Show all posts by user
Discussions about the Cornell men's and women's hockey teams
Re: Quinnipiac QF Game 2 - 6 years ago
Trotsky Scoreless through 1. Cornell had the better of the play even strength. Our pp was anemic and disorganized but it was right at the end of a very physical period so maybe everybody was tired. I thought Q had the better of the play throughout the period and Cornell was very sloppy in taking advantage of the little room Q gave themby BearLover - Hockey
Re: Quinnipiac QF - 6 years ago
Tom_Hamill That third Cornell goal was one of the most offensively perfect things I've ever seen a Cornell team do. Absolute hockey gold. But was Fiegl's bulldozing the Q player legal?by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Quinnipiac QF - 6 years ago
Scersk '97 gets his wish: Cornell is annihilating Q and resting Vanderlaan for most of the third.by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Men's and Women's Awards 2017-18 - 6 years ago
abmarks Typical Bearlover- you love statistics, why not read some? I'm going to stop responding to you if you default to being rude. abmarks Yet Galadja, plays for one of the best teams in the country Usually players get a voting boost when their team is good. abmarks Cornell gives up the fewest shots/game in the country (which ought to translate to Galadja seeing more clean shot attempby BearLover - Hockey
Re: Men's and Women's Awards 2017-18 - 6 years ago
upprdeck cornell preseason 3rd wins title and 2nd in the country union 6th finishes 2nd.. clarkson preseason 4-5 finishes 3rd, i dont think Casey has a shot Plus, it's pretty silly to penalize a coach for his team having high expectations heading into the season, which is usually a product of recent/sustained success under that same coach...but I agree with you the voters for these CotY awardsby BearLover - Hockey
Re: Men's and Women's Awards 2017-18 - 6 years ago
Jim Hyla Galajda Named Finalist for ECAC League’s Rookie of the Year Award Galajda should win this one easily, I would think. And I think Schafer will win, too.by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Quinnipiac QF - 6 years ago
RichHHopefully it'll be good enough to want to watch the tape-delayed broadcast! It's being streamed online live. The article was misleading; the delayed broadcast is with regard to their real (non-stream) channel. (I think?) Scersk '97 Let's hope the Red absolutely blitzes QU, so that Vanderlaan, in what will hopefully be only a two-game series, can play as little as possible so that he can mby BearLover - Hockey
Re: ECAC Playoffs - 6 years ago
KenP Scersk '97 BigRedHockeyFan Cornell over Quinnipiac in 2; (Game 1: 10-0, Game 2: 10-0) Not to bring reality and fear to this discussion, but I would rather we were playing just about any of the other remaining lower seeds—certainly Dartmouth and Princeton, and perhaps even Colgate. Strangely, I am happy we have a potentially tough opponent this weekend. I'm still wary of our weaker scheduby BearLover - Hockey
Re: Bracketology Starts - 6 years ago
KenP St. Cloud has basically wrapped up the #1 overall. Cornell is one of the next five teams vying for #2-6, with the rest of the pack looking at #7 and lower. Interesting to see the gradual decline in our chances for a #1 seed. Still pretty good... but the odds of a #2 seed are now up to 28%. Also interesting also that Penn State is now virtually a lock with high probability of beby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
adamw Actually, I think you're the only one conflating anything, because I never said "worse" - so I'm not sure where this is coming from. adamw It is not certain that looking at things beyond wins and losses is any better. Goal differential has major flaws, and might not mean much. Shot differential has its own issues, but could be a decent factor. Honestly, I'm not all that interesby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
What future probabilities of any kind are verifiable? What I mean to say is that the probabilities derived purely from KRACH are not back-tested against actual results, in the way 538's and a model like this one's are. The KRACH-based model instead takes what has happened in the past and extrapolates it into the future, and no one even checks to see how much it misses by. adamw There is no neby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - 6 years ago
adamw Is KRACH not empirically based? The future win probabilities inferred from KRACH aren't, because they're not verifiable by observation/experience. adamw It is not certain that looking at things beyond wins and losses is any better. Goal differential has major flaws, and might not mean much. Shot differential has its own issues, but could be a decent factor. Honestly, I'm not all that iby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
adamw But, as someone said, you'd need to come to the issue with actual valid math, and a better algorithm, before getting all hot and bothered about it. Until then, saying that you "feel" that 52% chance is "flawed" is just as "flawed" of an argument as anything else. I think this discussion is getting old too, but since some people keep saying those criticizing thby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
andyw2100 BearLover Though assuming there is no more than one upset in the first round, I don't think we have an easier path in the quarters than any of the other bye teams, since we get Q/Y. That last part isn't correct. We get the lowest remaining seed. There could be just one upset--say St. Lawrence over Dartmouth or RPI over Colgate--in which case we would play St. Lawrence or RPI.by BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
KGR11 My purpose in posting the percentages was to add new context to the discussion of KRACH's AQ results. BearLover doesn't buy the probability attributed to Cornell to win the AQ and I wanted to outline how it compares to other bye teams' AQ probabilities. I don't think this changes anyone's opinion, but it's an interesting metric to show how KRACH judges the top 4 ECAC teams. Of course, partby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
