ECAC Playoff Possibilities Stuff

[jtwcornell91]

Sorry it's a little late this year.

http://www.elynah.com/tbrw/tbrw.cgi?2015/ecac.nutshell.shtml
http://www.elynah.com/tbrw/tbrw.cgi?2015/ecac.cgimain.shtml

[Jim Hyla]

I can get to the points, but not the script.

[Trotsky]

I can get to the points, but not the script.

Same here.

[jtwcornell91]

Should work now.  Forgot to git add.

[Trotsky]

Should work now.  Forgot to git add.

Great as always!  

Also available from the TBRW 2015 page which is of course everybody's home page.  

[Jim Hyla]

I haven't done all the possibilities, but so far, if we win out :-), as does Q and SLU, and Yale beats 'gate, I get us finishing third. If 'gate wins, we're fourth. It makes sense since Harvard and Dartmouth play Q and SLU (2 losses), Yale plays Q, us and 'gate (2-3 losses), 'gate plays our schedule, and we have the tie-breaker with Clarkson, even if it's 3 way with Yale.

Now all we have to do is win 4 in a row. That's easy, isn't it?

I didn't figure in any ties.

[KeithK]

Now all we have to do is win 4 in a row. That's easy, isn't it?

How 'bout twelve?

[billhoward]

I haven't done all the possibilities, but so far, if we win out :-), as does Q and SLU, and Yale beats 'gate, I get us finishing third.

If we finish fourth, we have to hope one of the 6-12 teams wins in week 2 of the playoffs and they get to be cannon fodder for Quinnipiac Friday in Lake Placid. We played that role last year to Union.

[dbilmes]

If we finish fourth, we have to hope one of the 6-12 teams wins in week 2 of the playoffs and they get to be cannon fodder for Quinnipiac Friday in Lake Placid. We played that role last year to Union.

We still have a lot of work to do just to get a first-round bye. But if we do end up having to play Quinnipiac, we lost twice to them this year by identical 1-0 scores. It's not like they blew us out the way Yale used to in previous years.

[Give My Regards]

As long as we're playing pie-in-the-sky, how about this:

Quinnipiac, Clarkson, and Cornell all win out.
St. Lawrence goes 0-4.
Yale beats Colgate.

This would set up a tie for second at 26 points among Cornell, Clarkson, and possibly Yale.  Cornell would take second based on a head-to-head sweep against the other two.

[Trotsky]

A bye isn't impossible, but we should talk about the path in the likelier scenario that we finish 5th through 8th.

5th and 6th mean playing Princeton or Brown; while they just had a great weekend (7 of 8 points) they seem clearly below Union, who I still think is dangerous in a short series.

7th or 8th means Union or RPI.  It's possible that one of them may recover form, so 7th means we play the poorer of the two.

Likewise, each step up means increasing the odds of delaying potentially lethal meetings with Q, SLU and Dartmouth.

tl; dr: Every slot actually matters.

[Trotsky]

One thing that may help.  This will be the first time this season that Cornell plays 3 consecutive opponents unranked in USCHO.

[BearLover]

This team hasn't had a 4-point weekend since November.  I don't think we have to worry about any byes.

[Jim Hyla]

This team hasn't had a 4-point weekend since November.  I don't think we have to worry about any byes.

Nobody's worrying, but this thread is labeled "possibilities ".

[KeithK]

This team hasn't had a 4-point weekend since November.  I don't think we have to worry about any byes.

Nobody's worrying, but this thread is labeled "possibilities ".

It's more fun to dream of unlikely possibilities (like twelve game winning streaks) than to just write off the team as a lousy .500 squad and look forward to November.