Swami's seeding prediction

[Chris '03]

What's interesting is that many pundits have the t-4 as:
CU
Duke
UVa
JHU

While the NCAA criteria seems to indicate:
Duke
CU
JHU
UVa

Sets up the same semifinal matchups and Cornell would still likely see Sienna in round one. I'd just rather not have the path to a title be through 2(maybe 3!) ACC teams. This potential path seems reasonably favorable as a 2 seed: Sienna--->7.Albany/Princeton--->3.JHU---->1.Duke/4.UVa.

I like the Red jerseys better anyway :-}

Of course when Sunday comes and we're staring at Cornell as #6 hosting Navy or some such, I'll be typically pissed at the committee. I remember ONE year where they did right by us. I think it was '02 when the committee out and said on the (web only!) selection show "we relied heavily on straight RPI" and that helped CU considerably. Though maybe that was the women's team especially since it was a weird webcast... I forget.

[DeltaOne81]

[quote Jeff Hopkins '82]According to the RPI ranking on Laxpower, we're slightly higher in RPI than Duke.  I don't know if that's the actual RPI used, but it does imply that we could still wind up #1 in RPI.[/quote]

Its not:
http://web1.ncaa.org/app_data/weeklyrpi/2007MLArpi1.html

The difference is very small and hence the details of the calculations make the difference. Here is a site that explains their formula (its 25/50/25 just like LaxPower) and gets the same results as the NCAA:
http://www.vaporia.com/sports/collegelacrosserpi.html

[billhoward]

We're gnashing our teeth and worrying about all the ways the NCAA seeding committee can screw over Cornell. Perhaps doubly so since the NCAA didn't have a chance to stick it to the hockey team this year, so lax gets a double. Take a look at the  Duke lacrosse record. First, weep for how good Duke's season schedule page is. It lists not only the score but also the ranking of the team each week and the ranking of its opponent going into the game. As for the record:

Duke has two losses.
One of the losses to Cornell.
One win by one goal (in OT).  
Three wins by two goals.
One blowout win by 10 or more.

I'm not saying these should be the seeding criteria, but they are ways to look at a team's progress during the season.

[ebilmes]

This is from the Hobart write-up about yesterday's game:

At 13-0, Cornell is all but guaranteed the top seed in the NCAA Tournament

http://laxpower.com/laxnews/news.php?story=7057

[Al DeFlorio]

[quote ebilmes]This is from the Hobart write-up about yesterday's game:

At 13-0, Cornell is all but guaranteed the top seed in the NCAA Tournament

http://laxpower.com/laxnews/news.php?story=7057[/quote]
I don't think the Hobart SID has a vote.::thud::