PU @ CU

[kingpin248]

You are assuming that there won't be any upsets in the preliminary games.  Even if we stay at 11, if both Harvard and us win through the playoffs, then Harvard ends up playing Q, as they will be the lowest seed. Not that I wouldn't be happy being 7, but do the best we can and hope there are other upsets.

I haven't looked this up to verify it, but I can't recall a year in the past decade or so where there wasn't at least one upset in the preliminary games.

I'm not where I can write up an analysis at the moment, but here is the raw data.

Under the current format (since 2003), there were no first round upsets on two occasions (2007, 2008). The record of each higher seed -
#5: 8-2
#6: 5-5
#7: 5-5
#8: 6-4