Quit BITCHING about seeding

Started by jeh25, March 20, 2005, 03:09:51 PM

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Scersk '97

Yeah, it was more a convenience for the spreadsheet than anything else.  I made the comment that I did more because I had a home team at every other regional, so UHN would've been the logical one at Amherst.  In fact, since I made Michigan home at GR, I should make UHN home at Amherst.  I guess I've opened up my own "can of worms."

I just like doing math now that I don't have to, you know... :)

CrazyLarry

As I recall, I don't remember you doing too much back then, either....

:-P

Scersk '97

Now, now, let's not bring up my "gentleman's Cs..."

And you'll never be able to find the money that I've hidden away in my secret offshore bank account!  Oh crap!  I shouldn't have mentioned the secret bank account.

PS  Don't tell the bones.

jtwcornell91

[Q]Scersk '97 Wrote:
Ahhahaha, but it doesn't matter!  If both teams have their KASA "adjusted" towards an "away" match but are meeting at a neutral site, then it's the same as comparing their unadjusted KASA's.[/q]

Yes, but you should not give BC, Michigan, BU or UNH home advantages in their regionals, only Minnesota.


Scersk '97

True, I could repost without those, like, say:


Regional     Team       KRACH KASA  Adjusted  1st Game    CBS         1st KASA    CBS KASA
West
           4 Minnesota  620.4 589.9 663.81447 0.672010399 0.375878081 0.722725857 0.437741494
           5 Cornell    592.6 590.7 524.89602 0.630358473 0.343782959 0.635639729 0.321522712
          10 Ohio State 347.5 338.6 300.87996 0.369641527 0.1539689   0.364360271 0.136846435
          13 Maine      302.8 286.6 254.67276 0.327989601 0.12637006  0.277274143 0.103889358

Midwest
           3 CC         1031  990.1 879.80286 0.822497008 0.533493632 0.820366228 0.531886572
           6 Michigan   619.7 605   537.603   0.560003615 0.246058638 0.570700877 0.253047781
          11 Wisconsin  486.9 455.1 404.40186 0.439996385 0.169690817 0.429299123 0.163137486
          14 Colgate    222.5 216.8 192.64848 0.177502992 0.050756914 0.179633772 0.051928161

East
           1 BC         642.5 611.7 543.55662 0.974562774 0.584218271 0.969428993 0.580936577
           7 N Dakota   469.1 451.7 401.38062 0.549619215 0.239539965 0.556349304 0.245407294
          12 BU         384.4 360.2 320.07372 0.450380785 0.175280302 0.443650696 0.17227012
          16 Mercyhurst 16.77 19.29 17.141094 0.025437226 0.000961463 0.030571007 0.001386009

Northeast  
           2 Denver     975.8 940.4 835.63944 0.901681759 0.649827644 0.892220114 0.643235671
           8 UHN        428.9 413.5 367.4361  0.576788596 0.204234035 0.578079128 0.206401875
           9 Harvard    314.7 301.8 268.17948 0.423211404 0.124152959 0.421920872 0.124498489
          15 Bemidji    106.4 113.6 100.94496 0.098318241 0.021785361 0.107779886 0.025863965


The differences are obvious.

[Q]CrazyLarry Wrote:
You could argue crowds for BC, BU and Michigan, but I would think UHN will also get plenty of crowd support at Amherst.  But crowd support and actual home rink are two different things.[/q]
When you compare Michigan's travel distance with CC's and Colgate's--even Wisco's--GR starts looking like a home regional for Michigan.  Same argument for BU and BC.  Of course, one could also make the same argument for UHN and Harvard, I just chose not to.  There's really no question that the latter chart is less arbitrary.

Chief AA Bear

Nice job with the calcs, but notwithstanding the numbers, and from actual attendance "observation' a couple seasons ago, with most of the State of New Hampshire showing up in Amhearts (like they did at the Worcester Centrum), and the poor crowd support for Harvard, I can confidently state that Amhearst WILL be like home ice for UNH.

-- dahh bear