Bracketology

[Jim Hyla]

It starts. Here's the first from USCHO's Jayson Moy.

Since USCHO has begun the PairWise Rankings, we have correctly identified all of the teams that have been selected to the NCAA tournament.

I'm the only national prognosticator that has correctly predicted each of the last three brackets for the NCAA tournament, meaning that I have interpreted how the committee thought when putting together the brackets.

Read more: http://www.uscho.com/bracketology/2014/01/08/10-weeks-out-and-hockey-east-has-a-strong-presence-in-the-bracket/#ixzz2puj2DRVd

Here's the first outcome:

Code Select Expand


This week's brackets

West Regional (St. Paul)
16 Mercyhurst vs. 1 Minnesota
11 Clarkson vs. 8 Massachusetts-Lowell

Midwest Regional (Cincinnati)
14 Vermont vs. 3 St. Cloud State
9 Michigan vs. 5 Union

East Regional (Bridgeport)
13 New Hampshire vs. 4 Ferris State
10 Northeastern vs. 6 Quinnipiac

Northeast Regional (Worcester)
15 Wisconsin vs. 2 Boston College
12 Cornell vs. 7 Providence
Conference breakdowns

Hockey East — 6
ECAC Hockey — 4
Big Ten — 3
Atlantic Hockey — 1
NCHC — 1
WCHA — 1


Union is the eastern team that get's screwed this time.

[BMac]

Stop the season right now! I'll take this.

[Trotsky]

Stop the season right now! I'll take this.

Was thinking the same thing.  It also gives the chance of an all-ECAC Frozen Four, which would make the head of every USCHO poster west of Buffalo asplode.

[Josh '99]

Stop the season right now! I'll take this.

Was thinking the same thing.  It also gives the chance of an all-ECAC Frozen Four, which would make the head of every USCHO poster west of Buffalo asplode.

Probably everyone east of Hamden too.

[KeithK]

Union is the eastern team that get's screwed this time.

If you've got to get screwed in a bracket it's best to do so in January...

[nyc94]

Some differences in Pairwise between the USCHO site and CHN app. Possibly related to road wins/home losses adjustments to RPI?

[Jim Hyla]

The latest.

Code Select Expand


This week's brackets

West Regional (St. Paul)
16 Mercyhurst vs. 1 Minnesota
9 Massachusetts-Lowell vs. 5 St. Cloud State

Midwest Regional (Cincinnati)
15 Michigan vs. 3 Ferris State
10 Wisconsin vs. 6 Union

East Regional (Bridgeport)
13 New Hampshire vs. 4 Quinnipiac
12 Yale vs. 8 Providence

Northeast Regional (Worcester)
14 Clarkson vs. 2 Boston College
11 Cornell vs. 7 Northeastern
Conference breakdowns

Hockey East — 5
ECAC Hockey — 5
Big Ten — 3
Atlantic Hockey — 1
NCHC — 1
WCHA — 1
On the move

In: Yale

Out: Vermont

Read more: http://www.uscho.com/bracketology/2014/01/15/nine-weeks-out-and-we-can-get-a-good-regional-bracket/#ixzz2qVKttGlS

That good old eastern hockey.

[nyc94]

Some volatility in the Pairwise at the bubble.  After last night Yale and New Hampshire would be out, Maine and Notre Dame in.

[jkahn]

CHN and USCHO have been showing different Pairwise Rankings.
Cqn anyone enlighten us as to why they may be different?

[nyc94]

CHN and USCHO have been showing different Pairwise Rankings.
Cqn anyone enlighten us as to why they may be different?

Differences in calculating RPI.  CHN page has this note: This chart is updated as each game result comes in. The final RPI does not currently reflect home/road weighting.

USCHO has this to say in the Bracketology column: "In calculation of the index, wins on the road and losses at home have a weighting factor of 1.2. Wins at home and losses on the road have a weighting factor of 0.8. All neutral-site games have a weighting factor of 1.0. A tie is one-half of a win and one-half of a loss, so home/road ties are treated accordingly for the teams involved."  And this: "There is a quality wins bonus for wins against teams in the top 20 of the RPI. A win against the No. 1 team in the RPI is worth 0.05 points, and is scaled down by 0.0025 points for each place until you reach No. 20, where a bonus of 0.0025 points will be given."

[Jim Hyla]

This weeks edition.

Code Select Expand


West Regional (St. Paul)
16 Mercyhurst vs. 1 Minnesota
9 Massachusetts-Lowell vs. 8 St. Cloud State

Midwest Regional (Cincinnati)
[b][u]15 Michigan vs. 4 Union[/u][/b]
11 Notre Dame vs. 5 Ferris State

East Regional (Bridgeport)
[b][u]14 Yale vs. 3 Quinnipiac
12 Clarkson vs. 6 Providence[/u][/b]

Northeast Regional (Worcester)
[u][b]13 Cornell vs. 2 Boston College[/b][/u]
10 Wisconsin vs. 7 Northeastern
Conference breakdowns

Hockey East — 5
[b][u]ECAC Hockey — 5[/u][/b]
Big Ten — 3
Atlantic Hockey — 1
NCHC — 1
WCHA — 1
On the move

In: Notre Dame

Out: New Hampshire

Read more: http://www.uscho.com/bracketology/2014/01/22/eight-weeks-out-and-intraconference-matchups-cause-a-headache/#ixzz2rDt1PtWs



[nyc94]

Yale v. Quinnipiac in the first round?  Just to "protect" Minnesota?

[Jeff Hopkins '82]

Yale v. Quinnipiac in the first round?  Just to "protect" Minnesota?

1-16 and 3-14 are the natural pairings.  The only swap breaks up us versus Union (4-13), and it helps attendance in both regionals, so it makes sense to me.

We just need to move up to the 3-band and then it all goes away.  :-P

[Trotsky]

Who is the Bridgeport host?  Edit: acc. to below, it's Yale.

[nyc94]

Yale v. Quinnipiac in the first round?  Just to "protect" Minnesota?

1-16 and 3-14 are the natural pairings.  The only swap breaks up us versus Union (4-13), and it helps attendance in both regionals, so it makes sense to me.

We just need to move up to the 3-band and then it all goes away.  :-P

2003 rules: swap Mercyhurst and Yale. Edit: Never mind. Yale is a host.  I keep forgetting that even though it was mentioned three or more times in the article.  Only other option would be to swap Quinnipiac and BC and then Mercyhurst with Cornell which they would never do and would really suck for us.