What's going on with this year's team?

Started by ajh258, November 15, 2015, 03:40:01 PM

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ajh258

Quote from: Scersk '97What is going on with this year's team? This is a stat I pay attention to on the team statistics page at collegehockeystats.net.


 Conference Only
      MINS
----------------
 +: 137:18 37.4%
 -:  35:34  9.7%
 E: 194:44 53.0%


We're not playing catch-up often. When we do, we answer back quickly.

(And, the league is strong this year. To be clear: the numbers above are not '03,'05, or '10 numbers, but they're getting there. Impressive vs. this competition.)


Trotsky

After 10 games, 1 loss.

2016: 1
2015: 4
2013: 3
2012: 3
2011: 6
2010: 2
2009: 1
2008: 5
2007: 3
2006: 3
2005: 2
2004: 2
2003: 1
2002: 2
2001: 3
2000: 6

RichH

Quote from: TrotskyAfter 10 games, 1 loss.

It's wrong to still be pissed off about that loss too, right? I'm fine with the record, but not that game.

margolism

I'd be curious to see an updated version of the "Should he stay or should he go" survey results based on the season thus far...

Trotsky

Quote from: RichH
Quote from: TrotskyAfter 10 games, 1 loss.

It's wrong to still be pissed off about that loss too, right? I'm fine with the record, but not that game.
It's wrong, because we've stolen some other games, like Brown and to be honest probably tonight.  We're probably equidistant between 10-0-0 and 6-4-0, so I will take where we are.

Scersk '97

Quote from: RichH
Quote from: TrotskyAfter 10 games, 1 loss.

It's wrong to still be pissed off about that loss too, right? I'm fine with the record, but not that game.

Yeah, three goals on 13 shots? What the hell, LeNeveu!

BearLover

I think we're getting quite lucky, and should be grateful for our record--although to think that we'd be the undefeated one, not Q, had we held on to a 3-goal lead, and that it would have done wonders for our chances at an at-large bid, it's certainly frustrating to have blown that one.  Impossible to complain given then expectations and the injuries, though.  

Gillam has been strong and the team has looked disciplined (not just penalty-wise, but defensively).  No more wild coast to coast action we started to see on the last few teams.  The biggest difference between this year's team and past years' is that everyone is contributing, including players who wouldn't have made the lineup if not for the injuries.  That includes a lot of young players, which is the most promising sign of all.

RichH

Quote from: Trotsky
Quote from: RichH
Quote from: TrotskyAfter 10 games, 1 loss.

It's wrong to still be pissed off about that loss too, right? I'm fine with the record, but not that game.
It's wrong, because we've stolen some other games, like Brown and to be honest probably tonight.  We're probably equidistant between 10-0-0 and 6-4-0, so I will take where we are.

Completely agree with this. We have at least one win & one tie we shouldn't have gotten. Sign me up for this record in December every year. But that game. In our house, against a team I think could run the table. It's maddening.

Also, we've looked very TIRED in the 3rd periods. Big time luck, great shot-blocking/Goaltending and no way I think we're top 10 *YET*.

KeithK

Quote from: RichHAlso, we've looked very TIRED in the 3rd periods. Big time luck, great shot-blocking/Goaltending and no way I think we're top 10 *YET*.
I agree. Hopefully being tired is just a matter of health. We may be playing a full eighteen skaters every game but I bet some of them aren't 100%.

Trotsky

Quote from: RichHSign me up for this record in December every year. But that game. In our house, against a team I think could run the table. It's maddening.

We'll have our chances against high PWR teams, hopefully with a full crew:

1 at Quinnipiac
2 Harvard
2 at Harvard
4 vs Providence
5 vs BC (possibly)
11 Yale
12 at SLU
15 RPI
15 at RPI
16 Dartmouth
16 at Dartmouth

and Merrimack (x2) and Clarkson (x2) aren't bad, either.  Not to mention that if we go deep into Placid we'll have probably beaten a high PWR team.  By Selection Sunday we could wind up with something like 26 games played against teams in the top 20 at the time of playing, and 6 or 7 against top 5 teams.

