NCAA Tournament Possibilities

[Scersk '97]

The season might not be over...

That's wins by all higher seeds except for a win by Michigan in the B1G. Denver must beat Minnesota-Duluth in the NCHC consolation.

[RichH]

Currently 13% of scenarios:

https://twitter.com/chnews/status/709159213923246081

[Dafatone]

We're still alive!

[BearLover]

That's awkward.  Does Schafer hold regular practices for another week?

[jkahn]

It looks like the scenarios that get us there are basically:  Michigan wins the Big Ten, UMD loses both the semi and consolation, Michigan Tech wins its tournament or loses its semi, and neither Dartmouth or St. Lawrence win the ECAC.  Obviously I haven't run them all, but if anyone has some examples of where the above doesn't work for us or where something else does get us in, let us all know.

[marty]

It looks like the scenarios that get us there are basically:  Michigan wins the Big Ten, UMD loses both the semi and consolation, Michigan Tech wins its tournament or loses its semi, and neither Dartmouth or St. Lawrence win the ECAC.  Obviously I haven't run them all, but if anyone has some examples of where the above doesn't work for us or where something else does get us in, let us all know.

I think I'd rather just look at the SI swimsuit issue.

[upprdeck]

i had mass lowell/northeastern  win and it knocked us out if mich tech does not win

root for bc/prov.. quin/harv. 2 UMD losses and mich tech..

basically chalk.

[KeithK]

i had mass lowell/northeastern  win and it knocked us out if mich tech does not win

root for bc/prov.. quin/harv. 2 UMD losses and mich tech..

basically chalk.

So you mean I have to root for Q and H and BC?  Talk about a bitter pill to swallow.

[Trotsky]

It's funny but I have no issue with Q.  Yeah, they're basically a diploma mill for kids who didn't get into Colgate, and yeah Pecknold is an ass, but I doubt we lose many prospects to them the way we likely do to HYP, and they do the job out of conference which lifts all boats, as opposed to the Crimson's perpetual lock on the Beanpot consolation game.  And they have decent uniforms.  I much prefer Q to, say, Union.

[upprdeck]

mich tech or minn st winning we can get in.

i found that if minn loses to MSU,  Minn duluth can win game one. but only if prov wins HE
but if Minn Duluth loses twice we have many ways to get in.
couldnt find a way for Duluth to win game 2 and we get in.

not sure if Minn Duluth tie does something as it never sticks to tell if it took but i think its bad for us

even found several ways to get us to 14 and we dont need Quin to win for that

really root for minn and minn duluth to lose game and many ways open up

[Trotsky]

On the USCHO ECAC thread there is a claim that there is a scenario where Dartmouth wins it all and we still get in (giving the ECAC five slots).  Can anybody confirm this?

[Jim Hyla]

On the USCHO ECAC thread there is a claim that there is a scenario where Dartmouth wins it all and we still get in (giving the ECAC five slots).  Can anybody confirm this?

Yes, here. We end up tied with Dartmouth at 14.

It only works if they beat Harvard in finals, not if it's SLU.

And it still looks like Minn-Duluth needs 2 losses. Also Mich Tech either needs to win it all, or lose in semis. If they lose in finals, their RPI is too high for us.

So Harvard needs to win semis, Minn-Duluth needs 2 loses, and Mich Tech lose in semis or win it all. Maybe there are more options?

[jkahn]

On the USCHO ECAC thread there is a claim that there is a scenario where Dartmouth wins it all and we still get in (giving the ECAC five slots).  Can anybody confirm this?

Yes, here. We end up tied with Dartmouth at 14.

It only works if they beat Harvard in finals, not if it's SLU.

And it still looks like Minn-Duluth needs 2 losses. Also Mich Tech either needs to win it all, or lose in semis. If they lose in finals, their RPI is too high for us.

So Harvard needs to win semis, Minn-Duluth needs 2 loses, and Mich Tech lose in semis or win it all. Maybe there are more options?

and just flipping the BC-Providence result to have BC winning in the "Dartmouth scenario" above causes Northeastern to jump over us and knock us out.

[billhoward]

It looks like the scenarios that get us there are basically:  Michigan wins the Big Ten, UMD loses both the semi and consolation, Michigan Tech wins its tournament or loses its semi, and neither Dartmouth or St. Lawrence win the ECAC.  Obviously I haven't run them all, but if anyone has some examples of where the above doesn't work for us or where something else does get us in, let us all know.

Or we could've just won one or two more RS games.

[nshapiro]

Or we could've just won one or two more RS games.

I don't like that defeatist attitude. It's not over yet.  Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?