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Further debilitate my server with this and other completely OT topics
Re: What's going on with this year's team? - 8 years ago
BearLover Does CF Close include special teams play? Because Cornell has been taking more penalties than its opponents, and it has been consistently leading in games. CF Close, despite ignoring large score disparities, still includes the time when Cornell is leading by 1 goal--which has been the case far more often this season than them being down by 1 goal. So it's likely Cornell's numbers wouby css228 - Hockey
Re: What's going on with this year's team? - 8 years ago
Scersk '97 We outshot both Yale and SLU "close." Small sample size, relatively better competition than you're allowing. (The ECAC is better overall this year.) As far as Clarkson goes, good thing we have a great goalie; yet, I bet the late 90s Clarkson teams used to "out-Corsi" us too——same result. When all else fails, we've got the D. PS On KRACH, I've found it prby css228 - Hockey
Re: What's going on with this year's team? - 8 years ago
css228 I'm not going to lie I'm incredibly skeptical of this team. Before the BU game we looked like a good possession team, but we had only played 2 teams with decent possession stats (Yale and Q, who is ) and we went 0-1-1 in those matchups. The rest of the teams were in the bottom 3rd in both CF% and CF% close (which is a better metric by far than PWR or KRACH to compare a team). Since then ouby css228 - Hockey
Re: What's going on with this year's team? - 8 years ago
I'm not going to lie I'm incredibly skeptical of this team. Before the BU game we looked like a good possession team, but we had only played 2 teams with decent possession stats (Yale and Q, who is ) and we went 0-1-1 in those matchups. The rest of the teams were in the bottom 3rd in both CF% and CF% close (which is a better metric by far than PWR or KRACH to compare a team). Since then our posseby css228 - Hockey
Re: Should He Stay or Should He Go? - 9 years ago
Dafatone Just to get all nitpicky, my vote would go to "revisit this question in 2-3 seasons". If we're gonna get nitpicky, mine would bee why is this an issue still awaiting resolution. Not only do we watch bad hockey, we watch bad boring hockey. If we had the same record and were scoring more than 2 GPG at least I'd be entertained. But the current situation is basically asking me to sby css228 - Hockey
Re: Union @ CU 2/14/14 - 10 years ago
MattS The crowd was pathetic (again). I swear that the Townie sections do more starting of the "Let's Go Red" chant than the students. You realize students are on break right?by css228 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology - 10 years ago
Give My Regards css228 Or we could just believe that most winning streaks are not only a combination of skill but also lucky bounces going our way. Going forward the most you can expect out of luck in any game is that it will be neutral, so that even if we play the same caliber hockey that we have been playing during the undefeated streak, we have probably been lucky, and therefore as our luck reby css228 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology - 10 years ago
KenP Trotsky With Minnesota's loss, we now have the second-longest active unbeaten streak in the country: Woof woof. You should know better Greg. Or we could just believe that most winning streaks are not only a combination of skill but also lucky bounces going our way. Going forward the most you can expect out of luck in any game is that it will be neutral, so that even if we play the same caliby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hobey Voting - 10 years ago
marty Josh '99 Jim Hyla Hobey column. So, let’s start by examining that top 10, current as of this past Tuesday. 1. Ryan Faragher, junior, G, St. Cloud State 2. Shayne Gostisbehere, junior, D, Union 3. Ben Hutton, sophomore, D, Maine 4. Johnny Gaudreau, junior, F, Boston College 5. Adam Wilcox, sophomore, G, Minnesota 6. Ross Mauermann, junior, F, Providence 7. Ryan Haggerty, junior,by css228 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology - 10 years ago
Trotsky css228I'd prefer we play whatever makes us most likely to get to Broad Street.First time someone really would rather be in Philadelphia. Think that also applied to Valley Forge as well. Not to mention I'd rather be in Philly right now.by css228 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology - 10 years ago
ugarte As long as we're in Bridgeport I don't care who we play. (Sub-caveat: as long as we make the tournament I don't care where we play but also Bridgeport, please.) Eh I'd prefer we play whatever makes us most likely to get to Broad Street.by css228 - Hockey
Re: Cornell 1, Dartmouth 1 - 10 years ago
Dafatone kaelistus This is one of those few times where I truly think a DQ is not enough. If you compare this type of thing with the NHL's penalties as of late (Thornton for example), a multiple game penalty should be awarded. I agree. I think part of the problem is that this doesn't happen all that often in college hockey, so there isn't as much of a precedent for how to deal with such a hit.by css228 - Hockey
Re: Colgate 12/7 - 10 years ago
flyersgolf Was actually hoping Penn State would ask Cornell to play at Wachovia. Yeah its a much nicer place to see a hockey game, the ice isn't horrific, and I don't have to travel all the way to NYC to see the game.by css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
Maple Leafs Update. Not really looking good recently. Can't shoot 10%+ forever.by css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
ugarte Don't feel like responding to a particular post but ... tell me where I'm wrong: From what I've read here, Corsi sounds like a stat that is descriptive, and useful for describing the past (and evaluating player/team quality), but not something that can be used to make specific improvements. I suppose you could juke the stat by SHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOTing more, but what kind of chaos-motivatedby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
