Recruits 2026 and Beyond

Started by BearLover, June 05, 2025, 01:34:48 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

adamw

Quote
Quote from: stereax on May 21, 2026, 08:21:36 PM
Quote from: BearLover on May 21, 2026, 06:12:17 PMApparently hockey (like all of hockey...the NCAA hockey programs, junior leagues, NHL, etc.) is lobbying the NCAA to push back the start of 5-year eligibility by one season. Per Mike McMahon: "In its place, hockey's brass offered a counter-proposal: start the eligibility clock the season following an athlete's 19th birthday, or upon college enrollment—whichever comes first." If this happens, scratch what I said about the Ivies being well positioned, and flip that on its head--the Ivies, which are among the very few schools that don't permit grad students, would be uniquely poorly positioned in such a world.
I mean, does that change a lot? Eligibility clock starts in your 20yo season. That's when a lot of our guys come in anyway. It's 5 years, okay, more grad transfers maybe, but I'd say for the most part in a post-pandemic world, grad transfers aren't that important. Q's run excepted.
More of our players come in at 18 or 19. Now those players will play a grad year at Q or Duluth or something. So will other teams' players. Or Q's players will stay at Q for five years. Fifth year seniors were a big factor in the post-COVID years so I don't see why it would be any different if the rule becomes permanent.

It seems probably moot anyway since I don't really see why the NCAA would go along with hockey's proposal. So many more kids in other sports would do post-grad years. It would significantly increase the number of 19-y/o freshmen in other sports. One of the purposes of the rule change was to bring down the age of college athletes so I don't know why the NCAA would agree to hockey's proposal.

why would so many kids in other sports do post-grad years when they don't do so now?

I don't see the new proposal hurting Ivies any more than the NCAA proposal, given that the Ivy coaches were all firmly behind it and Casey was one of the most outspoken speakers at the coaches conference in trying to plead college hockey's case to the NCAA lawyers.
College Hockey News: http://www.collegehockeynews.com

The Rancor

I feel like there can't be many 5th year graduate school hockey players, now or in the future. I could be wrong. Mitch Gilliam was one at Notre Dame, right?

scoop85

Quote from: The Rancor on May 22, 2026, 02:54:12 PMI feel like there can't be many 5th year graduate school hockey players, now or in the future. I could be wrong. Mitch Gilliam was one at Notre Dame, right?

Galadja

The Rancor

Quote from: scoop85 on May 22, 2026, 03:38:10 PM
Quote from: The Rancor on May 22, 2026, 02:54:12 PMI feel like there can't be many 5th year graduate school hockey players, now or in the future. I could be wrong. Mitch Gilliam was one at Notre Dame, right?

Galadja

And I was wrong! If only there was a way to check these things. ☠️

BearLover

Quote from: adamw on May 22, 2026, 02:15:37 PM
Quote
Quote from: stereax on May 21, 2026, 08:21:36 PM
Quote from: BearLover on May 21, 2026, 06:12:17 PMApparently hockey (like all of hockey...the NCAA hockey programs, junior leagues, NHL, etc.) is lobbying the NCAA to push back the start of 5-year eligibility by one season. Per Mike McMahon: "In its place, hockey's brass offered a counter-proposal: start the eligibility clock the season following an athlete's 19th birthday, or upon college enrollment—whichever comes first." If this happens, scratch what I said about the Ivies being well positioned, and flip that on its head--the Ivies, which are among the very few schools that don't permit grad students, would be uniquely poorly positioned in such a world.
I mean, does that change a lot? Eligibility clock starts in your 20yo season. That's when a lot of our guys come in anyway. It's 5 years, okay, more grad transfers maybe, but I'd say for the most part in a post-pandemic world, grad transfers aren't that important. Q's run excepted.
More of our players come in at 18 or 19. Now those players will play a grad year at Q or Duluth or something. So will other teams' players. Or Q's players will stay at Q for five years. Fifth year seniors were a big factor in the post-COVID years so I don't see why it would be any different if the rule becomes permanent.

It seems probably moot anyway since I don't really see why the NCAA would go along with hockey's proposal. So many more kids in other sports would do post-grad years. It would significantly increase the number of 19-y/o freshmen in other sports. One of the purposes of the rule change was to bring down the age of college athletes so I don't know why the NCAA would agree to hockey's proposal.

why would so many kids in other sports do post-grad years when they don't do so now?
Competition will force them to do post-grad years: it's a way to get a leg up on the competition. There will be even fewer roster spots per student when the same kid can occupy a spot for 5 years rather than 4, and it will be even harder for kids who skip the post-grad year to compete with kids who have that extra year of training/experience.

BearLover

Quote from: The Rancor on May 22, 2026, 02:54:12 PMI feel like there can't be many 5th year graduate school hockey players, now or in the future. I could be wrong. Mitch Gilliam was one at Notre Dame, right?
Currently there are almost zero 5th year players because there are only four years of eligibility. Only kids who missed almost a full year due to injury are eligible for a fifth year. During the COVID 5-year eligibility rule, there were plenty of 5th year seniors. There were seven on Quinnipiac's national championship team and there's no shot they would have won without them.

stereax

Quote from: The Rancor on May 22, 2026, 11:32:51 PM
Quote from: scoop85 on May 22, 2026, 03:38:10 PM
Quote from: The Rancor on May 22, 2026, 02:54:12 PMI feel like there can't be many 5th year graduate school hockey players, now or in the future. I could be wrong. Mitch Gilliam was one at Notre Dame, right?

