ECAC 2024 Discussion Thread

[The Rancor]

I didn't want to start another thread, but feel free to move if in the wrong space:

NCAA Hockey Regionals to Home Sites

[marty]

I didn't want to start another thread, but feel free to move if in the wrong space:

NCAA Hockey Regionals to Home Sites

It started with a game between Minnesota State and Harvard in Albany, N.Y. The crowd was sparse enough to count by hand — in a venue that seats more than 10,000. Pandemic-restricted crowds were larger.

But this was a Covid restricted event.  We had to show proof of a negative Covid test to get in.  The mask police were out in force and we had to sit with space between "parties".  

(I do agree the regional games do not draw well and I'd be OK with college venues.)

[Dafatone]

I didn't want to start another thread, but feel free to move if in the wrong space:

NCAA Hockey Regionals to Home Sites

I agree in theory, but as the only person rooting for us to get placed in Sioux Falls, I'm not sure I agree in practice.

[Trotsky]

I didn't want to start another thread, but feel free to move if in the wrong space:

NCAA Hockey Regionals to Home Sites

Moved to 2024 NCAAs thread.

[Trotsky]

Pct in conference (by Derp Points) after tonight:

 

Code Select Expand

1. Qpc .806
 2. Clk .667
 3. Cgt .600
 [color=#b31313]4. Cor .567[/color]
------------
 5. Uni .556
 6. SLU .533
 7. Brn .487
 8. Drt .394
------------
 9. Hvd .389
10. Yal .385
11. Prn .359
12. RPI .333


[Trotsky]

ECAC Pct after 1/26:
 

Code Select Expand


 1. Qpc .821
 2. Clk .697
 [color=#b31313]3. Cor .606[/color]
    Cgt .606
------------
 5. Uni .556
 6. Brn .487
 7. SLU .485
 8. Drt .389
------------
 9. Hvd .359
    Prn .359
11. Yal .357
12. RPI .333


[Trotsky]

Despite the disappointment tonight, if we take 6 points next weekend we will be alone in 2nd.

Let's go Red!

[upprdeck]

we now control our own destiny.  Thats about all you can ask..

[billhoward]

I'm feeling good about Cornell's chances in the ECAC tournament: the ability to have a first-round bye, then home ice at Lynah for the quarterfinals March 15-17, then second or third seeding in the semifinals (and 7:30 not 4 pm faceoff in Lake Placid March 22 to make it easier to drive up Friday).

Quinnipiac would need a historic meltdown to not be seeded first. Woe unto whoever comes into LP with the low seed and plays them. There's not much difference being the second vs. third seed in LP; for either, Quinnipiac is not a problem until Saturday, and there's always the chance of an upset by the #4 team. Q has been beaten by Colgate, by Cornell (OT) and by Dartmouth (OT shootout).

We (and Colgate) are done playing Q, have both the home and away Clarkson and St. Lawrence games remaining, ditto RPI and Union; plus singles with Brown and Yale. Union and Clarkson both have their second Quinnipiac game to play, as does St. Lawrence.

Q in ECAC has lost only to Cornell (OT), Colgate 2-1, and Dartmouth (OT shootout).

[Trotsky]

We battle Clarkson, Colgate, Union, and St. Lawrence for 2nd through 6th, with 6 of those 8 games still to play.  By NC record, we and Clarkson are the lead pair.  

Make that happen:
(1) win the games we should (cough, like at Dartmouth)
(2) beat Clarkson in Lake Placid
(3) beat Quinnipiac in Lake Placid

[Trotsky]

ECAC Hockey Tournament Probabilities

Code Select Expand

[b]
      SF    F   Title[/b]
Qpc  .96  .74  .45
[color=#b31313]Cor  .91  .65  .35[/color]
Cgt  .59  .18  .06
Clk  .41  .13  .05


[dbilmes]

ECAC Hockey Tournament Probabilities

Code Select Expand

[b]
      SF    F   Title[/b]
Qpc  .96  .74  .45
[color=#b31313]Cor  .91  .65  .35[/color]
Cgt  .59  .18  .06
Clk  .41  .13  .05


I wonder what chance Colgate had of winning the tournament a year ago at this time.

[Trotsky]

I wonder what chance Colgate had of winning the tournament a year ago at this time.

We should be wary.  After all, just two years ago they came into Lynah for the QF and knocked us out.

[BearLover]

ECAC Hockey Tournament Probabilities

Code Select Expand

[b]
      SF    F   Title[/b]
Qpc  .96  .74  .45
[color=#b31313]Cor  .91  .65  .35[/color]
Cgt  .59  .18  .06
Clk  .41  .13  .05


This season I will not say a word about how these "predictions" have zero predictive value because they are entirely derived from a ranking which is not predictive. I will stay silent about the fact these rankings are not backtested at all to improve accuracy but instead use the same rudimentary formula every year with no attempt to improve them. And I will certainly keep quiet about how these "predictions" dupe so many well meaning fans into citing them. I have resigned myself to the fact that people just love "trash in, trash out" predictions of things, no matter how useless they are. As such, I will avoid this topic entirely this year.

[Al DeFlorio]

ECAC Hockey Tournament Probabilities

Code Select Expand

[b]
      SF    F   Title[/b]
Qpc  .96  .74  .45
[color=#b31313]Cor  .91  .65  .35[/color]
Cgt  .59  .18  .06
Clk  .41  .13  .05


This season I will not say a word about how these "predictions" have zero predictive value because they are entirely derived from a ranking which is not predictive. I will stay silent about the fact these rankings are not backtested at all to improve accuracy but instead use the same rudimentary formula every year with no attempt to improve them. And I will certainly keep quiet about how these "predictions" dupe so many well meaning fans into citing them. I have resigned myself to the fact that people just love "trash in, trash out" predictions of things, no matter how useless they are. As such, I will avoid this topic entirely this year.

That would be too good to be true...sadly.