Opponent and other news and results 2025-2026

[andyw2100]

So how about looking at the other side of things...

If we win out how high are we likely to climb? Would a 2-seed (top eight) be pretty much assured? What if we only make it to the final game, but lose in the finals?

Optimistic minds want to know...

In the McNally mailbag article that Stereax linked to, McNally wrote:

"And hey, if Cornell plays its cards right and wins out, and some other dominoes fall, the Red could even inch up to a No. 2 seed — then we could be having a different conversation. Cornell has a 36% chance of shifting up from a No. 3 seed to a No. 2, per College Hockey News."

I couldn't find it directly on the CHN site, but a Google search indicates CHN has Cornell at 22% to win out.

I have to think that if we are 36% to be a two seed - 9%, 8%, 6%, 12%,  for finishing 5,6,7,8 respectively in NPI (guessing rounding accounts for the 36% McNally reported vs. the 35% the numbers in the matrix add up to) - then winning out through and including the championship game probably puts us pretty solidly at 8 or higher.

Edit: I found the 22% on the CHN site. It is in the same probability matrix I pulled the top 8 NPI percentages from. They have columns for IN, At Large, and Automatic Qualifier (winning the league tournament.) They show Cornell at 99.4% IN, 78% AL, and 22% AQ.

(Really useful stuff on CHN, Adam! Thank you!)

[stereax]

So how about looking at the other side of things...

If we win out how high are we likely to climb? Would a 2-seed (top eight) be pretty much assured? What if we only make it to the final game, but lose in the finals?

Optimistic minds want to know...

In the McNally mailbag article that Stereax linked to, McNally wrote:

"And hey, if Cornell plays its cards right and wins out, and some other dominoes fall, the Red could even inch up to a No. 2 seed — then we could be having a different conversation. Cornell has a 36% chance of shifting up from a No. 3 seed to a No. 2, per College Hockey News."

I couldn't find it directly on the CHN site, but a Google search indicates CHN has Cornell at 22% to win out.

I have to think that if we are 36% to be a two seed - 9%, 8%, 6%, 12%,  for finishing 5,6,7,8 respectively in NPI (guessing rounding accounts for the 36% McNally reported vs. the 35% the numbers in the matrix add up to) - then winning out through and including the championship game probably puts us pretty solidly at 8 or higher.

Edit: I found the 22% on the CHN site. It is in the same probability matrix I pulled the top 8 NPI percentages from. They have columns for IN, At Large, and Automatic Qualifier (winning the league tournament.) They show Cornell at 99.4% IN, 78% AL, and 22% AQ.

(Really useful stuff on CHN, Adam! Thank you!)

Being a 2 seed would be AWESOME. Hopefully we pull it off.

[Trotsky]

Just gotta play em one game at a time...

[Jeff Hopkins '82]

Just gotta play em one game at a time...

"Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.