Galadja

And I was wrong! If only there was a way to check these things. ☠️
Kovich this year did his MBA at Minn Duluth.
Law '27, Section C denizen, liveblogging from Lynah!

stereax

Quote from: BearLover on Today at 12:08:52 AM
Quote from: adamw on May 22, 2026, 02:15:37 PM
Quote
Quote from: stereax on May 21, 2026, 08:21:36 PM
Quote from: BearLover on May 21, 2026, 06:12:17 PMApparently hockey (like all of hockey...the NCAA hockey programs, junior leagues, NHL, etc.) is lobbying the NCAA to push back the start of 5-year eligibility by one season. Per Mike McMahon: "In its place, hockey's brass offered a counter-proposal: start the eligibility clock the season following an athlete's 19th birthday, or upon college enrollment—whichever comes first." If this happens, scratch what I said about the Ivies being well positioned, and flip that on its head--the Ivies, which are among the very few schools that don't permit grad students, would be uniquely poorly positioned in such a world.
I mean, does that change a lot? Eligibility clock starts in your 20yo season. That's when a lot of our guys come in anyway. It's 5 years, okay, more grad transfers maybe, but I'd say for the most part in a post-pandemic world, grad transfers aren't that important. Q's run excepted.
More of our players come in at 18 or 19. Now those players will play a grad year at Q or Duluth or something. So will other teams' players. Or Q's players will stay at Q for five years. Fifth year seniors were a big factor in the post-COVID years so I don't see why it would be any different if the rule becomes permanent.

It seems probably moot anyway since I don't really see why the NCAA would go along with hockey's proposal. So many more kids in other sports would do post-grad years. It would significantly increase the number of 19-y/o freshmen in other sports. One of the purposes of the rule change was to bring down the age of college athletes so I don't know why the NCAA would agree to hockey's proposal.

why would so many kids in other sports do post-grad years when they don't do so now?
Competition will force them to do post-grad years: it's a way to get a leg up on the competition. There will be even fewer roster spots per student when the same kid can occupy a spot for 5 years rather than 4, and it will be even harder for kids who skip the post-grad year to compete with kids who have that extra year of training/experience.
You're forgetting one thing: who's doing 5 years?

Mack Celebrini isn't doing 5 years. Gavin McKenna isn't doing 5 years. Porter Martone isn't doing 5 years.

The guys who are doing 5 years are overwhelmingly going to be guys who end up as minor league/Euro league lifers.
Law '27, Section C denizen, liveblogging from Lynah!

The Rancor

#563
Quote from: stereax on Today at 04:21:44 AM
Quote from: BearLover on Today at 12:08:52 AM
Quote from: adamw on May 22, 2026, 02:15:37 PM
Quote
Quote from: stereax on May 21, 2026, 08:21:36 PM
Quote from: BearLover on May 21, 2026, 06:12:17 PMApparently hockey (like all of hockey...the NCAA hockey programs, junior leagues, NHL, etc.) is lobbying the NCAA to push back the start of 5-year eligibility by one season. Per Mike McMahon: "In its place, hockey's brass offered a counter-proposal: start the eligibility clock the season following an athlete's 19th birthday, or upon college enrollment—whichever comes first." If this happens, scratch what I said about the Ivies being well positioned, and flip that on its head--the Ivies, which are among the very few schools that don't permit grad students, would be uniquely poorly positioned in such a world.
I mean, does that change a lot? Eligibility clock starts in your 20yo season. That's when a lot of our guys come in anyway. It's 5 years, okay, more grad transfers maybe, but I'd say for the most part in a post-pandemic world, grad transfers aren't that important. Q's run excepted.
More of our players come in at 18 or 19. Now those players will play a grad year at Q or Duluth or something. So will other teams' players. Or Q's players will stay at Q for five years. Fifth year seniors were a big factor in the post-COVID years so I don't see why it would be any different if the rule becomes permanent.

It seems probably moot anyway since I don't really see why the NCAA would go along with hockey's proposal. So many more kids in other sports would do post-grad years. It would significantly increase the number of 19-y/o freshmen in other sports. One of the purposes of the rule change was to bring down the age of college athletes so I don't know why the NCAA would agree to hockey's proposal.

why would so many kids in other sports do post-grad years when they don't do so now?
Competition will force them to do post-grad years: it's a way to get a leg up on the competition. There will be even fewer roster spots per student when the same kid can occupy a spot for 5 years rather than 4, and it will be even harder for kids who skip the post-grad year to compete with kids who have that extra year of training/experience.
You're forgetting one thing: who's doing 5 years?

Mack Celebrini isn't doing 5 years. Gavin McKenna isn't doing 5 years. Porter Martone isn't doing 5 years.

The guys who are doing 5 years are overwhelmingly going to be guys who end up as minor league/Euro league lifers.

