PU @ CU

[TimV]

:-/But... for such a collapse by RIP or P to happen, other teams ahead of us would get points too.  We're playing in the first round, no question. We need to win out to have a chance at playing that round at home - and that also involves too many losses to realistically happen to all the teams ahead of us.  I can only hope we play at RPI or Union so I can see a couple more games.

[marty]

:-/But... for such a collapse by RIP or P to happen, other teams ahead of us would get points too.  We're playing in the first round, no question. We need to win out to have a chance at playing that round at home - and that also involves too many losses to realistically happen to all the teams ahead of us.  I can only hope we play at RPI or Union so I can see a couple more games.

And I pray that if this comes to pass that we play Onion. As for RIP they have come back from the dead -you don't need to be Greg to realize that the engineers are on one hell of a hot streak.

[TimV]

I can't help but feel RPI's gotten lucky in the same way we've gotten unlucky.  I see three, maybe 4 more losses for them.  Union's got more talent.

[Jordan 04]

I still think we'll make the playoffs.

[jtn27]

I still think we'll make the playoffs.

I'm not so sure.

[Jim Hyla]

It's time for a playoff script.:-)Do you know anyone?:-}

[Tcl123]

I want Princeton. After that last game, there's no reason why we wouldn't advance. After that, avoid the Q, and its really a crap shoot to get back to boardwalk hall. Obviously, this is the extreme optimist inside me speaking currently.

[Chris '03]

I want Princeton. After that last game, there's no reason why we wouldn't advance. After that, avoid the Q, and its really a crap shoot to get back to boardwalk hall. Obviously, this is the extreme optimist inside me speaking currently.

In the mid-2000s it felt like Harvard made a habit of fielding talented teams that under-performed their way to road playoff series only to run off one impressive playoff run after another (before inevitably losing to maine in the ncaas).  This team is arguably talented enough to follow that script. If they duplicate last night's effort twice next week, there's at least hope for an enjoyable playoff run that lasts more than two nights.

[Trotsky]

c.f.

[Give My Regards]

c.f.

OK, but *they* didn't get shut out... ::panic::

[Trotsky]

I want Princeton. After that last game, there's no reason why we wouldn't advance. After that, avoid the Q, and its really a crap shoot to get back to boardwalk hall. Obviously, this is the extreme optimist inside me speaking currently.

There's a very big gap between Q and the rest of the conference right now.  12 can't avoid going through Q to get to AC, while 7 or better is Q-free before the SF.  Moral: aim for 7.

Unfortunately, with the current 7 at .500 and us 6 (!) games under .500 in conference, we need a 5-1 record to have even a sniff at 7.

[Jim Hyla]

I want Princeton. After that last game, there's no reason why we wouldn't advance. After that, avoid the Q, and its really a crap shoot to get back to boardwalk hall. Obviously, this is the extreme optimist inside me speaking currently.

There's a very big gap between Q and the rest of the conference right now.  12 can't avoid going through Q to get to AC, while 7 or better is Q-free before the SF.  Moral: aim for 7.

Unfortunately, with the current 7 at .500 and us 6 (!) games under .500 in conference, we need a 5-1 record to have even a sniff at 7.

You are assuming that there won't be any upsets in the preliminary games.  Even if we stay at 11, if both Harvard and us win through the playoffs, then Harvard ends up playing Q, as they will be the lowest seed. Not that I wouldn't be happy being 7, but do the best we can and hope there are other upsets.

[dbilmes]

You are assuming that there won't be any upsets in the preliminary games.  Even if we stay at 11, if both Harvard and us win through the playoffs, then Harvard ends up playing Q, as they will be the lowest seed. Not that I wouldn't be happy being 7, but do the best we can and hope there are other upsets.

I haven't looked this up to verify it, but I can't recall a year in the past decade or so where there wasn't at least one upset in the preliminary games.

[Trotsky]

I want Princeton. After that last game, there's no reason why we wouldn't advance. After that, avoid the Q, and its really a crap shoot to get back to boardwalk hall. Obviously, this is the extreme optimist inside me speaking currently.

There's a very big gap between Q and the rest of the conference right now.  12 can't avoid going through Q to get to AC, while 7 or better is Q-free before the SF.  Moral: aim for 7.

Unfortunately, with the current 7 at .500 and us 6 (!) games under .500 in conference, we need a 5-1 record to have even a sniff at 7.

You are assuming that there won't be any upsets in the preliminary games.  Even if we stay at 11, if both Harvard and us win through the playoffs, then Harvard ends up playing Q, as they will be the lowest seed. Not that I wouldn't be happy being 7, but do the best we can and hope there are other upsets.

I actually started out writing that because there is a big lump of similar teams in the middle 1R upset are probably more likely this year.    I decided to keep it simple in the end.

[Trotsky]

You are assuming that there won't be any upsets in the preliminary games.  Even if we stay at 11, if both Harvard and us win through the playoffs, then Harvard ends up playing Q, as they will be the lowest seed. Not that I wouldn't be happy being 7, but do the best we can and hope there are other upsets.

I haven't looked this up to verify it, but I can't recall a year in the past decade or so where there wasn't at least one upset in the preliminary games.

I'm not where I can write up an analysis at the moment, but here is the raw data.