Polls and NPI 2026

Started by Trotsky, November 15, 2025, 07:55:28 AM

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Trotsky

After the Brown win we are 6 in NPI with, and I swear I am not making this up, 9 in SOS, I believe entirely on the strength of having played the NPI #1 Dartmouth (cf. Colgate at 7 in SOS).  My ignorant guess is once Dartmouth loses a few we will dip into the mid teens if we keep up our rate of play and beat the teams we ought.

pjd8

I'm looking at Dartmouth's remaining schedule, and I'm not seeing a lot of teams they "should" lose to. Certainly, they'll drop a few, but I think the only real challenges they have left are us, Q, and maybe (probably not) their two remaining Hockey East games. And I don't see them dropping all five of those. They'll probably win as many of those as they drop games to lesser opponents that they should beat. And they will be stoked to return to Lynah this year.

CHN's Power Ratings has Cornell at 1 for SOS. Colgate is 6. Yale is 3 (from four games, including D and Q). But losing to D didn't help SLU (58) as they have too many other games against lesser opponents diluting the effect.

Having played two UMass games has helped us. Q and BU will help too. But that's about it.

We will share in some of Dartmouth's riches, and we'll need it. Once we beat them in Lynah, I will feel much better about them continuing to have a great season.

Because if we beat them in Lynah, we can beat them in Lake Placid.


BearLover

Quote from: pjd8 on November 15, 2025, 03:47:34 PMI'm looking at Dartmouth's remaining schedule, and I'm not seeing a lot of teams they "should" lose to. Certainly, they'll drop a few, but I think the only real challenges they have left are us, Q, and maybe (probably not) their two remaining Hockey East games. And I don't see them dropping all five of those. They'll probably win as many of those as they drop games to lesser opponents that they should beat. And they will be stoked to return to Lynah this year.

CHN's Power Ratings has Cornell at 1 for SOS. Colgate is 6. Yale is 3 (from four games, including D and Q). But losing to D didn't help SLU (58) as they have too many other games against lesser opponents diluting the effect.

Having played two UMass games has helped us. Q and BU will help too. But that's about it.

We will share in some of Dartmouth's riches, and we'll need it. Once we beat them in Lynah, I will feel much better about them continuing to have a great season.

Because if we beat them in Lynah, we can beat them in Lake Placid.


Overindexing on tiny sample sizes IMO. I doubt Dartmouth is an especially good team. Top 4 in the ECAC sure, but there's nothing impressive about their talent or who they've played so far. If the offsides no-call goes our way we probably tie them, and their other games are against very weak opposition. They have a worse team talent-wise on paper than they've had the past two seasons when they were what, like high-20s in the PWR at best?   

Trotsky

It does not mean anything in November, but I'd rather be 3 than 53.