KGR11 adamw Here is the main difference between OPS and Corsi. OPS is a direct building block to scoring runs. You would never tell a baseball player "get on base less" or "please hit home runs only to this spot, or at this time". Whereas with shots ... you can't say that the solution to improving your game is simply shooting the puck more. That may or may not be the case,by css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
adamw There's so many other factors that play into scoring a goal - quality of goalie, where the shot was taken from, luck, and so on. Which is why +/- is such a bad statistic. On a team level sure, goal differential matters, but its like goalie wins, it accounts for a lot of factors which are completely out of a players control and due to chance. What you seem to be taking issue with overall isby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
adamw css228I'm not saying Sean Couturier is great because he has a good Corsi, I'm saying he's great because last year he had a great Corsi despite playing the the best competition available with nearly 60% defensive zone starts and four of his five most common linemates being Max Talbot, Mike Knuble, Zac Rinaldo, and Ruslan Fedetenko. I think he's a good player just based on what I've seen -by css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
adamw css228Absolutely, the numbers are irrelevant on an individual level without looking at zone starts, quality of competition, and quality of teammates, but those can all be factored into different variants of Corsi. I'm not saying Sean Couturier is great because he has a good Corsi, I'm saying he's great because last year he had a great Corsi despite playing the the best competition availableby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
Josh '99 css228 Even WAR is not a be all and end all of value, which is why there are 2 types of WAR for non-pitchers and they're still most useful only when comparing players who play the same position.Assuming you're talking about fWAR and rWAR, there are two types because two different entities set out to create a metric that "attempts to encapsulate a player’s total value to their team iby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
adamw There are people who say ... "so-and-so has a Corsi of X, he's terrible" - or "he's great" - and use it to prove one player is better than another. I see that all the time. Absolutely, the numbers are irrelevant on an individual level without looking at zone starts, quality of competition, and quality of teammates, but those can all be factored into different variantsby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
adamw Tom LentoI haven't looked into hockey analytics closely, and I get the sense that they're still in the early stages (particularly compared to baseball), but I'm always cautious about dismissing simple metrics out of hand because they miss things that seem obvious. Just as OPS is a simple yet powerful indicator of a hitter's strength relative to competition, I wouldn't be surprised if normalby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
Tom Lento adamw Oh my - so "happy" to have stumbled upon this ..... I have major problems with the advanced hockey metrics folks. Not as people, of course, but their conclusions. I believe at least 50% of this stuff is bunk - in the sense that the conclusions reached are flawed, and the people making the conclusions make them much too definitively. Corsi is a useful indicatorby css228 - Hockey
Re: Red Hot Hockey - 10 years ago
MattS David Harding Did the ice seem soft? There seemed to me more spontaneous falls than I expect and the crew came out with shovels during every commercial time-out to scrape up shavings. MSG ice is (or at least was pre-renovation) notorious in the NHL for having the worst ice of any rink. I guess we're not counting the Florida teams as NHL anymore. Still MSG is by far the worst of any teamby css228 - Hockey
Re: Cornell 4 - Niagara 2 - 10 years ago
cbuckser Josh '99 css228 Let's face it being the last to touch the puck isn't really scoring a goal, its just how they credit an own goal. That's why when everyone thinks first NHL goalie goal they think Ron Hextall and not Billy Smith, even though the latter is the technically correct answer.If the question is "who is an asshole?", either is the correct answer. Billy Smith was a greatby css228 - Hockey
Re: Cornell 4 - Niagara 2 - 10 years ago
MattS Chris '03 According to John Buccigross, Gillam is only the third NCAA goalie to score a goal, ever. Video on sportscenter. College Hockey, Inc. says he's the 8th college goalie to be credited with a goal. 3rd to shoot it into an empty net. Let's face it being the last to touch the puck isn't really scoring a goal, its just how they credit an own goal. That's why when everyone thinks firsby css228 - Hockey
Re: Cornell 4 - Niagara 2 - 10 years ago
I don't know a lot about Gillam, but I can tell you one thing for sure. He's miles beyond Iles in stickhandling.by css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
Robb css228 Yeah, I'm using turnover in the sense of giveaways as they record in the statistics. By your standard, would a shot that ended up in the other team possessing the puck count as a turnover? That seems like a productive use of the puck. Not necessarily. Would you really be happy as a coach if one of your players consistently put the puck on net with wrist shots from outside the blue liby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
cbuckser This article posted today on puckpossession.com suggests that the strength of Fenwick Close's predictive value has been overestimated by the analytics community. As a bonus, the post contains a photo of Douglas Murray and others doing a stick salute after a Sharks' game on home ice a couple of years ago. Interesting. Always good to question the assumptions and conclusions that have beenby css228 - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
Robb I think we might be using the term "turnover" differently. To me, any time you have the puck, it leaves your stick, and a player from the other team gains control, that's a turnover. It doesn't matter if it's because you tried to carry the puck in, or because you were standing still and made a lousy pass, or because you are a great passer who made a risky pass, or because you carby css228 - Hockey