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Discussions about the Cornell men's and women's hockey teams
Re: Polls - 1 year ago
DafatoneOn the other hand, as I understand it, the NCAA isn't really a "thing." They're just the schools. Every time you hear someone describing the NCAA as greedy, they're just talking about the schools. I don't think there's a big vault full of cash that belongs to the NCAA. I agree - I tell people this all the time as well. "The NCAA" is shorthand. If you know it's shorthby adamw - Hockey
Re: Polls - 1 year ago
so many myths in this thread ... at the risk of being accused of being a shill for the NCAA ... the average NCAA athlete's academic performance is superior to the general population. As I've said high and wide everywhere I can and will continue to say it ... Those advocating for "students rights" and "fu** those who have been hoarding the money" -- ought to be VERY caby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
ugarteIt is kind of a bummer that Yale caught a heater and won the tournament from the 4 seed or that Union did by presaging the rise of Q but goddamn it doesn't mean anything! It certainly doesn't mean anything that we can do anything about! Always amazes me how short memories are. Al knows way more about this than I do - but I wrote about this topic a bunch of times in that era ... But the Bby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
The only thing demoralizing is having to waste time continually reading BearLover's nonsense ... Age, can we get a mute button?by adamw - Hockey
Re: Opponents and Others, 2022-23 - 1 year ago
Clarkson also already got one player in from the portal. The Alex Campbell one I don't get - the others are no big deal. Haider wasn't that great.by adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
RichH Not regionals, but some good news for a NYS neighbor (that is if someone can accept a school other than Cornell finding glory): Hobart won the D3 NCAA hockey championship today, their 1st. They beat defending champ Adrian (MI) 3-2 in OT. And the head coach is former Cornell assistant Mark Taylorby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA QF: Cornell vs BU - 1 year ago
I hadn't heard the entirety of Coach's quote until just now, so I added it to the story - so in all seriousness, it might be worth another look. Coach was pretty emotional saying this, and had to collect himself. But here is what I just added ... "Guys leaving your program, guys jumping in the portal — seems like kids don't know how to fight through adversity anymore. There's a lack (ofby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA QF: Cornell vs BU - 1 year ago
BearLover Beeeej What Schafer’s taking away: Well, that article makes it sound like none of the seniors will be back despite Schafer acknowledging they “got an extra year of eligibility.” Then again, the article mentions 10 seniors when by my count there are only 8. So who knows how good the information in the article is. In any event, the Ivy league’s idiotic rules continue to hamper this prby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA QF: Cornell vs BU - 1 year ago
scoop85 Beeeej What Schafer’s taking away: Nicely written article that provides more than meaningless cliches. And I just cleaned up some typos - so read it againby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
DafatoneThey appear to have changed it to six seconds. Which is still ridiculous but slightly more feasible. We scored 4 in what, 54? The record is 4 seconds -- BU did it against Providence in the 2015 national championship game. They'd like to forget the rest of the game.by adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA QF: Cornell vs BU - 1 year ago
ugartei think moving from college hockey towns like minneapolis or denver to, say, "tampa" probably a contributing factor Tampa sold out in 2012 and 2016. Buffalo attendance was bad. So it has nothing to do with venue, and more to do with how things have changed over time - as Rich pointed out with lacrosse as well. Attendance to everything below major pro sports is down consistentlyby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA 1R: Cornell vs Denver - 1 year ago
Dafatone People are gonna keep talking about our defense, and rightly so, but what struck me was how many times we were just plain old faster on puck races. The Big Red came out aggressive, flying, winning battles to loose picks, and putting its textbook forecheck to work. All the while, they frustrated Denver, the defending national champs. Which is not to say, of course, that they neglectedby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA 1R: Cornell vs Denver - 1 year ago
Trotsky First shutout by a Cornell goaltender in an NCAA game since The Shutout. triggered for reminding me of 2006by adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
BearLover adamw It's too bad the Cornell Sun and Ithaca Journal both have non-existent daily coverage of the hockey team anymore ... because Mike Schafer made a lot of interesting remarks at yesterday's press conference. Unfortunately we weren't able to be there either until today. (it's not just the Sun and IJ, local newspaper coverage is non-existent, student and "pro," all over the cby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
Pghas I read the Daily Sun's coverage and they had plenty of quotes from Coach Schaefer - in fact that was the only place I found any quotes after the Harvard loss or for today's game, which I hope is not the last one of the year. No story on yesterday's news conference. I know no one from the Sun, Journal (or us) were there.by adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
