * ECAC Semifinal #1: Dartmouth defeats Harvard.
    * ECAC Championship game: Dartmouth defeats Colgate.
    * ECAC Consolation game: Harvard defeats Cornell.
    * Hockey East Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston College.
    * Hockey East Semifinal #1: Boston University defeats New Hampshire.
    * Hockey East Championship game: Boston University defeats Maine.
    * WCHA Play-in #1: St. Cloud State defeats Minnesota-Duluth.
    * WCHA Semifinal #2: Wisconsin defeats North Dakota.
    * WCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats St. Cloud State.
    * WCHA Championship game: Minnesota defeats Wisconsin.
    * WCHA Consolation game: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State.

Curious to see what other extremes people come up with

Used 33/22/11

[Tub(a)]

One more interesting thing:

The most likely finish if we win the semi and lose the final is 8th with Minnesota in 1st. Since Green Bay is slightly closer to Minneapolis than Grand Forks, that would likely put us in Green Bay without Wisconsin. That would be

Minnesota
Cornell
Michigan
Mercyhurst

for a very interesting bracket.

But that is all loser talk :-P