ECAC 2025

[ice]

4 games are left for each team.  Cornell is currently tied with Dartmouth at 30 points but Dartmouth wins by the first tie breaker.  Cornell needs to move up 2 spots for a 1st round bye.  

With 2 wins, Colgate would reach 40 points.  Colgate wins the tie breaker with Cornell. So, Cornell will need 3 wins plus at least an overtime win to top them. (Cornell = 41 points)
For Union, 2 wins will give them 40 points.  If one of those wins is against Cornell, the best Cornell can do is 39 points so, Union finishes higher.  If the wins are against two other teams, and they win a secondary tie breaker (I don't know if they do) Cornell will again need 3 wins plus at least an overtime win (Cornell = 41 points).  
For Dartmouth, things are obviously better.  Whatever they do, Cornell just has to one up them (Dartmouth wins the tie breaker).  

A best case for Cornell:

Union loses to:  Har, Dar, Cor, Clg = 34 pts
Colgate loses to: Stl, Clk, RPI = 37 pts
Dartmouth loses to: RPI, Brn, Yal = 33 pts

Then Cornell needs only 1 win + 2 pts in OT to finish with 35 pts, or 4th.

A more likely case:
 
Union loses to:  Dar, Cor = 40 pts
Colgate loses to: Clk, Uni = 40 pts
Dartmouth loses to: Brn = 39 pts
 
Then Cornell needs 3 wins + 2 pts in OT to finish with 41 pts, or 4th (again not knowing the tie breaker with Union).

[Give My Regards]

It's too early to worry about tiebreakers -- but what the hell.

If Cornell beats Union in regulation, the teams would be even head-to-head, so it would go to league wins.  Currently Union is +2 there.

[upprdeck]

Cornell sweeps
Calrkson gets swept
Union gets swept
Colgate loses to STL
Dart loses to RPI

37
36
36
34
33

with one weekend to go.

[Trotsky]

Fun fact.

Our only 6-point weekends last year:

@Brn/Yal
Clk/SLU
@RPI/Uni

[pjd8]

Fun fact.

Our only 6-point weekends last year:

@Brn/Yal
Clk/SLU
@RPI/Uni

Now I want to do that for all ECAC and HE teams and see how the leagues compare. Would be a bit harder in HE because their scheduling isn't as consistent as the ECAC's.

[pjd8]

Fun fact.

Our only 6-point weekends last year:

@Brn/Yal
Clk/SLU
@RPI/Uni

I riffed off the TBRW link above and came up with this summary table. Obviously, it's best to sweep 8 times. But if you can't do that, sweep 3 times. After all, 3s kind of look like 8s.

The black cell represents the 2020 CT that wasn't.

[pjd8]

Another thing of note is that if you take that table and narrow it down to the last 30 years instead of 40, you only lose one NCAA bid. So that's 15 bids in 30 year. It's why we've gotten used to expecting a bid. But it also means that we're disappointed 50% of the time. Kind of puts it all in perspective.

[Tcl123]

After 18 games:

40 Qpc
36 Clk
34 Cgt
34 Uni
30 Cor
30 Drt
25 Hvd
24 Brn
19 RPI
18 SLU
17 Prn
17 Yal

Shouldn't dart be above us? They win tiebreaker I thought?

ABC, not tiebreaker.

Thanks for the obvious. So misleading. Ur like the Rachel Maddow of the ecac.

[Al DeFlorio]

After 18 games:

40 Qpc
36 Clk
34 Cgt
34 Uni
30 Cor
30 Drt
25 Hvd
24 Brn
19 RPI
18 SLU
17 Prn
17 Yal

Shouldn't dart be above us? They win tiebreaker I thought?

ABC, not tiebreaker.

Thanks for the obvious. So misleading. Ur like the Rachel Maddow of the ecac.

Stick your political bullshit you-know-where.

[Tcl123]

After 18 games:

40 Qpc
36 Clk
34 Cgt
34 Uni
30 Cor
30 Drt
25 Hvd
24 Brn
19 RPI
18 SLU
17 Prn
17 Yal

Shouldn't dart be above us? They win tiebreaker I thought?

ABC, not tiebreaker.

Thanks for the obvious. So misleading. Ur like the Rachel Maddow of the ecac.

Stick your political bullshit you-know-where.

.

[Trotsky]

I can't tell when people are kidding anymore, but as we occasionally voice opposition to fascism it's polite to let the other side proudly self-identify.

[ice]

This is an AI generated prediction:

[Scersk '97]

This is an AI generated prediction:

The shocker is Bruno in 7th!

[pjd8]

This is an AI generated prediction:

I really want to play this AI agent in poker. For lots of money.

The best part of this data vis is Cornell sweeping twice.

The second best part is that it's evidence AI is not going to take away jobs from people like me before I die.

Out of curiosity, which AI assistant did you use?

[ice]

The above AI chart was intended to be pro-Cornell humor.

That said, it is possible to twist an AI model into saying what you want to hear.  For example, after some dialog, I was able to get chatgpt to say this:

"That's a solid perspective! With Cornell playing at such a high level, they really seem like the team to beat right now. If they keep up their dominant play and stay healthy, they could make a deep run and claim the ECAC championship without much trouble."