ECAC 2024 Discussion Thread

[Dafatone]

ECAC Hockey Tournament Probabilities

Code Select Expand

[b]
      SF    F   Title[/b]
Qpc  .96  .74  .45
[color=#b31313]Cor  .91  .65  .35[/color]
Cgt  .59  .18  .06
Clk  .41  .13  .05


This season I will not say a word about how these "predictions" have zero predictive value because they are entirely derived from a ranking which is not predictive. I will stay silent about the fact these rankings are not backtested at all to improve accuracy but instead use the same rudimentary formula every year with no attempt to improve them. And I will certainly keep quiet about how these "predictions" dupe so many well meaning fans into citing them. I have resigned myself to the fact that people just love "trash in, trash out" predictions of things, no matter how useless they are. As such, I will avoid this topic entirely this year.

Think of them as pointing backwards, not forwards.

If the top teams are as good as their records, here are the odds. Are they as good as their records? Stay tuned to find out.

[Trotsky]

They're fun. Sports is entertainment.

[Mr. Niss]

Article about our tournament chances on USCHO today

https://www.uscho.com/2024/02/06/tmq-how-high-will-the-pairwise-bubble-go-as-college-hockey-teams-keep-battling-for-ncaa-tournament-positioning/

[Trotsky]

If we peak at the right time...

[upprdeck]

Article about our tournament chances on USCHO today

https://www.uscho.com/2024/02/06/tmq-how-high-will-the-pairwise-bubble-go-as-college-hockey-teams-keep-battling-for-ncaa-tournament-positioning/

It also pts out the issue of RPI having so much power in the rankings.

[ursusminor]

Article about our tournament chances on USCHO today

https://www.uscho.com/2024/02/06/tmq-how-high-will-the-pairwise-bubble-go-as-college-hockey-teams-keep-battling-for-ncaa-tournament-positioning/

It also pts out the issue of RPI having so much power in the rankings.

After Friday, you will know that RPI doesn't have much power, and the penalty kill is at the bottom of the NCAA. ;-)

[Give My Regards]

After Friday, you will know that RPI doesn't have much power, and the penalty kill is at the bottom of the NCAA. ;-)

In other words, exactly the kind of team that Cornell fans should be worried about at this point. ::uhoh::

[ursusminor]

After Friday, you will know that RPI doesn't have much power, and the penalty kill is at the bottom of the NCAA. ;-)

In other words, exactly the kind of team that Cornell fans should be worried about at this point. ::uhoh::

RPI is due to upset someone. The only real upset so far this year was beating Clarkson in Potsdam, but RPI doesn't have the talent it had on 12/4/68 (or even 12/1/70), and nowhere near the fan support it had then.

[Troyfan]

After Friday, you will know that RPI doesn't have much power, and the penalty kill is at the bottom of the NCAA. ;-)

In other words, exactly the kind of team that Cornell fans should be worried about at this point. ::uhoh::

RPI is due to upset someone. The only real upset so far this year was beating Clarkson in Potsdam, but RPI doesn't have the talent it had on 12/4/68 (or even 12/1/70), and nowhere near the fan support it had then.

I remember reading this in the Troy Record in 1968.

[Trotsky]

Uh oh. They're multiplying. ;-)

Speaking of, does anybody know if ChiefAlbanyBear (?) is still around? I loved that guy, and now that we score goals he must be happy.

[marty]

Uh oh. They're multiplying. ;-)

Speaking of, does anybody know if ChiefAlbanyBear (?) is still around? I loved that guy, and now that we score goals he must be happy.

I'm in contact with him regularly.  He's still loving life.

"SCORE MORE GOALS!"

[Trotsky]

Tell him to get his ass back here.  He was a blast, and he's still younger than half of us.

[Trotsky]

ECAC Hockey Tournament Probabilities

Code Select Expand

[b]
      SF    F   Title[/b]
Qpc  .94  .69  .39
[color=#b31313]Cor  .92  .66  .38[/color]
Clk  .47  .16  .06
Cgt  .53  .16  .05


[JasonN95]

Since first of the year, Cornell is (if I'm counting correctly) averaging 4.2 goals a game (42 goals in 10 games) and giving up 1.4 goals/game (14 in 10) for a +2.8 goal differential. I would bet that's Cornell's best goal differential over 10 games in a long, long time.

[upprdeck]

And doing it without much from the PP..

when we get to 3 goals we are 13-1 great except Quin is 18-1-1.