Bracketology for 2020 NCAAs

Started by dbilmes, December 13, 2019, 06:03:04 AM

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KGR11

I've critiqued the Pairwise Probability Matrix the last couple of weeks, but I think it's worth stating that it is WAY better suited to answer the question posed in this week's USCHO bracketology post (Which bubble teams have a shot at playing for an NCAA hockey national championship?).

osorojo

Has anyone ever used advanced statistical methods to determine the accuracy of past predictions of hockey game winners or the accuracy of past playoff seeding predictions? Please advise. I hate to waste my time studying inaccurate computations when I could be assessing promises made by presidential candidates.

marty

Quote from: osorojoHas anyone ever used advanced statistical methods to determine the accuracy of past predictions of hockey game winners or the accuracy of past playoff seeding predictions? Please advise. I hate to waste my time studying inaccurate computations when I could be assessing promises made by presidential candidates.

Could you maybe move this to Twitter?
"When we came off, [Bitz] said, 'Thank God you scored that goal,'" Moulson said. "He would've killed me if I didn't."

billhoward

Quote from: KGR11I've critiqued the Pairwise Probability Matrix the last couple of weeks, but I think it's worth stating that it is WAY better suited to answer the question posed in this week's USCHO bracketology post (Which bubble teams have a shot at playing for an NCAA hockey national championship?).
The matrix never knows which shot hits the fricking post and goes in.

Jeff Hopkins '82

Quote from: billhoward
Quote from: KGR11I've critiqued the Pairwise Probability Matrix the last couple of weeks, but I think it's worth stating that it is WAY better suited to answer the question posed in this week's USCHO bracketology post (Which bubble teams have a shot at playing for an NCAA hockey national championship?).
The matrix never knows which shot hits the fricking post and goes in.

Red pill or blue pill?

KenP

Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82
Quote from: billhoward
Quote from: KGR11I've critiqued the Pairwise Probability Matrix the last couple of weeks, but I think it's worth stating that it is WAY better suited to answer the question posed in this week's USCHO bracketology post (Which bubble teams have a shot at playing for an NCAA hockey national championship?).
The matrix never knows which shot hits the fricking post and goes in.

Red pill or blue pill?
LET'S GO RED!!!!

jtwcornell91

Quote from: osorojoHas anyone ever used advanced statistical methods to determine the accuracy of past predictions of hockey game winners or the accuracy of past playoff seeding predictions? Please advise. I hate to waste my time studying inaccurate computations when I could be assessing promises made by presidential candidates.

Not exactly past predictions, but see Section 3.1 of http://dx.doi.org/10.13164/ma.2019.09 http://arxiv.org/abs/2001.04226

Jim Hyla

Bracketology: Will top-end balance continue in NCAA hockey up until Selection Sunday?

Jim's bracket

Allentown Regional
1. North Dakota (1)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Bemidji State (11)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Loveland Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Denver (6)
3. Ohio State (9)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Minnesota (14)

Jayson's bracket

Loveland Regional
1. North Dakota (1)
2. Denver (5)
3. Ohio State (9)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Allentown Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Bemidji State (11)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Minnesota (14)

NCAA hockey bracket: 2020 projections a month from selections

The projected 2020 NCAA college hockey bracket (as of Feb. 23)

Albany Regional (Albany, NY — Host ECAC)
1. North Dakota vs. 16. AIC
8. Massachusetts vs. 9. Ohio State
 
Worcester Regional (Worcester, MA — Host Holy Cross)
4. Boston College vs. 13. Arizona State
5. Minnesota Duluth vs. 12. Northeastern
 
Allentown Regional (Allentown, PA — Host Penn State)
3. Cornell vs. 14. Minnesota
7. Penn State vs. 11. Bemidji State
 
Loveland Regional (Loveland, CO — Host Denver)
2. Minnesota State vs. 15. Western Michigan
6. Denver vs. 10. Clarkson
"Cornell Fans Made the Timbers Tremble", Boston Globe, March/1970
Cornell lawyers stopped the candy throwing. Jan/2005

Trotsky

It would be nice to avoid Pedo State in Allentown.

billhoward

Quote from: TrotskyIt would be nice to avoid Pedo State in Allentown.
Do we imbue Penn State with greater powers than they have? They have failed to win 14 of their 34 games. Tambroni is not coaching hockey. In Albany the bracket du jour would allow only Cornell or Clarkson to get to the FF. I'd like to reprise 1970 in the finals. See if Kaldis is up to a third period hat trick.

marty

Quote from: Jim HylaBracketology: Will top-end balance continue in NCAA hockey up until Selection Sunday?

