Alumni in the Pros 2020-2021

Started by jtwcornell91, November 10, 2020, 07:28:44 AM

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Roy 82

Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82.....The covid vax rate here in the Lehigh Valley is pretty good (>66% of adults fully vaxxed).....  
Sigh:-/

Jeff Hopkins '82

Quote from: Roy 82
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82.....The covid vax rate here in the Lehigh Valley is pretty good (>66% of adults fully vaxxed).....  
Sigh:-/

Please clarify, Roy.  Is that response because 66% isn't really that good, or because where you live in Cali isn't that high?

FWIW, now over 67%.  And that's actually % of people 10 years and over.  No idea what the % of actual "adults" is because PA doesn't display it that way.

billhoward

>66% seems like okay-not-great numbers if ineligible kids are excluded from the count. Under-12 (the age group currently ineligible for vaccination) is about 17%-18% of the U.S. population.

upprdeck

you so in the next month about 10% of the pop will be able to get shots and stats show about 50% will  but even that would bump the overall numbers up 5% or so.

Jeff Hopkins '82

Quote from: billhoward>66% seems like okay-not-great numbers if ineligible kids are excluded from the count. Under-12 (the age group currently ineligible for vaccination) is about 17%-18% of the U.S. population.

Actually it includes 10 & 11 year olds.  When the vax was opened to 12 and up, PA chose to measure it in groups of 5 years, so they rounded it to 10 and up.

From what I can see the vax numbers are going up by about 0.1-0.15% each day. It's gonna take a while.

Trotsky

Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82From what I can see the vax numbers are going up by about 0.1-0.15% each day. It's gonna take a while.
Remember, there are two factors.  Increasing the numerator, that's slow.

But, decreasing the denominator without decreasing the numerator...  (taps forehead)

Jeff Hopkins '82

Quote from: Trotsky
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82From what I can see the vax numbers are going up by about 0.1-0.15% each day. It's gonna take a while.
Remember, there are two factors.  Increasing the numerator, that's slow.

But, decreasing the denominator without decreasing the numerator...  (taps forehead)

Hmmmm.  That might actually apply in a place like Florida or Texas.  In PA, the denominator is pretty steady.

Trotsky

Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82
Quote from: Trotsky
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82From what I can see the vax numbers are going up by about 0.1-0.15% each day. It's gonna take a while.
Remember, there are two factors.  Increasing the numerator, that's slow.

But, decreasing the denominator without decreasing the numerator...  (taps forehead)

Hmmmm.  That might actually apply in a place like Florida or Texas.  In PA, the denominator is pretty steady.

I've been through Central PA.  The Law of Large Numbers will do the rest.

Roy 82

Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82
Quote from: Roy 82
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82.....The covid vax rate here in the Lehigh Valley is pretty good (>66% of adults fully vaxxed).....  
Sigh:-/

Please clarify, Roy.  Is that response because 66% isn't really that good, or because where you live in Cali isn't that high?

FWIW, now over 67%.  And that's actually % of people 10 years and over.  No idea what the % of actual "adults" is because PA doesn't display it that way.

I sighed because we have such low expectations. I would hope for 90% and up everywhere. But if they including kids 10-12 then that is something to consider. It looks like that might knock it down about 5%. But still disappointing.

Jim Hyla

Vax rate is nice to know, but since people vax'd can still get the virus and can transmit the virus, knowing the prevalence of Covid is crucial. If Covid was nonexistent in the community, who cares about whether the person next to you is vax'd. But if it's rampant, the vax'd person next to you could be infected and give it to you.

That's why some virologists and public health experts feel the Rapid Test is so valuable. Unlike the PCR test it won't pick up the person with small amounts of virus. However it's very good at picking up people with enough virus in their oral-nasal pharynx to be transmissible.

If you have a negative test, you're not transmissible for at least 6-10 hours. Use of the rapid test is probably the best way to be sure large gatherings are safe.
"Cornell Fans Made the Timbers Tremble", Boston Globe, March/1970
Cornell lawyers stopped the candy throwing. Jan/2005

Trotsky

Quote from: Roy 82I sighed because we have such low expectations. I would hope for 90% and up everywhere. But if they including kids 10-12 then that is something to consider. It looks like that might knock it down about 5%. But still disappointing.

Have you met people?

blackwidow

Bardreau two year two way contract with the Islanders organization.

https://twitter.com/PuckPedia/status/1438650562065485824

Trotsky