5th year guys will be coming off ACL surgery or nerds sprinkled with a few last hurrah jocks before going into finance sprinkled in. If anything, the likely scenario is that kids burn a year in Junior Hockey and then take 4 (or less) in College.

edit: spelling

scoop85

Quote from: stereax on Today at 04:21:44 AM
Quote from: BearLover on Today at 12:08:52 AM
Quote from: adamw on May 22, 2026, 02:15:37 PM
Quote
Quote from: stereax on May 21, 2026, 08:21:36 PM
Quote from: BearLover on May 21, 2026, 06:12:17 PMApparently hockey (like all of hockey...the NCAA hockey programs, junior leagues, NHL, etc.) is lobbying the NCAA to push back the start of 5-year eligibility by one season. Per Mike McMahon: "In its place, hockey's brass offered a counter-proposal: start the eligibility clock the season following an athlete's 19th birthday, or upon college enrollment—whichever comes first." If this happens, scratch what I said about the Ivies being well positioned, and flip that on its head--the Ivies, which are among the very few schools that don't permit grad students, would be uniquely poorly positioned in such a world.
I mean, does that change a lot? Eligibility clock starts in your 20yo season. That's when a lot of our guys come in anyway. It's 5 years, okay, more grad transfers maybe, but I'd say for the most part in a post-pandemic world, grad transfers aren't that important. Q's run excepted.
More of our players come in at 18 or 19. Now those players will play a grad year at Q or Duluth or something. So will other teams' players. Or Q's players will stay at Q for five years. Fifth year seniors were a big factor in the post-COVID years so I don't see why it would be any different if the rule becomes permanent.

It seems probably moot anyway since I don't really see why the NCAA would go along with hockey's proposal. So many more kids in other sports would do post-grad years. It would significantly increase the number of 19-y/o freshmen in other sports. One of the purposes of the rule change was to bring down the age of college athletes so I don't know why the NCAA would agree to hockey's proposal.

why would so many kids in other sports do post-grad years when they don't do so now?
Competition will force them to do post-grad years: it's a way to get a leg up on the competition. There will be even fewer roster spots per student when the same kid can occupy a spot for 5 years rather than 4, and it will be even harder for kids who skip the post-grad year to compete with kids who have that extra year of training/experience.
You're forgetting one thing: who's doing 5 years?

Mack Celebrini isn't doing 5 years. Gavin McKenna isn't doing 5 years. Porter Martone isn't doing 5 years.

The guys who are doing 5 years are overwhelmingly going to be guys who end up as minor league/Euro league lifers.

Or finance bros

stereax

Quote from: scoop85 on Today at 09:42:16 AM
Quote from: stereax on Today at 04:21:44 AM
Quote from: BearLover on Today at 12:08:52 AM
Quote from: adamw on May 22, 2026, 02:15:37 PM
Quote
Quote from: stereax on May 21, 2026, 08:21:36 PM
Quote from: BearLover on May 21, 2026, 06:12:17 PMApparently hockey (like all of hockey...the NCAA hockey programs, junior leagues, NHL, etc.) is lobbying the NCAA to push back the start of 5-year eligibility by one season. Per Mike McMahon: "In its place, hockey's brass offered a counter-proposal: start the eligibility clock the season following an athlete's 19th birthday, or upon college enrollment—whichever comes first." If this happens, scratch what I said about the Ivies being well positioned, and flip that on its head--the Ivies, which are among the very few schools that don't permit grad students, would be uniquely poorly positioned in such a world.
I mean, does that change a lot? Eligibility clock starts in your 20yo season. That's when a lot of our guys come in anyway. It's 5 years, okay, more grad transfers maybe, but I'd say for the most part in a post-pandemic world, grad transfers aren't that important. Q's run excepted.
More of our players come in at 18 or 19. Now those players will play a grad year at Q or Duluth or something. So will other teams' players. Or Q's players will stay at Q for five years. Fifth year seniors were a big factor in the post-COVID years so I don't see why it would be any different if the rule becomes permanent.

It seems probably moot anyway since I don't really see why the NCAA would go along with hockey's proposal. So many more kids in other sports would do post-grad years. It would significantly increase the number of 19-y/o freshmen in other sports. One of the purposes of the rule change was to bring down the age of college athletes so I don't know why the NCAA would agree to hockey's proposal.

why would so many kids in other sports do post-grad years when they don't do so now?
Competition will force them to do post-grad years: it's a way to get a leg up on the competition. There will be even fewer roster spots per student when the same kid can occupy a spot for 5 years rather than 4, and it will be even harder for kids who skip the post-grad year to compete with kids who have that extra year of training/experience.
You're forgetting one thing: who's doing 5 years?

Mack Celebrini isn't doing 5 years. Gavin McKenna isn't doing 5 years. Porter Martone isn't doing 5 years.

The guys who are doing 5 years are overwhelmingly going to be guys who end up as minor league/Euro league lifers.

Or finance bros
One last ride and all'at.

The top talent isn't going to stay longer, the NHL wants them. Guys who have legit NHL aspirations won't do a fifth year.
Law '27, Section C denizen, liveblogging from Lynah!