Predictions for ALL games this week and PWR results

Started by ajh258, March 12, 2012, 11:41:39 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

Jim Hyla

I just redid on USCHO. Got tied for 10, but a low tie. Meaning with Minny, BU, and Lowell. I think we'd get the 13 seed. Sorry Adam and JTW but I think something is wrong in the State of CHN. Maybe it is the TUC.
"Cornell Fans Made the Timbers Tremble", Boston Globe, March/1970
Cornell lawyers stopped the candy throwing. Jan/2005

Jeff Hopkins '82

I was doing all this earlier today on CHN and I couldn't get us out of 13th,  That's consistent with USCHO now.

BTW, if the two remaining results hold (BC and UND win), my expectation is we'd end up in Green Bay against Michigan.  Ugh.

The only way that doesn't happen is if they give us to BC in Worcester and send Air Force to Green Bay, but I can't see them doing that because the attendance in Worcester with both BU and BC would be fine.

jkahn

Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82I was doing all this earlier today on CHN and I couldn't get us out of 13th,  That's consistent with USCHO now.

BTW, if the two remaining results hold (BC and UND win), my expectation is we'd end up in Green Bay against Michigan.  Ugh.

The only way that doesn't happen is if they give us to BC in Worcester and send Air Force to Green Bay, but I can't see them doing that because the attendance in Worcester with both BU and BC would be fine.
They could also switch 15 and 16, so Mich. St. plays BC and Air Force plays Michigan.  Then they can still have 3 vs. 14 and 4 vs. 13.  That would put us in St. Paul vs. No. Dakota.
So it looks like Mich. in GB, No. Dak. in St. Paul or BC in Worcester.
Jeff Kahn '70 '72

Jordan 04

Quote from: jkahn
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82I was doing all this earlier today on CHN and I couldn't get us out of 13th,  That's consistent with USCHO now.

BTW, if the two remaining results hold (BC and UND win), my expectation is we'd end up in Green Bay against Michigan.  Ugh.

The only way that doesn't happen is if they give us to BC in Worcester and send Air Force to Green Bay, but I can't see them doing that because the attendance in Worcester with both BU and BC would be fine.
They could also switch 15 and 16, so Mich. St. plays BC and Air Force plays Michigan.  Then they can still have 3 vs. 14 and 4 vs. 13.  That would put us in St. Paul vs. No. Dakota.
So it looks like Mich. in GB, No. Dak. in St. Paul or BC in Worcester.

So I've read predictions the last 10 mins that have us in Green Bay, St. Paul, Worcester, and Bridgeport.

nyc94

Quote from: jkahnSo it looks like Mich. in GB, No. Dak. in St. Paul or BC in Worcester.

North Dakota in St. Paul would be my least favorite option.

KeithK

Quote from: Jordan 04So I've read predictions the last 10 mins that have us in Green Bay, St. Paul, Worcester, and Bridgeport.
That's probably a pretty safe prediction at this point. :-P

billhoward

Quote from: Jordan 04So I've read predictions the last 10 mins that have us in Green Bay, St. Paul, Worcester, and Bridgeport.
For certain you know where Harvard will be next week.

ajh258

Here's my bracket prediction:

1. Worcester - BC vs AF; UMD vs Maine
2. Green Bay - UND vs Cornell; Ferris State vs Denver
3. Bridgeport - Union vs Western Michigan; Miami vs UMass-Lowell
4. St. Paul - Michigan vs Michigan State; Minnesota vs BU


First, I swapped UND and Michigan mainly because of bracket integrity. It's not really fair to let the #2 seed face #6 seed when St. Paul and Green Bay are so close. Michigan doesn't travel well, it has to fly anyway, and Green Bay will have 3 CCHA teams if Michigan and Michigan State stays there, so I moved them out west.

Second, I know people won't like the Michigan vs Michigan State matchup, but NCAA guidelines clearly state: "Conference matchups in first round are avoided, unless five or more teams from one conference are selected, then the integrity of the bracket will be preserved." USCHO and CHN both picked Michigan State to be swapped out for Cornell, but the committee really should not do this in order to protect the bracket integrity, so I'm leaving them where they are.

I think this is the fairest application of the rules, although NCAA might want to save money on the UND flight to Green Bay. In that case, it might keep UND in St. Paul. If so, they would have to swap Cornell, Michigan State and Western Michigan, in order to preserve bracket integrity and avoid conference match ups because they should really avoid placing 3 CCHA teams in the same regional.

Here is my alternative bracket:

1. Worcester - BC vs AF; UMD vs Maine
2. Green Bay - Michigan vs Cornell; Ferris State vs Denver
3. Bridgeport - Union vs Michigan State; Miami vs UMass-Lowell
4. St. Paul - UND vs Western Michigan; Minnesota vs BU

I don't really see this happening because it doesn't really address the #2 seed integrity issue in St. Paul, but who knows what's going to happen tomorrow.