2005-2006 PWR

[Killer]

...and meanwhile Sucks gets to stay in Albany.

So, in the spirit of Bill Maher's "New Rules", here's a new rule:

If you can't regularly fill your own arena, and when you do, most of the fans are rooting against you, then you never get to play in a regional anywhere near home.  You get sent to the most god-forsaken, faraway spot available.

[Ack]

Harvard's got 2 chances in 2 regionals right now.  Little oops from the bracketologist.   ::screwy::

[jy3]

yeah the albany sucks should be tOSU

[oceanst41]

No he just thinks they are that deserving of two first round losses this year :-D

[cth95]

Bracket Inflation? :-)

[jy3]

well pending some late games with the 33/22/11 we are alone at 7th

[jy3]

33/22/11

SLU(T) jumps, SUCKS falls, we rise. neb-o keeps getting it done with a huge win at michigan.


Rk    Team    PWR    Record    RPIRk    W-L-T    Win %    Rk    RPI
1    Wisconsin    29    3    21-7-2    .7333    1    .5931
2    Minnesota    28    4    20-6-5    .7258    2    .5899
3    Miami    27    1    21-6-4    .7419    3    .5734
4    Nebraska-Omaha    25    16    18-11-4    .6061    6    .5554
5    Boston University    24    8 18-9-2    .6552    5    .5586
6t    Colorado College    23    14 19-12-1    .6094    4    .5610
6t    Michigan State    23    10    18-10-7    .6143    7    .5552
8    Cornell    22    5    16-5-4    .7200    8    .5497
9    Michigan    21    19t    18-12-3    .5909    9    .5484
10    Boston College    19    6    19-8-2    .6897    11    .5456
11    Denver    17    11t    18-11-2 .6129    14    .5350
12t    St. Lawrence    16    21    16-11-2    .5862    13    .5360
12t    Maine    16    7    20-10-1 .6613    12    .5441
12t    Ohio State    16    34    14-15-5    .4853    16    .5302
12t    Harvard    16    23    14-10-2    .5769    18    .5283
16t    Alaska-Fairbanks    13    33 13-13-4    .5000    15    .5320
16t    St. Cloud State    13    17t 17-11-3    .5968    20    .5271
16t    North Dakota    13    19t    19-13-1    .5909    10    .5468
19t    Providence    12    25    16-12-2    .5667    19    .5276
19t    New Hampshire    12    17t    16-10-5    .5968    21    .5262
21    Ferris State    9    29    14-12-7    .5303    17    .5284
22    Lake Superior    8    22    15-10-6    .5806    22    .5251
23t    Holy Cross    7    2    21-7-1    .7414    23    .5226
23t    Vermont    7    11t    17-10-4    .6129    24    .5195
25    Northern Michigan    6    27 17-14-2    .5455    27    .5131
26    Dartmouth    5    28    13-11-2    .5385    25    .5169
27    Colgate    4    11t    16-9-6    .6129    26    .5161
28    Clarkson    3    31    14-13-3    .5167    28    .5049
29    Notre Dame    1    38    12-16-3    .4355    29    .5041
30    Sacred Heart    0    9    17-10-1    .6250    30    .5006

[Ken\'70]

Despite the debacle upstate last week we're still in excellent position for eastern ice.  Out of town results loom large in this but let's start with what we control.

If we win tonight we flip the BU comparison by virtue of COP.  We'd then be at 23 comps and tied with BU and MSU, but still 8th overall because we'd still be losing the RPI tie breaker to both.

At this point the Miami-MSU game becomes important.  It's a win-win for us, but one outcome is ultimately better.  If MSU wins then we'll win the Miami comparison because COP flips to us.  We're now at 24 comps, but an MSU win will cause them to pick up their comp with BU, so we'll now be in 7th, still losing the tie with MSU but now ahead of BU, and still heading west.  And MSU will lengthen their RPI lead over us.  I'm rooting for Miami tonight.  Although it won't result in an immediate pickup it will put MSU's RPI within striking distance. Ultimately, winning the MSU comp by virtue of RPI will be more important to us than winning the Miami comp because of COP.

Other significant games tonight include:

Mich over UNO: close the RPI distance with UNO so that their RPI killing visit to WMU next week closes the deal for us.

Brown over Clarkson: maintaining our TUC % helps us defend where we are rather than pick up new comparisons, but we're on the edge in enough of those so we need all the help we can get.  Let's get Clarkson out of TUC.

Colgate over Dartmouth: it will be a longshot for Dartmouth to drop from TUC, but it's still possible.  We also need Colgate to stay TUC.

UNH over BU: winning the BU comparison by RPI is more important than squeaking through on COP.  With BU having 2 left against NU this is very possible.  BU losing again tonight helps a lot.

Maine over BC: We need to keep the slim RPI advantage we have over BC.

UMD over NoDak: If we end up as a 1 seed and NoDak makes the tournament as a low seed, and host, we could still end up heading west.  We want NoDak out.

