Scores 3/3

Started by ganderson, March 03, 2005, 08:20:52 PM

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ganderson

Other than enjoying it when New Hampshire loses, how should we be rooting in tonight's games?  Could either CC or DU getting swept allow us to flip that comparison?  Do any of the other games have significant RPI or other PRW impact for us?  Just curious (and already feeling the 8 days until the Big Red take the ice again...)


This space left deliberatly smiley-free.
Yale?  MIT?  Cornell's the only one with a hockey team worth a *#$%!

ganderson

BU 4 - UNH 4 Final

UNO 2 - MSU 6 final

UML 5 - Merrimack 1 final


(clearly I'm _REALLY_ bored.  :)
Yale?  MIT?  Cornell's the only one with a hockey team worth a *#$%!

ganderson

DU 0 - CC 2  (2nd)    (on a shorthanded goal)



Again, do we have any preference in this series?
Yale?  MIT?  Cornell's the only one with a hockey team worth a *#$%!

TCHL8842

Well, I really dont think it matters who wins the CC-DU games this weekend.  If either teams sweeps we take the TUC comparison but still lose the PWR because of our lower RPI.  The RPI of both teams will probably only go up this weekend, and we can not really catch either one of them.  So I say go DU so at least we can get #1 in the polls if DU sweeps else I expect us to remain at 2 or maybe even drop to 3 in the polls, not like it matters that much.

DeltaOne81

Its hard to say exctly in this series...

If CC sweeps DU, we'll be very close to DU, but we won't overtake them - trailing them in RPI by by 0.0010 to 0.0015 (I got 12, but it depends on other results, of course). Then if they lose one or more in the playoffs, and we don't, we could overtake them.

On the down side, if CC sweeps this series and SCSU plays them in the first round, SCSU's RPI will go *up* for two loses, virtually guaranteeing the SCSU stays a TUC, especially after bonus. And Minn has 2 TUC wins versus SCSU. So, from the perspective of knocking down Minn's record versus TUCs, we'd like this series to be more split.

Otherwise, we have to root for SCSU to finish against Mich Tech - they are currently tied and SCSU has the tie breaker assuming its head to head. But SCSU plays UND, who I would also like to lose, and Mich Tech plays Minn, so we'd like MTU to win from that perspective.

Oh what a tangled web we calculate... :-)

TCHL8842

Delta I would love to see Mich Tech sweep Minn.  again this season, then Mich Tech will probably come a TUC and Minnesota will 4 loses to Mich Tech this season  :-O .  That will destroy Minnesota TUC record, especially if SCSU drops out off TUC status this weekend

DeltaOne81

Hmmm, that's true, I didn't know Mich Tech had 2 wins over Minn already. That would more than offset SCSU staying as a TUC. Anyone wanna run a quick thing through JTW's script - giving Mich, say, 1 win over Minn and 2 loses to DU. I'm too tired to bother. Any chance they end up a TUC?

If not, that's about the best we could reasonably hope for, and we're better off trying to twist things to get SCSU out of being a TUC. Sure, they could beat Minn twice, but I'm not going to think it *likely*.

ganderson

CC 3 - DU 0 final.

in that bizzare butterfly in africa kind of way this brought Brown back to tuc status, so we're at the top of a 3 way tie for 3rd in the pairwise.  It won't last long, but I think this means we want Colorado to win again tomorrow.  


Go red!
Yale?  MIT?  Cornell's the only one with a hockey team worth a *#$%!

DeltaOne81

Actually, Brown was always a TUC. Here's what happened...

CC beating DU gave CC the comparison over BC by improving their records against TUCs and making that line a draw.

That pushed BC down into a 3 way tie with us and Minn. That 3 way tie is intransitive (we beat BC, BC beats Minn, Minn beats us) and we win the RPI tiebreaker. Unfortunately, this doesn't hold up after the 3/2/1 bonus.

But it does give another out, which is to root against BC, especially against TUCs, allowing them to lose the TUC comparison to CC and lose the RPI comparison to us (even after bonuses). That would seem to allow us to be a #1 despite what Minn does. Of course, I fully intend to continue routing against Minn as well ;)