Jim's bracket

Allentown Regional

1. North Dakota (1)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Loveland Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Denver (6)
3. Ohio State (9)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Minnesota (14)

Jayson's bracket

Loveland Regional
1. North Dakota (1)
2. Denver (5)
3. Ohio State (9)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Allentown Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Bemidji State (11)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Minnesota (14)

NCAA hockey bracket: 2020 projections a month from selections

The projected 2020 NCAA college hockey bracket (as of Feb. 23)

Albany Regional (Albany, NY — Host ECAC)
1. North Dakota vs. 16. AIC
8. Massachusetts vs. 9. Ohio State
 
Worcester Regional (Worcester, MA — Host Holy Cross)
4. Boston College vs. 13. Arizona State
5. Minnesota Duluth vs. 12. Northeastern
 
Allentown Regional (Allentown, PA — Host Penn State)
3. Cornell vs. 14. Minnesota
7. Penn State vs. 11. Bemidji State
 
Loveland Regional (Loveland, CO — Host Denver)
2. Minnesota State vs. 15. Western Michigan
6. Denver vs. 10. Clarkson

Marty's bracket

Loveland Regional
1. North Dakota (1)
2. Denver (6)
3. Bemidji State (11)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Allentown Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. t.Ohio State u. (9)
4. Minnesota (14)

The only move I made was to push Denver(6) and Bemidji(11) to Loveland as a pair which then moved Mass(8) and tOSu(9) to Albany. All of my first round matches add to 17 unless I've erred.
"When we came off, [Bitz] said, 'Thank God you scored that goal,'" Moulson said. "He would've killed me if I didn't."

CU2007

Quote from: marty
Quote from: Jim HylaBracketology: Will top-end balance continue in NCAA hockey up until Selection Sunday?

Jim's bracket

Allentown Regional

1. North Dakota (1)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Loveland Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Denver (6)
3. Ohio State (9)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Minnesota (14)

Jayson's bracket

Loveland Regional
1. North Dakota (1)
2. Denver (5)
3. Ohio State (9)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Allentown Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Bemidji State (11)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Minnesota (14)

NCAA hockey bracket: 2020 projections a month from selections

The projected 2020 NCAA college hockey bracket (as of Feb. 23)

Albany Regional (Albany, NY — Host ECAC)
1. North Dakota vs. 16. AIC
8. Massachusetts vs. 9. Ohio State
 
Worcester Regional (Worcester, MA — Host Holy Cross)
4. Boston College vs. 13. Arizona State
5. Minnesota Duluth vs. 12. Northeastern
 
Allentown Regional (Allentown, PA — Host Penn State)
3. Cornell vs. 14. Minnesota
7. Penn State vs. 11. Bemidji State
 
Loveland Regional (Loveland, CO — Host Denver)
2. Minnesota State vs. 15. Western Michigan
6. Denver vs. 10. Clarkson

Marty's bracket

Loveland Regional
1. North Dakota (1)
2. Denver (6)
3. Bemidji State (11)
4. American International (16)

Worcester Regional
1. Boston College (4)
2. Minnesota Duluth (5)
3. Northeastern (12)
4. Arizona State (13)

Allentown Regional
1. Minnesota State (2)
2. Penn State (7)
3. Clarkson (10)
4. Western Michigan (15)

Albany Regional
1. Cornell (3)
2. Massachusetts (8)
3. t.Ohio State u. (9)
4. Minnesota (14)

The only move I made was to push Denver(6) and Bemidji(11) to Loveland as a pair which then moved Mass(8) and tOSu(9) to Albany. All of my first round matches add to 17 unless I've erred.

Denver and NoDak fans would throw a fit

Trotsky

Quote from: billhoward
Quote from: TrotskyIt would be nice to avoid Pedo State in Allentown.
Do we imbue Penn State with greater powers than they have? They have failed to win 14 of their 34 games. Tambroni is not coaching hockey. In Albany the bracket du jour would allow only Cornell or Clarkson to get to the FF. I'd like to reprise 1970 in the finals. See if Kaldis is up to a third period hat trick.
I've had quite enough of playing teams at "neutral" sites in their backyard.

Trotsky

It hadn't occured to me before but it's entirely possible that if Cornell makes the F4 we will be the closest school to Detroit.

Fill the barn, people.

Jeff Hopkins '82

Quote from: TrotskyIt would be nice to avoid Pedo State in Allentown.

And it would be nice if you stopped calling it that.