2005-2006 PWR - playoffs edition!

scsu upsets #1 minne.
this could mean bad things for cornell as und-scsu seems unlikely to have another upset but who knows.

Here is a scenario where we can be a #1 seed

Pairwise Comparisons

Rk Team PWR RPI Comparisons Won
1 Minnesota (Mn) 29 .5839*
2 Wisconsin (Wi) 28 .5723*
3 Michigan State (MS) 27 .5709
4t Cornell (Cr) 25 .5598
4t Miami (Mm) 25 .5618
6 Boston University (BU) 24 .5598
7t Harvard (Ha) 22 .5570
7t North Dakota (ND) 22 .5538
9t Boston College (BC) 20 .5504
9t Michigan (Mi) 20 .5484
11 Colorado College (CC) 18 .5469
12 Nebraska-Omaha (NO) 17 .5358
13 New Hampshire (NH) 16 .5364
14t St. Cloud State (SC) 15 .5327
14t Holy Cross (HC) 15 .5226
14t Maine (Me) 15 .5431

28 Bemidji State (BS) 3 .4936

30 Bentley (By) 0 .4749

Quality-Win Bonus Factors
You have specified the following weights for quality win bonuses:

.0033 per quality road win
.0022 per quality neutral-ice win
.0011 per quality home win.

User-Specified Results
You have specified the following tournament results:

CCHA Championship game: Michigan State defeats Miami.
CCHA Consolation game: Michigan defeats Northern Michigan.
ECACHL Championship game: Cornell defeats Harvard.
ECACHL Consolation game: Colgate defeats Dartmouth.
Hockey East Championship game: Boston College defeats Boston University.
WCHA Championship game: St. Cloud State defeats North Dakota.
WCHA Consolation game: Minnesota defeats Wisconsin.
Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Bentley defeats Holy Cross.

nshapiro
Here is a scenario where we can be a #1 seed

Pairwise Comparisons

Rk Team PWR RPI Comparisons Won
1 Minnesota (Mn) 29 .5839*
2 Wisconsin (Wi) 28 .5723*
3 Michigan State (MS) 27 .5709
4t Cornell (Cr) 25 .5598
4t Miami (Mm) 25 .5618
6 Boston University (BU) 24 .5598
7t Harvard (Ha) 22 .5570
7t North Dakota (ND) 22 .5538
9t Boston College (BC) 20 .5504
9t Michigan (Mi) 20 .5484
11 Colorado College (CC) 18 .5469
12 Nebraska-Omaha (NO) 17 .5358
13 New Hampshire (NH) 16 .5364
14t St. Cloud State (SC) 15 .5327
14t Holy Cross (HC) 15 .5226
14t Maine (Me) 15 .5431

28 Bemidji State (BS) 3 .4936

30 Bentley (By) 0 .4749

Quality-Win Bonus Factors
You have specified the following weights for quality win bonuses:

.0033 per quality road win
.0022 per quality neutral-ice win
.0011 per quality home win.

User-Specified Results
You have specified the following tournament results:

CCHA Championship game: Michigan State defeats Miami.
CCHA Consolation game: Michigan defeats Northern Michigan.
ECACHL Championship game: Cornell defeats Harvard.
ECACHL Consolation game: Colgate defeats Dartmouth.
Hockey East Championship game: Boston College defeats Boston University.
WCHA Championship game: St. Cloud State defeats North Dakota.
WCHA Consolation game: Minnesota defeats Wisconsin.
Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Bentley defeats Holy Cross.

I just ran one with BU winning that put us in Worcester.

Go Bentley and SCSU!

abmarks
tuba- assuming no upsets here on out and minny winning tonight, 33/22/11 makes us #6 overall - and east

I played with a bunch of things and cant find any #1seed scenario...

From the other thread, with a 33/22/11 the best we can do is 5 (by 0.0001). If it's 3/2/1, we can finish 4. To do that, we need MSU to beat Miami, SCSU to beat UND, BC to beat BU, and Colgate to beat Dartmouth. Don't hold your breath. More likely, we finish 5th or 6th.

If we lose, we drop to 8th in pretty much any combination of games I've found. Since UND is in the same band as us, in all likelihood, that means we go to Green Bay.

Just win.

EDIT: I assumed HC beats Bentley. If Bentley wins, it appears that we can get the 1 seed with a 33/22/11 (as noted above).

Jeff, If ties are broken by RPI then I agree...but if ties are broken by the head-to-head pairwise comparison, as implied by the ordering from USCHO, then we can be a 4 seed - see my previous post just above

Edit - never mind...just saw your edit

ok, gonna update the first post with 33/22/11 and 3/2/1

I know that it is meaningless, but that does anyone have the ability to rerun the PWR calculation including Friday's games? I am curious as to the effect of HC's victory and the CCHA implosion on the placings.

ursaminor
I know that it is meaningless, but that does anyone have the ability to rerun the PWR calculation including Friday's games? I am curious as to the effect of HC's victory and the CCHA implosion on the placings.

Looks like [slack.net] is still pulling results from CHN so Fridays games are included.

nyc94

ursaminor
I know that it is meaningless, but that does anyone have the ability to rerun the PWR calculation including Friday's games? I am curious as to the effect of HC's victory and the CCHA implosion on the placings.

Looks like [slack.net] is still pulling results from CHN so Fridays games are included.

Oh, really? That shouldn't be happening.

But you can use the DIY script at the address above to add the games by hand.

jtwcornell91
Oh, really? That shouldn't be happening.

But you can use the DIY script at the address above to add the games by hand.

I was going to suggest entering the results manually and was checking past results to make sure I got the team abbreviations and formatting correct. Last night's results are there.

nyc94

jtwcornell91
Oh, really? That shouldn't be happening.

But you can use the DIY script at the address above to add the games by hand.

I was going to suggest entering the results manually and was checking past results to make sure I got the team abbreviations and formatting correct. Last night's results are there.

Here those are, BTW, now that I've taken them out of the default file.

20060324 BC 5 Mm 0 nc
20060324 HC 4 Mn 3 nc
20060324 Mi 1 ND 5 NC
20060324 NO 2 BU 9 nc

Thanks nyc94 and jtwcornell91.