With the end of the RS in sight, we could very possibly pick up 3 comparisons by then: UNO, BU and MSU - getting us #4 overall.  Even CC and Miami (though probably mutually exclusive with, and less desireable than, MSU) are possible.  Just win.

[Jeff Hopkins '82]

One other thought.  If UND makes it, they'll likely be a 4 seed.  That means that at least one of the AH and CHA teams will stay east.  If we are a 1 seed (unlikely), we might get one of them.  Unless of course they send us west to avoid a WCHA vs WCHA first round match-up.

Oh, never mind.  Just win.

[DeltaOne81]

[quote Jeff Hopkins '82]One other thought.  If UND makes it, they'll likely be a 4 seed.  That means that at least one of the AH and CHA teams will stay east.  If we are a 1 seed (unlikely), we might get one of them.  Unless of course they send us west to avoid a WCHA vs WCHA first round match-up.[/quote]

They'd have to do the latter. Its in the rules.

[ebilmes]

Alone in 8th using 33/22/11. Doesn't seem to have killed us too much (though I don't know the details about comparisons).

[jy3]

33/22/11
DOESNT Look like it hurt too much but it made comparisons that were in reach far from reach now. a loss today and a win next month is better than a win now and a loss then

Rk    Team    PWR    Record    RPI
Rk    W-L-T    Win %    Rk    RPI
1    Minnesota    29    1    21-6-5    .7344    1    .5934
2    Wisconsin    28    3    21-7-3    .7258    2    .5888
3    Miami    27    4    21-7-4    .7188    3    .5701
4t    Boston University    25    7t    19-9-2    .6667    4    .5640
4t    Michigan State    25    10t    19-10-7    .6250    5    .5618
6    Nebraska-Omaha    24    14t    18-11-5    .6029    7    .5546
7    Colorado College    23    9 21-12-1    .6324    6    .5590
8    Cornell    21    5    16-6-4    .6923    11    .5442
9t    Maine    20    6    21-10-1    .6719    8    .5502
9t    Michigan    20    20    18-12-4    .5882    9    .5496
11    Boston College    18    7t    19-9-2    .6667    12    .5421
12t    Ohio State    17    32t    15-15-5    .5000    16    .5316
12t    Harvard    17    19    15-10-2    .5926    14    .5356
14t    St. Lawrence    15    16    17-11-2    .6000    13    .5357
14t    Denver    15    17t    18-12-2    .5938    15    .5342
16    North Dakota    14    14t    20-13-1    .6029    10    .5488
17t    Alaska-Fairbanks    12    32t13-13-5    .5000    18    .5267
17t    Providence    12    24    16-12-2    .5667    17    .5277
17t    New Hampshire    12    22t    16-11-5    .5781    19    .5258
20    St. Cloud State    11    22t 17-12-3    .5781    23    .5206
21    Holy Cross    10    2    21-7-2    .7333    20    .5251
22    Northern Michigan    9    26 18-14-2    .5588    26    .5180
23    Vermont    8    10t    18-10-4    .6250    24    .5194
24    Ferris State    7    31    14-13-7    .5147    21    .5234
25    Lake Superior    5    25    15-11-6    .5625    25    .5185
26t    Colgate    4    17t    16-10-6    .5938    27    .5115
26t    Dartmouth    4    27    14-11-2    .5556    22    .5223
28    Clarkson    2    29    15-13-3    .5323    28    .5035
29    Notre Dame    1    39    12-16-4    .4375    29    .5022
30    Mercyhurst    0    13    17-11-1    .6034    30    .5009

[jkahn]

Things are still pretty fragile (i.e. highly variable) Pairwise.  For example, immediately after the loss last night, we were #10 and Harvard #11, for all of 33/22/11, 3/2/1, and 0/0/0. But with the subsequent BC loss and Michigan tie dropping those two down and the Maine and OSU wins moving those two up, we wound up at #8 and Harvard at #13. It just shows how quick and quirky things move even when you're not playing.  Next week's games are very important to making sure we secure a tournament spot - and Union is especially important to the PWR as they're real close to being a TUC and a Cornell loss would add 0-2 to our TUC record.

[Jeff Hopkins '82]

[quote DeltaOne81][quote Jeff Hopkins '82]One other thought.  If UND makes it, they'll likely be a 4 seed.  That means that at least one of the AH and CHA teams will stay east.  If we are a 1 seed (unlikely), we might get one of them.  Unless of course they send us west to avoid a WCHA vs WCHA first round match-up.[/quote]

They'd have to do the latter. Its in the rules.[/quote]
They could send a CCHA school (especially UNO) to Grand Forks instead of us.  They wouldn't have to woory about attendance if UND made the tourney, and might have a problem with attendance, without an eastern team as a 1 seed there.

[canuck89]

Glad to see St. Lawrence back in the picture.