Jim Hyla BearLover Jim Hyla BearLover ugarte BearLover KGR11 Updated probabilities for ECAC teams with byes to win the ECAC championship from the pairwise probability matrix: Cornell: 55% Clarkson: 22% Union: 10% Harvard: 6% The average team in the quarterfinal has a 12.5% probability to win the championship; Cornell is 4.4x more likely than the average QF team to win it all. That's a testby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
Trotsky BearLover Dafatone BearLover ugarte BearLover KGR11 Updated probabilities for ECAC teams with byes to win the ECAC championship from the pairwise probability matrix: Cornell: 55% Clarkson: 22% Union: 10% Harvard: 6% The average team in the quarterfinal has a 12.5% probability to win the championship; Cornell is 4.4x more likely than the average QF team to win it all. That's a testaby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
Jim Hyla BearLover ugarte BearLover KGR11 Updated probabilities for ECAC teams with byes to win the ECAC championship from the pairwise probability matrix: Cornell: 55% Clarkson: 22% Union: 10% Harvard: 6% The average team in the quarterfinal has a 12.5% probability to win the championship; Cornell is 4.4x more likely than the average QF team to win it all. That's a testament how great Corby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
Dafatone BearLover ugarte BearLover KGR11 Updated probabilities for ECAC teams with byes to win the ECAC championship from the pairwise probability matrix: Cornell: 55% Clarkson: 22% Union: 10% Harvard: 6% The average team in the quarterfinal has a 12.5% probability to win the championship; Cornell is 4.4x more likely than the average QF team to win it all. That's a testament how great Corby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
ugarte BearLover KGR11 Updated probabilities for ECAC teams with byes to win the ECAC championship from the pairwise probability matrix: Cornell: 55% Clarkson: 22% Union: 10% Harvard: 6% The average team in the quarterfinal has a 12.5% probability to win the championship; Cornell is 4.4x more likely than the average QF team to win it all. That's a testament how great Cornell's season has bby BearLover - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
KGR11 Updated probabilities for ECAC teams with byes to win the ECAC championship from the pairwise probability matrix: Cornell: 55% Clarkson: 22% Union: 10% Harvard: 6% The average team in the quarterfinal has a 12.5% probability to win the championship; Cornell is 4.4x more likely than the average QF team to win it all. That's a testament how great Cornell's season has been (or how bad tby BearLover - Hockey
Re: Cornell at Union, 2/24/18 - 6 years ago
RichH “WHO HAVE THEY PLAYED?! BROM? DARMOTH” Amazing, where is this from?by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Opponents News 2: Hockey's the Reason for the Season - 6 years ago
Al DeFlorio BearLover I don't want the ECAC to completely stink and the sample size is far too small to reach any conclusions. But there is no evidence Cornell was never capable of winning a national championship, or that it's more nationally competitive as its conference improves. I think if things continued as they had in the mid-2000s we would have won a national title at some point. You're fuby BearLover - Hockey
Re: Opponents News 2: Hockey's the Reason for the Season - 6 years ago
I don't want the ECAC to completely stink and the sample size is far too small to reach any conclusions. But there is no evidence Cornell was never capable of winning a national championship, or that it's more nationally competitive as its conference improves. I think if things continued as they had in the mid-2000s we would have won a national title at some point.by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Opponents News 2: Hockey's the Reason for the Season - 6 years ago
We are 8-10 in the NCAAs under Schafer. Of note, one of our first-round NCAA losses was Schafer's first year with McCutcheon's players. The other two were in 2010 and 2017 under an "improved ECAC." Our only Frozen Four appearance was when the ECAC stunk.by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Predictions: The Stretch Run - 6 years ago
(and yes, on the topic of high expectations, I'm aware a number of posters were students for the national championship years)by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Predictions: The Stretch Run - 6 years ago
CU2007 BearLover seems to bring everyone else together around here Some people on this forum think having high expectations and not rooting for our rivals who crush us every year makes me a troll. The reality is that I'm one of the few recent graduates who is willing to push back against the ELynah hivemind and the arguments I've made on here have largely been borne out. I know a number of peby BearLover - Hockey
Re: Poll: Who is this season's most improved player? - 6 years ago
I think Malott has improved substantially more than any of these players. Nuttle is playing a similar role to last year's, Smith was already a top D-man last year, Starett went from a scoring line to the checking line this year, and Fiegl's game has been largely unchanged since he got here, other than a very gradual improvement. I'd even choose Angello before I'd choose any of these options.by BearLover - Hockey
Re: Opponents News 2: Hockey's the Reason for the Season - 6 years ago
abmarks BearLover ugarte BearLover Trotsky BearLover Nice OT win over North Dakota for Miami, which helps us in the Pairwise...but isn't a first-round road game vs ND becoming increasingly likely?If they're gonna rape us then they will. wutgreg's being hilariously edgy again and it's probably you who doesn't get it I think his joke is historically backwards (and also historically bad) though Andby BearLover - Hockey