2016 ECAC Playoff Permutations
Posted by Give My Regards
2016 ECAC Playoff Permutations
Posted by: Give My Regards (---.twcny.res.rr.com)
Date: February 21, 2016 06:30PM
Short version first:
Possible ECAC tournament seedings (the number in parentheses is the best seed the team can get with no help): Quinnipiac 1-2 (1) Yale 1-3 (2) Harvard 2-5 (3) St. Lawrence 3-8 (4) Dartmouth 4-8 (4) Rensselaer 3-8 (5) Cornell 4-8 (6) Clarkson 5-9 (8) Union 8-9 (9) Brown 10-12 (10) Colgate 10-12 (11) Princeton 10-12 (12)
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If you lead a good life, go to Sunday school and church, and say your prayers every night, when you die, you'll go to LYNAH!
If you lead a good life, go to Sunday school and church, and say your prayers every night, when you die, you'll go to LYNAH!
Re: 2016 ECAC Playoff Permutations
Posted by: Give My Regards (---.twcny.res.rr.com)
Date: February 21, 2016 06:35PM
And now the not-short-by-any-stretch-of-the-imagination version:
Back again with the 2016 version of the ECAC Playoff Permutations! Unlike the last few years, nobody has wrapped up a particular seed yet. Even Quin- nipiac’s near-undefeated season is not yet enough to guarantee the top spot, although the Bobcats are pretty close. Going into the final weekend of league play, here's a breakdown of where each team in the ECAC could finish. As always, I'm greatly indebted to John Whelan's excellent playoff possibilities script at [www.elynah.com] For each ECAC team, I've listed the following: THIS WEEKEND: The team's weekend games, its last two of the season. ON THEIR OWN: The highest the team could finish with no help from the competition. Generally, this involves a weekend sweep. BEST CASE: The highest the team could finish if everything goes right. WORST CASE: The lowest the team could finish if everything goes wrong. This generally involves getting swept while teams nearby in the standings win. TIEBREAKERS: How the team would fare if they finished the season tied with some other team which is currently close (i.e. within 4 points) in the standings. Note that there may be cases in which Team A "could win or lose" the tiebreaker against Team B, depending on whether there are more than just those two teams tied. For instance, Rensselaer wins the head-to-head tiebreaker against Harvard with a 1-0-1 record; however, in a three-way tie involving these two and Dartmouth, Rensselaer would actually be seeded lower than Harvard. If a listed tiebreaker result depends on more than just those two teams being tied, it is marked with an asterisk: Rensselaer could win or lose* against Harvard For two or more teams tied in the standings, the ECAC tiebreakers are: 1. Head-to-head record in ECAC games (non-conference meetings, such as in tournaments, do not count). 2. League wins. 3. Record against the top four teams in the conference. 4. Record against the top eight teams in the conference. 5. Goal differential (net goals) head-to-head. 6. Goal differential against the top four teams in the conference. 7. Goal differential against the top eight teams in the conference. Note that if the tie is among three or more teams, the tiebreaking steps are used in order until a team, or multiple teams, is/are separated from the "pack". Once that happens, the process starts all over to break the remaining ties. For example, when the above steps are applied to a four-way tie, once one team is separated out leaving a three-way tie, the procedure goes back to the first step with the three remaining tied teams. Without further ado, here's how things shape up: Quinnipiac: THIS WEEKEND: Brown, Yale. ON THEIR OWN: One point will wrap up first place. BEST CASE: First. WORST CASE: Falls to second if they get swept and Yale also beats Prince- ton. TIEBREAKERS: Loses to Yale. Yale: THIS WEEKEND: At Princeton, at Quinnipiac. ON THEIR OWN: Clinches second with one point this weekend. BEST CASE: Would take first with a sweep if Quinnipiac also loses to Brown. WORST CASE: Finishes third if they lose twice and Harvard sweeps. TIEBREAKERS: Beats Quinnipiac and Harvard. Harvard: THIS WEEKEND: At Clarkson, at St. Lawrence. ON THEIR OWN: Wraps up third with a two-point weekend. BEST CASE: Climbs to second with two wins if Yale gets swept. WORST CASE: Drops to fifth if they lose twice, Rensselaer sweeps, and St. Lawrence does not lose to Dartmouth. TIEBREAKERS: Beats Dartmouth; loses to Yale and St. Lawrence; could win* or lose against Rensselaer St. Lawrence: THIS WEEKEND: Dartmouth, Harvard. ON THEIR OWN: Three points would guarantee fourth place. BEST CASE: Gets third with a sweep if Harvard does not beat Clarkson. WORST CASE: Would finish eighth with two losses if Rensselaer gets at least two points, Cornell gets at least three points, and Clarkson also beats Dartmouth. TIEBREAKERS: Beats Harvard and Cornell; loses to Dartmouth and Clarkson; could win or lose* against Rensselaer Dartmouth: THIS WEEKEND: At St. Lawrence, at Clarkson. ON THEIR OWN: A sweep would give the Big Green fourth place. BEST CASE: Fourth. WORST CASE: Slides to eighth if they get swept, Rensselaer does not lose twice, Cornell gets at least two points, and Clarkson gets at least three points. TIEBREAKERS: Beats St. Lawrence, Rensselaer, Cornell, and Clarkson; loses to Harvard. Rensselaer: THIS WEEKEND: At Colgate, at Cornell. ON THEIR OWN: Clinches fifth with two wins. BEST CASE: Rises to third if they sweep, Harvard loses twice, St. Lawrence Loses to Dartmouth, and Dartmouth does not beat Clarkson. WORST CASE: Would fall to eighth with two losses if Clarkson gets at least three points. TIEBREAKERS: Loses to Dartmouth and Clarkson; could win or lose against Cornell; could win* or lose against St. Lawrence; could win or lose* against Harvard. Cornell: THIS WEEKEND: Union, Rensselaer. ON THEIR OWN: Guarantees sixth by winning twice. BEST CASE: Finishes fourth with a sweep if St. Lawrence gets no more than one point and Dartmouth gets no more than two points. WORST CASE: Drops to eighth with two losses if Clarkson gets at least two points. TIEBREAKERS: Loses to St. Lawrence, Dartmouth, and Clarkson; could win or lose against Rensselaer Clarkson: THIS WEEKEND: Harvard, Dartmouth. ON THEIR OWN: One point will wrap up eighth place. BEST CASE: Would climb to fifth with a sweep if St. Lawrence loses twice, Rensselaer gets no more than one point, and Cornell gets no more than two points. WORST CASE: Ends up ninth with two losses if Union sweeps. TIEBREAKERS: Beats St. Lawrence, Rensselaer, Cornell, and Union; loses to Dartmouth. Union: THIS WEEKEND: At Cornell, at Colgate. ON THEIR OWN: Has already clinched ninth and can do no better without help. BEST CASE: Would wrap up eighth with a sweep if Clarkson loses twice. WORST CASE: Ninth. TIEBREAKERS: Loses to Clarkson. Brown: THIS WEEKEND: At Quinnipiac, at Princeton. ON THEIR OWN: Three points will lock up tenth place. BEST CASE: Tenth. WORST CASE: Falls to twelfth if they lose twice, Colgate gets at least two points, and Princeton does not lose to Yale. TIEBREAKERS: Loses to Princeton; could win or lose* against Colgate. Colgate: THIS WEEKEND: Rensselaer, Union. ON THEIR OWN: Takes eleventh with two points. BEST CASE: Clinches tenth with a sweep if Brown gets no more than two points. WORST CASE: Falls to twelfth with two losses if Princeton gets at least three points. TIEBREAKERS: Beats Princeton; could win* or lose against Brown. Princeton: THIS WEEKEND: Yale, Brown. ON THEIR OWN: Can do no better than twelfth without help. BEST CASE: Would rise to tenth with two wins if Brown does not beat Quin- nipiac and Colgate gets no more than one point. WORST CASE: Twelfth. TIEBREAKERS: Beats Brown; loses to Colgate.
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If you lead a good life, go to Sunday school and church, and say your prayers every night, when you die, you'll go to LYNAH!
If you lead a good life, go to Sunday school and church, and say your prayers every night, when you die, you'll go to LYNAH!
Re: 2016 ECAC Playoff Permutations
Posted by: Jim Hyla (---.syrcny.fios.verizon.net)
Date: February 22, 2016 07:53AM
Give My Regards
And now the not-short-by-any-stretch-of-the-imagination version:
THANKS!
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"Cornell Fans Made the Timbers Tremble", Boston Globe, March/1970
Cornell lawyers stopped the candy throwing. Jan/2005
"Cornell Fans Made the Timbers Tremble", Boston Globe, March/1970
Cornell lawyers stopped the candy throwing. Jan/2005
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