root for Upsets?

Started by upprdeck, March 05, 2016, 01:19:38 PM

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Johnny 5

Quinny, here we come.
Sorry, Elizabeth!

"LGR!!"  ::cheer::::cheer::::cheer::
Cure for cancer? Soon. Cure for stupid? Never. ~ Prof. B. Honeydew

Iceberg

I was really hoping to see a game at Ingalls on Saturday, but there's no incentive to head there now. Hamden is much more of a pain to get to.

Jim Hyla

So aside from us, don't root for significant upsets. playoffstatus.com gives us a 48% chance of making the NCAAs, if we win out minus the conference finals. If we lose out, our chance is <1%.

9 teams are a lock to make the NCAAs and 2 others, Harvard and UMass-Lowell, have an 85% chance of making it, even if they lose the quarterfinals. Two leagues, AH and WCHA, will have teams in the NCAAs even though they are not in top 16 teams. So there are only 14 spots left. With 11 teams almost certain to make it, we have a chance to get 1 of the 3 that are left.

So we need to beat Q. I don't know if we have a chance if we win 1 game at Q.
"Cornell Fans Made the Timbers Tremble", Boston Globe, March/1970
Cornell lawyers stopped the candy throwing. Jan/2005

marty

Quote from: Jim HylaSo aside from us, don't root for significant upsets. playoffstatus.com gives us a 48% chance of making the NCAAs, if we win out minus the conference finals. If we lose out, our chance is <1%.

9 teams are a lock to make the NCAAs and 2 others, Harvard and UMass-Lowell, have an 85% chance of making it, even if they lose the quarterfinals. Two leagues, AH and WCHA, will have teams in the NCAAs even though they are not in top 16 teams. So there are only 14 spots left. With 11 teams almost certain to make it, we have a chance to get 1 of the 3 that are left.

So we need to beat Q. I don't know if we have a chance if we win 1 game at Q.

Also,  the B1G can steal a spot, I think.  An upset there isn't unlikely.  (This could happen in any of the four leagues besides AH and WCHA, but B1G is most likely IMO. Though if we don't go anywhere I'll be hoping to Hail my other team. )
"When we came off, [Bitz] said, 'Thank God you scored that goal,'" Moulson said. "He would've killed me if I didn't."

upprdeck

We lose 5-6 PWR on RPI alone.. beating Quin could change a bunch of that and we could easily jump to 13th, but we need to hold it if we even get that far.

we need to be the upset and have NO, Minn Duluth lose to the favored teams.

Dafatone

Quote from: upprdeckWe lose 5-6 PWR on RPI alone.. beating Quin could change a bunch of that and we could easily jump to 13th, but we need to hold it if we even get that far.

we need to be the upset and have NO, Minn Duluth lose to the favored teams.

PWR pretty much is RPI now, since RPI is the tiebreak.  The only way to overcome that is to beat an opponent in common games AND head to head (if you're behind in RPI).

I think if we get past Q we get in.  Kind of just a gut thing, obviously the results in other conference tournaments are important.  "Get past Q" is a very tall order, but it's nice to be playing important games.

Trotsky

Oh, just win the title and make it simple.

marty

This weekend I was hoping for two lower seeds to upset the home teams so that if we advanced Cornell would meet Harvard.  That meant sitting quietly in the season ticket section watching Brown outplay RPI with better skating and passing, only to fall in both games.  On Saturday the Brown Bears went up 3-0 before RPI made their comeback.  

Senior Milos Bubela of Slovakia made the first two goals for RPI and assisted on the third goal.  Milos underperformed for much of the year.  I got a kick out to seeing Cornell players steal pucks from him during their two meetings (though he got his revenge with the tying goal last week).

The game on Saturday was, I think, the best of his career.  At the end of the game as he saluted the crowd he faced the townie side of the rink with a smile that was wider than his face.  That smile made me happier than I would have imagined. I think it summed up his gratitude for opportunity to attend RPI and play division one hockey in the US.  I wish I had a picture of that smile but the memory is probably even better.  One smile allowed me to appreciate Milos and the sport we love.
"When we came off, [Bitz] said, 'Thank God you scored that goal,'" Moulson said. "He would've killed me if I didn't."

Jim Hyla

Quote from: marty
Quote from: Jim HylaSo aside from us, don't root for significant upsets. playoffstatus.com gives us a 48% chance of making the NCAAs, if we win out minus the conference finals. If we lose out, our chance is <1%.

9 teams are a lock to make the NCAAs and 2 others, Harvard and UMass-Lowell, have an 85% chance of making it, even if they lose the quarterfinals. Two leagues, AH and WCHA, will have teams in the NCAAs even though they are not in top 16 teams. So there are only 14 spots left. With 11 teams almost certain to make it, we have a chance to get 1 of the 3 that are left.

So we need to beat Q. I don't know if we have a chance if we win 1 game at Q.

Also,  the B1G can steal a spot, I think.  An upset there isn't unlikely.  (This could happen in any of the four leagues besides AH and WCHA, but B1G is most likely IMO. Though if we don't go anywhere I'll be hoping to Hail my other team. )

Yes, we have to root for Michigan to win the B1G. ::banana::Michigan is almost in regardless. So if Minny wins, there goes another spot. Interestingly Minny is one spot behind us and yet can't get in unless they win out.

The other good possibility would be for UNO to fade and for Mich Tech to win the WCHA. That could open up 1, or even 2 spots.

So root for Michigan (I know how hard that is for some of you.) and Michigan Tech to win, but for UNO to lose.

And yes, if we don't get in, I'll be rooting for my backup as well.::banana::
"Cornell Fans Made the Timbers Tremble", Boston Globe, March/1970
Cornell lawyers stopped the candy throwing. Jan/2005

andyw2100

Quote from: Jim HylaYes, we have to root for Michigan to win the B1G. ::banana::Michigan is almost in regardless. So if Minny wins, there goes another spot. Interestingly Minny is one spot behind us and yet can't get in unless they win out.

I can't speak for anyone else, but you never have to ask me more than once to root against Minnesota.

KeithK

Quote from: andyw2100
Quote from: Jim HylaYes, we have to root for Michigan to win the B1G. ::banana::Michigan is almost in regardless. So if Minny wins, there goes another spot. Interestingly Minny is one spot behind us and yet can't get in unless they win out.

I can't speak for anyone else, but you never have to ask me more than once to root against Minnesota.
For me you never even have to ask...

Trotsky

Other than Wisconsin I'd just assume the entire B1G be buried at sea on the Great Lakes.  But Minnesota should be set afire first, to, um, honor their heritage.

KeithK

Quote from: TrotskyOther than Wisconsin I'd just assume the entire B1G be buried at sea on the Great Lakes.  But Minnesota should be set afire first, to, um, honor their heritage.
I have nothing against Northwestern either. Not that they play hockey or anything.

Trotsky

Quote from: KeithK
Quote from: TrotskyOther than Wisconsin I'd just assume the entire B1G be buried at sea on the Great Lakes.  But Minnesota should be set afire first, to, um, honor their heritage.
I have nothing against Northwestern either. Not that they play hockey or anything.
True.  I never even remember they're in the B1G since they're an actual school.