The Rest of the ECAC Reg Season

[Jim Hyla]

The final weekend is posted further down this thread.

Well, am I bummed? Yes
Upset? Yes
Pessimistic? No, at least not for the ECAC.
We could have (should have?) won the last 3 games against the number 2,4, & 6 team. Princeton was fatigue at the end, Dartmouth was uncharacteristic defensive lapses and bad luck, and Harvard was completely outplayed, except for PK. We have shown we can beat these teams. The rest of the schedule is favorable, but we have to say Yale is the best for the reg season.

Here's the rest of the season, with "power rankings" (SRS) for each team's remaining schedule. I gave 1 point for facing the first place team, 2 for second, etc..,Q & Hvd got 6.5 each. Then add them to get SRS. With that stat we have the easiest schedule. Compared to Princeton, our differences are we have RPI & Union and they have Dartmouth & Harvard.

Code Select Expand


         Pts SRS
1  Yale  29  22.5 @Q,   @P,   Us,    gate
2  Prin  24  23.5 Bwn,  Yale, @Dmth, @Hvd
3  Us    23  31   RPI,  Unn,  @Yale, @Bwn
4  Dmth  22  22.5 @Clk, @SLU, Prin,  Q
5  SLU   19  28.5 Hvd,  Dmth, @Unn,  @RPI
6  Q     18  23.5 Yale, Bwn,  @Hvd,  @Dmth
   Hvd   18  22.5 @SLU, @Clk, Q,     Prin
8  Unn   17  28   @gate,@Us,  SLU,   Clk
9  Clk   15  28.5 Dmth, Hvd,  @RPI,  @Unn
10 RPI   13  28   @Us,  @gate,Clk,   SLU
11 gate  11  31   Unn,  RPI,  Bwn,   Yale
12 Brwn   7  22.5 @Prin,@Q,   gate,  Us

So we have the easiest remaining schedule. We are in good position against Prin, Dmth, Q, & Hvd; and OK against SLU. Certainly good position for fourth and OK for third or second. We need to tighten our D, keep our offensive pressure and on to playoffs.

[Chris '03]

It's a little concerning to see how opponents have played Cornell the second time around. Consider:

PU- @W, L
QU- @T, W
HU- W, @L
DC- W, @L
SLU- W, @L
CCT- W, @T
CG- @W, T, T

RPI- @W, ?
UC- @W, ?
YU- L, @?
BU- W, @?

So far the only result that has been matched or exceeded the second time through has been vs. QU. First time through the team went 9-1-1. Second time through it's 1-4-2. Of course some of that could be that the team has underperformed somewhat on the road (4-3-2 vs. 6-2-1) and some could be injuries. But the trend is not the best to say the least.

[Trotsky]

Could have been worse, since they stole a point in the 'Gate home game.  But then again, they could very easily have just gone 3-0 against Princeton, Dartmouth and Harvard.  It isn't as if they're getting blown out, or even out-played.  As long as they don't panic, I think they will turn it around.

[marty]

My feeling after the UMass game and Capital District trip was that the team wasn't the defensive force of 03 05 and 06.  We were good but not great and there was a need to step up the offense - for the team to gel a bit more - before we could look beyond Albany.  Our offense had to improve to make the goals for vs. goals against allow wins.

With the injuries, it didn't happen.  Will it yet?

[cth95]

I think the offense was really moving during the Dartmouth game.  I was very impressed with the speed and the breakout.  I think breaking up Nash and Greening worked in that regard.  Rather than having a great line with a big drop off after that, both of the first two lines skated and moved the puck well.  The down side of this, of course, is that it also left us open to some good opportunities going back the other way.

As a side note, I have been really impressed with Barlow in the couple of games I have seen live.  The Union game goes without saying, and it just seemed like he wanted the puck more and hustled to get it more than just about any other player on the ice at Dartmouth.

[TimV]

Fun. Plug in your game predictions and the final standings come out.  If I set us up to win out, and Princeton doesn't, we finish second, and if the higher team wins in the first round we get Union.  If Princeton wins out we wind up third, and there's all kinds of possibilities.

Try it here: "What If" Calculator

You can also set it up for other conferences.

[daredevilcu]

TBRW has one that actually counts tiebreakers, which the siouxsports one doesn't.  You post the actual scores of the games, not the winners, and it does all the tiebreaks for you very cleanly and explicitly.

[TimV]

Great!!  Tell me the scores of the rest of the games!:-D

[ugarte]

[quote TimV]Plug in your game predictions and the final standings come out.  If I set us up to win out, and Princeton doesn't, we finish second, ... If Princeton wins out we wind up third,...[/quote]
I figured that out without a fancy program!

[jtwcornell91]

[quote daredevilcu]TBRW has one that actually counts tiebreakers, which the siouxsports one doesn't.  You post the actual scores of the games, not the winners, and it does all the tiebreaks for you very cleanly and explicitly.[/quote]

ECAC Playoff Possibilities Script

[TimV]

Heh! Right...::doh::

[Chris 02]

Interesting statistics similar to the ECAC PPS and the TBRW tools posted on this site...looks like they don't consider ties in their analysis.

http://www.playoffstatus.com/ecachockey/ecacstandings.html

And it's got data for other "leagues" and sports also.

[Trotsky]

Just. Win. Baby.

[ursusminor]

[quote Trotsky]Just. Win. Baby.[/quote]

Is Schafer bringing him back to beat up on Erik Burgdoerfer?

[Trotsky]

[quote ursusminor][quote Trotsky]Just. Win. Baby.[/quote]

Is Schafer bringing him back to beat up on Erik Burgdoerfer?[/quote]Only iof this guy is unavailable.