Cornell at Yale 2/15

Started by Iceberg, February 15, 2025, 04:20:47 PM

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chimpfood

We're still not gonna get an at large bid. The cutoff for that is around .55 and we're still below .52. But it does lower my blood pressure a little bit to see us in the teens

arugula

Quote from: chimpfoodWe're still not gonna get an at large bid. The cutoff for that is around .55 and we're still below .52. But it does lower my blood pressure a little bit to see us in the teens

It's helped us that UMass has been winning.  Just about our best win this year.

arugula

Quote from: arugula
Quote from: chimpfoodWe're still not gonna get an at large bid. The cutoff for that is around .55 and we're still below .52. But it does lower my blood pressure a little bit to see us in the teens

It's helped us that UMass has been winning.  Just about our best win this year.

We're tied with UNH which has a losing record reflecting the strength of Hockey East. However, iinm, you cannot go to the tourney with a losing record.  Therefore we are ahead of them.

upprdeck

Maybe,  but I look at this way, you go back to 2018

Only 1 team was less than 6 games over .500 and got in on PWR

right now 7 teams ahead of us are at or below that.

UNH can't go unless they get over .500 and 6 teams under .55 are ahead of us anyway.

Let's win the next 6 and then see where we are.

upprdeck

last 5 games we have scored 6-5-4-3-1.  That means a 2 or 7 next week for the straight. Though 7-8 would be nice

arugula

Does UND beating Denver help or hurt. They're at 17 but otoh we beat them 2x

RichH

Quote from: chimpfoodWe're still not gonna get an at large bid. The cutoff for that is around .55 and we're still below .52. But it does lower my blood pressure a little bit to see us in the teens

Just win, baby

Give My Regards

11-goal weekend.  Let's get a couple more of those.
If you lead a good life, go to Sunday school and church, and say your prayers every night, when you die, you'll go to LYNAH!

arugula

Ohio state beating Wisconsin and UND beating Denver dropped us to 20.

pjd8

Quote from: arugula
Quote from: arugula
Quote from: chimpfoodWe're still not gonna get an at large bid. The cutoff for that is around .55 and we're still below .52. But it does lower my blood pressure a little bit to see us in the teens

It's helped us that UMass has been winning.  Just about our best win this year.

We're tied with UNH which has a losing record reflecting the strength of Hockey East. However, iinm, you cannot go to the tourney with a losing record.  Therefore we are ahead of them.

Correct. You've got to be a .500 team to get a bid. But now UNH is at 18 and Cornell at 20.

The good news/bad news for UNH is that they have the second hardest remaining regular season schedule in the nation (behind Michigan), with their opponents having a combined .700 record. Bad news in that they have a far bigger challenge ahead of them than Cornell. But good news in that if they win four, they not only get a .500 record, but they bump up to 16 in Pairwise. (If they pulled a phenomenal miracle and beat BC, they could potentially jump to 11). And any team that they face in the playoffs will help their RPI, as seven Hockey East teams are in the top 13. That conference just has unbelievable depth.

This UNH team is so much better than last year, and they are far better than Cornell right now. They just went toe to toe with Maine in Alfond and it took Maine, the number 4 team in the country 125 minutes to really put them away. UNH doesn't have a goalie that will win them games (he's competent, but not great), but everything else is there. If they break through their drought like Cornell has, they could be a great dark horse team.

Even so, they have a slim chance of getting an at large bid. If Cornell wins the next four, that only puts the Big Red at 18. ECAC teams just don't have a chance of clawing their way back up this late in the season. It's all about the auto-bid.

adamw

Just to help Trotsky from believing - Cornell has no shot at an at-large bid. It's fairly clear even before running "The Matrix" - which FWIW, puts the chances at 0.1%

You can see clearly that between 20 and 30 in the Pairwise, the teams are separated by about 100 RPI basis points. There's constant movement in there up and down. But the gap from 20 to 13 is almost 300 basis points. It's very difficult to crack the bubble. In fact, I'd say Penn State at 16 basically has no shot either.  It's just not going to happen. ... Everyone here would be better off not worrying about it, and just enjoy each game for what it is, and shoot for that bye. Although my personal opinion is that it wouldn't be terrible from a team building standpoint to play two gimme home games before getting to the meatier quarterfinals. So if they're playing well, but fall short of 4th, it's not so bad.
College Hockey News: http://www.collegehockeynews.com

chimpfood

Quote from: adamwJust to help Trotsky from believing - Cornell has no shot at an at-large bid. It's fairly clear even before running "The Matrix" - which FWIW, puts the chances at 0.1%

You can see clearly that between 20 and 30 in the Pairwise, the teams are separated by about 100 RPI basis points. There's constant movement in there up and down. But the gap from 20 to 13 is almost 300 basis points. It's very difficult to crack the bubble. In fact, I'd say Penn State at 16 basically has no shot either.  It's just not going to happen. ... Everyone here would be better off not worrying about it, and just enjoy each game for what it is, and shoot for that bye. Although my personal opinion is that it wouldn't be terrible from a team building standpoint to play two gimme home games before getting to the meatier quarterfinals. So if they're playing well, but fall short of 4th, it's not so bad.
Burning the midnight oil just to crush our dreams? lol but I agree with you, believing that we can get an at large will do us more harm than good now. Regarding the ECAC tournament, the first round is just one game now right? So it is a pretty big deal still to get a bye because you don't want to be in a spot where one bad game or good day from a goalie ends your season.

Give My Regards

Quote from: adamwAlthough my personal opinion is that it wouldn't be terrible from a team building standpoint to play two gimme home games before getting to the meatier quarterfinals. So if they're playing well, but fall short of 4th, it's not so bad.

If you're talking about hosting the first round of the playoffs, that's one game.
If you lead a good life, go to Sunday school and church, and say your prayers every night, when you die, you'll go to LYNAH!

Scersk '97

Quote from: RichH
Quote from: Trotsky
Quote from: SnowballEnjoy the New Haven pizza: Pepe's or Sally's?
There was one on I want to say Yates Ave?  Or maybe the place was called Yates?

Problem: in around 1990.

Outside the Pepe/Sally/Modern triumvirate, the enjoyable places for me are BAR, Yorkside, and that hole-in-the-wall place ... I think it was on Wall right near campus. It might have closed. Just the quintessential college hang-out.

For my money, BAR has/had the best pizza-quality + drinks + atmosphere combo.

When I moved there, I found that there's an established New Haven style pizza place in DC (Pete's Apizza) that's good, and now there are Pepe's franchises in Alexandria and Bethesda.

Yorkside is our constant choice, as locals. Feels like home, which is probably because it's run by relations (close-ish cousins, I think) of the folks who run Souvlaki House.

Trotsky

Quote from: adamwJust to help Trotsky from believing - Cornell has no shot at an at-large bid.

Good.  Now I can concentrate again.