Robb

Yikes. Then again, KRACH already has our SOS at 11th, so perhaps that's not too much tougher than what we've been seeing? Don't have time to check the math right now....
Let's Go RED!

Al DeFlorio

Quote from: RobbYikes. Then again, KRACH already has our SOS at 11th, so perhaps that's not too much tougher than what we've been seeing? Don't have time to check the math right now....
Most SOS leaders are ECAC teams...as of now.
Al DeFlorio '65

css228

I'm not going to lie I'm incredibly skeptical of this team. Before the BU game we looked like a good possession team, but we had only played 2 teams with decent possession stats (Yale and Q, who is ) and we went 0-1-1 in those matchups. The rest of the teams were in the bottom 3rd in both CF% and CF% close (which is a better metric by far than PWR or KRACH to compare a team). Since then our possesion stats have gone in a freefall. We currently stand at 47.7% CF and 51.2% CF close. The first might be due to score effects, and the second number isnt bad, but before the BU game it was 53.7% CF close which screams to me that we were beating up on bad teams and now that we've actually had to play a run of good possession teams (BU, Clarkson, and SLU) our possession numbers have basically looked like we've iced a top pair Andrew MacDonald and Dan Girardi. Admittedly, we won the two against Clarkson and SLU, but we pretty much stole both. We're basically a little fluky puck luck away from being winless over any team with a CF% greater than 50%. That doesn't scream good team. It screams at best slightly above average team that has the potential to come apart in the 2nd half of the year.

css228

Quote from: css228I'm not going to lie I'm incredibly skeptical of this team. Before the BU game we looked like a good possession team, but we had only played 2 teams with decent possession stats (Yale and Q, who is ) and we went 0-1-1 in those matchups. The rest of the teams were in the bottom 3rd in both CF% and CF% close (which is a better metric by far than PWR or KRACH to compare a team). Since then our possesion stats have gone in a freefall. We currently stand at 47.7% CF and 51.2% CF close. The first might be due to score effects, and the second number isnt bad, but before the BU game it was 53.7% CF close which screams to me that we were beating up on bad teams and now that we've actually had to play a run of good possession teams (BU, Clarkson, and SLU) our possession numbers have basically looked like we've iced a top pair Andrew MacDonald and Dan Girardi. Admittedly, we won the two against Clarkson and SLU, but we pretty much stole both. We're basically a little fluky puck luck away from being winless over any team with a CF% greater than 50%. That doesn't scream good team. It screams at best slightly above average team that has the potential to come apart in the 2nd half of the year.
Sorry to be a horrible killjoy.

Dafatone

Quote from: css228
Quote from: css228I'm not going to lie I'm incredibly skeptical of this team. Before the BU game we looked like a good possession team, but we had only played 2 teams with decent possession stats (Yale and Q, who is ) and we went 0-1-1 in those matchups. The rest of the teams were in the bottom 3rd in both CF% and CF% close (which is a better metric by far than PWR or KRACH to compare a team). Since then our possesion stats have gone in a freefall. We currently stand at 47.7% CF and 51.2% CF close. The first might be due to score effects, and the second number isnt bad, but before the BU game it was 53.7% CF close which screams to me that we were beating up on bad teams and now that we've actually had to play a run of good possession teams (BU, Clarkson, and SLU) our possession numbers have basically looked like we've iced a top pair Andrew MacDonald and Dan Girardi. Admittedly, we won the two against Clarkson and SLU, but we pretty much stole both. We're basically a little fluky puck luck away from being winless over any team with a CF% greater than 50%. That doesn't scream good team. It screams at best slightly above average team that has the potential to come apart in the 2nd half of the year.
Sorry to be a horrible killjoy.

On the other hand, we've got a slew of injuries, so there's some reason to believe the team could improve.

Our record is better than our goal differential, so on some level we've been getting "lucky".  Plenty of hockey left to sort this out.