Conference Playoffs: Non-conference rooting interests

[Chris '03]

Conference Tournaments:

Thursday:
Big Ten:
MSU v. OSU
PSU v. Michigan

Friday:
Big Ten:
TBD v. Wisconsin
TBD v. Minnesota

AHA:
Niagara v. RMU
Canisius v. Mercyhurst

HEA:
UNH v. PC
ND v. UML

WCHA:
UAA v. FSU
BGSU v. MSU-M
FSU winning this tournament is important. UAA and Bowling Green would vulture bids. Cornell and Mankato are in the group fighting for at large. A BG win on Friday goes a long way to ending Mankato's season but also buts BG closer to stealing a bid.

NCHC:
Miami v. ND
DU v. WMU




With Cornell's NCAA chances still hanging in the balance, there's a lot of non-conference scoreboard watching to be done over the next two weeks. Cornell's rooting interests are for a) whatever helps PWR b) whatever eliminates bubble teams and c) whatever minimizes outlier auto-bids eating up the 13-15 seeds. Teams who it seems Cornell should root for this weekend are in bold.  Any others?

Conference Quarters (all best of three)

AHA  
Canisius @ Bentley (CAN 2-1)
RMU @ UConn (RMU 2-0)
Niagara @ AFA (NIA 2-1)
Holy Cross @ Mercyhurst (MC 2-0)

HEA  
Northeastern @ UNH (NE 2-0)
Maine @ Providence (PC 2-0)
Notre Dame @ BC (ND 2-1)
UVM @ UML (UML 2-1)

WCHA
MTU @ BGU
Bemidji @ Ferris (FSU 2-1)
Northern Michigan @ MSU-Mankato (MSU-M 2-0)
UAA @ UAF (UAF 1-0)

NCHC
Western Michigan @ Duluth (WMU 2-0)
Denver @ UNO (Denver 2-1)
Miami @ SCSU (Miami 2-0)
CC @ North Dakota (ND 2-1)


Big Ten Regular season (two games each):
Minnesota @ Michigan (1-1)
OSU @ PSU (1-1)
Wisconsin @ MSU (1-1)

[nyc94]

I think if Cornell sweeps and BC sweeps Notre Dame we can move ahead of Notre Dame.  Same if Maine were to sweep Providence - it does significant damage to Providence's chances and while it improves Maine's they shouldn't be a threat to us.

[Jeff Hopkins '82]

FWIW, UNO beating Denver last night moved our RPI from 0.5412 to 0.5415.  Sounds to me, the bigger impact is what we do and what the teams near us do.

[Trotsky]

FWIW, UNO beating Denver last night moved our RPI from 0.5412 to 0.5415.  Sounds to me, the bigger impact is what we do and what the teams near us do.

Here are the teams +/- .01 RPICH:

.5482 Notre Dame at BC: WON
.5468 North Dakota vs CC: WON
.5462 Providence vs Maine: WON
.5418 Vermont at Lowell: LOST
.5415 Cornell vs Clarkson: WON
.5406 Michigan vs Minnesota: LOST
.5393 Northeastern at UNH: LOST
.5356 Colgate vs St. Lawrence: WON
.5364 Mankato vs Northern Michigan: WON
.5344 Yale at Quinnipiac: LOST

[Trotsky]

Not a game of PWR interest, but tonight the Bemidji goaltender had 15 saves and gave up 8 goals.

[Beeeej]

Not a game of PWR interest, but tonight the Bemidji goaltender had 15 saves and gave up 8 goals.

Speaking of which, with most results now in the books, we're up to #12 in the PWR.

[Jeff Hopkins '82]

Not a game of PWR interest, but tonight the Bemidji goaltender had 15 saves and gave up 8 goals.

Speaking of which, with most results now in the books, we're up to #12 in the PWR.

Still pretty volatile tho.  At one point in the evening Colgate was at 12 and we were 13.  Once the St. Cloud loss came in, they dropped back to 15 and we moved up.

[Al DeFlorio]

Not a game of PWR interest, but tonight the Bemidji goaltender had 15 saves and gave up 8 goals.

Speaking of which, with most results now in the books, we're up to #12 in the PWR.

Still pretty volatile tho.  At one point in the evening Colgate was at 12 and we were 13.  Once the St. Cloud loss came in, they dropped back to 15 and we moved up.

With all the complexity and adjustments for this, that and the other thing, the fact is the PWR tracks the much reviled RPI almost perfectly, with only two irrelevant flip-flops pretty far down in the rankings.

[ChipJ]

I was blown away that the Irish beat BC 7-2 at BC last night.
BC is not going to sweep that series!

[Trotsky]

Saturday night's +/- .01 RPICH:

09 .5519 Notre Dame at BC: LOST
10 .5486 Providence vs Maine: WON
11 .5465 North Dakota vs CC: LOST
12 .5431 Cornell vs Clarkson: LOST
13 .5387 Mankato vs Northern Michigan: WON
14 .5380 Vermont at Lowell: WON
15 .5372 Colgate vs St. Lawrence: WON
16 .5368 Michigan vs Minnesota: WON
17 .5357 Northeastern at UNH: WON

[Beeeej]

As of the end of game two, we're #16 in the Pairwise. We pretty much have to win out now.

[scoop85]

As of the end of game two, we're #16 in the Pairwise. We pretty much have to win out now.

I was afraid today's loss would give us a big hit, and I was right. No margin for error now.

[Trotsky]

As of the end of game two, we're #16 in the Pairwise. We pretty much have to win out now.

A win tomorrow and a win against #3 Union might gain us back enough breathing room to make it,  but let's be on the safe side and just win the whole fucking thing.

[jkahn]

With St. Cloud getting eliminated in the NCHC playoffs tonight, it's now also more likely someone below us might grab a spot by winning the NCHC playoffs.  That's not good news for us (or Colgate).

[Trotsky]

The late results hurt us (now 17) but completely fucked Colgate (now 16 despite their sweep).