tonight's ecac line
Posted by pat
tonight's ecac line
Posted by: pat (---)
Date: February 07, 2003 12:58PM
Since my attempt to cram as many puns into two sentences as I could the other night went unnoticed (who starts sentences with "See, men"?), I thought I'd post something slightly more interesting. Here's the line on tonight's ECAC games:
Note: these are compiled from statistically-determined rankings (krach and chodr). I would not recommend using them to open your own book. In fact, if someone offers you Dartmouth and 3 points or RPI over Brown in the Big Red Freakout, I'd say take it. The rest of the week's schedule is off [gneiss.geo.cornell.edu] .
To apply this to another thread, Vermont is statistically a better opponent than Colgate was. The odds for the Colgate win last week were 17:1; tomorrow's game against Vermont is at 10:1.
odds spread over/under Harvard over RENSSELAER 7:1 -2 5½ Brown over UNION even 0 5 Clarkson over PRINCETON 4:1 -2 5½ YALE over St. Lawrence 3:1 -1½ 7½ CORNELL over Dartmouth 4:1 -3 6½ Vermont over COLGATE 2:1 -½ 6
Note: these are compiled from statistically-determined rankings (krach and chodr). I would not recommend using them to open your own book. In fact, if someone offers you Dartmouth and 3 points or RPI over Brown in the Big Red Freakout, I'd say take it. The rest of the week's schedule is off [gneiss.geo.cornell.edu] .
To apply this to another thread, Vermont is statistically a better opponent than Colgate was. The odds for the Colgate win last week were 17:1; tomorrow's game against Vermont is at 10:1.
Re: tonight's ecac line
Posted by: Greg Berge (---)
Date: February 07, 2003 02:35PM
That's cool. Can you explain the basics of how you came up with the odds so I don't have to learn perl (although I really should learn perl and maybe that'd be motivation)?
Re: tonight's ecac line
Posted by: pat (---)
Date: February 07, 2003 02:49PM
The odds are just the KRACH ratings of the favorite divided by the underdog. The routine rounds, except it allows for reasonable X:2 and X:3 values. The KRACH on USCHO doesn't include any information about home ice advantage, so neither does this. Craig Powers's calculation does (home team win percentage is +0.0477 predicted), but is two weeks behind.
Re: tonight's ecac line
Posted by: marty (---)
Date: February 07, 2003 05:58PM
So can we place our bets on channel #lynah with paypal?
Re: tonight's ecac line
Posted by: jeh25 (---)
Date: February 07, 2003 07:38PM
Ooooohhh! Now that's a damn good idea....
Re: tonight's ecac line
Posted by: kingpin248 (---)
Date: February 07, 2003 09:33PM
The ECAC favorites go 4-1-1 against the CHODR spread tonight. (Vermont failed to cover; Harvard pushed.)
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