It's too bad the Cornell Sun and Ithaca Journal both have non-existent daily coverage of the hockey team anymore ... because Mike Schafer made a lot of interesting remarks at yesterday's press conference. Unfortunately we weren't able to be there either until today. (it's not just the Sun and IJ, local newspaper coverage is non-existent, student and "pro," all over the country except inby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
BeeeejNot that I'm worried about it showing up in court proceedings or something, but please don't quote me as having posted someone else's words. not sure how that happened - fixed my postby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
BearLoverIt’s a hockey game. We have a chance of beating Denver. We are clear underdogs, but we have a chance. Maybe 2:1 odds? If we beat Denver, then the hardest part is over. That's what I thought in 2009. And 2012by adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
BearLover adamw BearLover Beeeej CHN's Manchester Regional preview: Based on what I’ve read about its defensive dominance, Denver sounds like what a Schafer team would look like if it had the talent level of Harvard but maintained the current Cornell systems. Since I see them plenty - this is fairly accurate. 99.7% accurate if you will. But seriously folks ... Denver rarely has the 1st aby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 NCAA Tournament: Regionals - 1 year ago
BearLover Beeeej CHN's Manchester Regional preview: Based on what I’ve read about its defensive dominance, Denver sounds like what a Schafer team would look like if it had the talent level of Harvard but maintained the current Cornell systems. Since I see them plenty - this is fairly accurate. 99.7% accurate if you will. But seriously folks ... Denver rarely has the 1st and 2nd round typby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 ECAC Post Season - 1 year ago
BearLover jtwcornell91 BearLoverNo one made any attempt to check whether weighting by KRACH yields accurate predictions. Yes, we have: Wow, this is amazing. I had no idea! You are one of the authors? I’m going to try my best to read this as a non-math major. (Though feel free to offer the cliff notes if you’d like.) Yeah notice who else's name is on there (though really, I had little to doby adamw - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
upprdeck So looking at the probability matrix it has Minn st. 9% and NMich 33%. If NMich wins, Minn state falls to 15 and would be out and thats if chalk wins and nothing else happens and they are still behind Alaska. Given its really a who wins thing its probably 70/30 Minn St gets in? Might as well quote The Matrix - which says 72% ... however, here is where it doesn't account for theby adamw - Hockey
Re: Opponents and Others, 2022-23 - 1 year ago
It should be noted that - indeed the Probability Matrix is bad at things like this ... St. Cloud State has been mediocre (at best) lately, because it lost 3 defensemen, including its best one. So they are limping into the NCAAs, and could easily lose today, and/or next week -- which gives a below-15 NCHC team much better odds of winning that tournament than the Matrix is presenting. My hope foby adamw - Hockey
Re: Opponents and Others, 2022-23 - 1 year ago
The better way to look at 99.7% is that there are very few scenarios where Cornell doesn't get it. You are then free to argue about Cornell's true "probability" academically. The alternative is to play out every permutation and combination of results, as opposed to 20,000 Monte Carlo simulations. In that case, however, you'd probably see wrongly worse "odds" because so manyby adamw - Hockey
Re: 2023 ECAC Post Season - 1 year ago
dbilmes Besides the fact that Yale's 5 SOG were the fewest by a team in a D-1 game in 20 years, things got nasty toward the end of the Yale-Q game. A Q player and a Yale player (Allain's son) received game misconducts (for kneeing and cross-checking), and Allain was given a 10-minute major for "abuse of officials." FYI - it was tied for the lowest in the last 20 years, tied with a gamby adamw - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
CU77The fancy-stats people in pro hockey likely have good ideas about rankings. I don't know what makes you think that. I've seen NHL rankings -- I work for a site that has those too -- and they essentially the same as KRACH.by adamw - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
CU77 adamw CU77 KRACH could be adjusted to do better, as I outlined above. KRACH is a very simple model. The door is open ... I don't care enough to do it myself. Congrats - you're in a growing club. CU77In any case Massey probabilities are likely better, as they use more input (scores, locations, times). Times? We do have a home/away version of KRACH. It's not much different. I shouldby adamw - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
BearLoverAs to adamw’s point—I want to preface this by saying I love CHN and go there 30 times a day. There are many awesome features of the site. But when it comes to the model, my view is that if it isn’t doing what it claims to do (provide realistic probabilities of future results), and we know it does not do this, then it would be better to not publish the model at all. Otherwise, publishingby adamw - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
CU77 KRACH could be adjusted to do better, as I outlined above. KRACH is a very simple model. The door is open ...by adamw - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
I've heard all of these suggestions before. On this forum, and elsewhere. I've encouraged anyone with ideas to reach out to me and please feel free to improve the algorithm. A couple people in the last 10 years have gestured to take me up on that offer, only to fade away pretty quickly. So again - if anyone has an idea - please feel free and come to me. The door is open. I only went to that sby adamw - Hockey