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Discussions about the Cornell men's and women's hockey teams
Re: Cornell lacrosse Princeton 4/29/23 noon - 1 year ago
Well I think you are right to worry, but I also think that our coaches and players will do everything possible to be ready. Will that be enough? I hope we'll get to find out. But first is PU, then Y or Sucks, then PU/PeU again (assuming the best outcome in each case).by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
Trotsky How corrupt is the tourny selection now? It's not purely deterministic like hockey, right? Does the Baltimore Mafia still have room to do their thing? 1) Since the great criteria change of 2009 (the horrific seeding of 2007 forced the NCAA to fix it), it is not at all corrupt. It is, however, somewhat random. 2) It is not deterministic like hockey. 3) No.by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
ILT possibilities: If Cornell beats Princeton, the top 3 seeds are Cornell, Penn, Princeton. If Princeton beats Cornell, the top 3 seeds are Princeton, Cornell, Penn. The Harvard-Yale winner gets the #4 seed.by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
BearLover Prior to Saturday’s games, I assume? Yes.by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
The NCAA selection committee revealed their top 10 on Saturday: 1. ND 2. Duke 3. UVA 4. UMD 5. PSU 6. JHU 7. Cornell 8. Army 9. Rutgers 10. Georgetown Big surprise here is Army, which was #19 RPI at the time. H2H over Rutgers in the only plausible explanation for this, but it's a real departure from the official criteria. My takeaway: this committee is whack!by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell Lacrosse at Army 4/15/23 - 1 year ago
George64 Blake initially draws two defenders and passes to Kelleher. Blake is now open and signals for the ball, but Kelleher instead passes to Coyle, further drawing defenders away from Blake. Meanwhile, CJ, who doesn’t get a goal all afternoon, is busy drawing a double-team. Coyle passes to the wide-open Blake and the goalie reacts, so Blake dives and shoots it low and away from the goalie’sby CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell Lacrosse at Army 4/15/23 - 1 year ago
Big mistake by Army #33 who ran away from Blake after Blake fell down, then forgot all about him.by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell Lacrosse at Army 4/15/23 - 1 year ago
Long ties it, 3:32 remainingby CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
Army is currently RPI #19. For comparison, Yale is #11, Penn #12, OSU #14 (and Cornell is #6). Cornell needs to keep winning to avoid being Duked. (Last year, Duke was RPI #8 and did not get a bid.)by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
Yes, great ball movement, picture-perfect offenseby CU77 - Other Sports
Re: 2023 NCAA 1R: Cornell vs Denver - 1 year ago
Trotsky First shutout by a Cornell goaltender in an NCAA game since The Shutout. Wow!by CU77 - Hockey
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
Why would he transfer? His older brother Colin was the Rutgers goalie last year (a senior, now graduated, 2nd team AA), and their father also played for Rutgers. CJ vs Colin was the big story line of the Cornell-Rutgers NCAA semifinal game:by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Wrestling 2022-23 - 1 year ago
Vito and Yianni championship matches: Great quote from the announcer during Yianni's bout: "Cornell looking for its first national champion since 20 minutes ago."by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Wrestling 2022-23 - 1 year ago
Many thanks for all your great reporting over the season, ugarte!by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
You didn't need to tell us 3 times, bill!by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
Great to see Long back and apparently at full strength. Having Coyle at X and Long on the wing is not something I would have expected, but it worked! This offense is just so much harder to defend with Long, no matter where he is. In other lax news, PSU loses to Marquette (!) in the Metro Cup on Long Island. Video here, with color commentary by none other than RP3:by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
Roy 82 ChatGPT: Cornell finished the regular season with a record of 15-2-2 Um ...by CU77 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
upprdeck But if you are going to use scores, changing from a 75-65 game to an 82-77 game is vastly different than being up 2-0 and the goalie us pulled and winning 4-0.. Two ENGs is pretty rare. And anyway this is just something you have to live with in trying to do rankings in a low-scoring sport. Of course further stats could be used as well. Here, for example, is a pretty fancy pro-hockey rankby CU77 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
adamw CU77The fancy-stats people in pro hockey likely have good ideas about rankings. I don't know what makes you think that. I've seen NHL rankings -- I work for a site that has those too -- and they essentially the same as KRACH. I just assumed they would do something fancy because that's what they do ... also I would want to dig into what "essentially" means; any kind of rankingby CU77 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
adamw CU77In any case Massey probabilities are likely better, as they use more input (scores, locations, times). Times? We do have a home/away version of KRACH. It's not much different. I should use it though. Scores have always been an extremely dubious and debatable thing to use in hockey. I go back and forth on it. Times = early season vs late season results. Scores are data, completelyby CU77 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
adamw CU77 KRACH could be adjusted to do better, as I outlined above. KRACH is a very simple model. The door is open ... I don't care enough to do it myself. In any case Massey probabilities are likely better, as they use more input (scores, locations, times).by CU77 - Hockey
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - polls 3/6/23 - 1 year ago
scoop85Long will be back this year. Good to know! But I hope it's sooner than Aiden Blake came back last year ...by CU77 - Other Sports
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
KRACH could be adjusted to do better, as I outlined above. KRACH is a very simple model.by CU77 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
Well, I would start with KRACH, add some number x of ties against a fictitious team to each team's record, compute KRACH ratings at the end of a regular season for various values of x, then compute predicted records of each team in an all-against-all set of games, and then compare the distribution of the computed winning percentages against the actual distribution of winning percentages in the gaby CU77 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
KRACH probabilities can be improved by adding to every team's record some number of ties against a fictitious "average" team; Ken Butler's original method added one such game, but more gives a better distribution of predicted results.by CU77 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology 2023 - 1 year ago
Better models already exist, eg Massey ratings: His method is proprietary but the results seem reasonable.by CU77 - Hockey
Re: Cornell lacrosse 2023 - 1 year ago
I watched most of the Md-ND game. Both teams are, IMO, playing on a noticably higher level than Cornell.by CU77 - Other Sports