NCAA Seeding Speculation

[KeithK]

[q]Also, Cornell would avoid being screwed twice[/q]...and would have the added benefit (which you mentioned yesterday) of screwing Michigan (sending them to play at Mariucci) in payback for all of their years at Yost.

[jy3]

anyone know how to get the build your own rankings on slack.net to consider a tuc as rpi >= .5 and record >= .500
i am curious how this would change things

40 minutes til seeding. i think we will be in minne.

[KeithK]

Here's what I came up with in a quick hack last night.  Starting with a straight 1-16, 2-15 etc. would give:

1 BC  CC  DU   Minn
2 UNH NoD Mich Cor
3 Har OSU Wisc BU
4 Mer BSU Col  Maine

This can't work because BU and Minny have to host their own regionals.  So flip BU with either OSU or Wisc.  I'll pick OSU because that leaves Michigan in Grand Rapids.

# Amh Wor GR   Minn
1 BC  CC  DU   Minn
2 UNH NoD Mich Cor
3 Har BU  Wisc OSu
4 Mer BSU Col  Maine

Now, I got to this without taking the step of placing the top seeds in regionals first.  So what?  Minny is where they have to be.  BC is closest to home.  I doubt it matters whether you send CC or Denver to Worcester or Grand Rapids, so I don't think you're "screwing" CC by sending them further away.

Is this a "prediction"?  I hope not.  I don't like the straight "bracket-integrity" approach.  While I don't subscribe completely to Adam's "storyline" position (see USCHO article) I think the committee should have flexibility to create seeds to design igood regionals that have both decent attendance prospects and good east-west matchups.

Besides, as anyone who has been following this for weeks knows, there really isnt that much difference in ranking between Michigan and Cornell in the #2 band, or BU/OSU in the #3 band.  Or for that matter between Minny/Cornell or UNH/Harvard across bands.  A couple of second order things happening (e.g. Brown winning one more game in Novemeber) and these rankings flip.  So sticking to a rigid bracket seems shortsighted.  Unless the committee is simply trying to eliminate all possibility of people being upset with the seedings by going strictly with the numbers.

[TCHL8842]

jy3 isn't already set for a TUC being a RPI > 0.5000, dont understand the second part. But if you set the TUC to be RPI > 0.4990 we would be ranked 4th overall.

[ZooeyDog]

I don't have anything new to add. We're going to Minny, and we know it.

I just wanted to somehow work the title of this post into the conversation.

 ::nut::

[jy3]

[Q]TCHL8842 Wrote:

 jy3 isn't already set for a TUC being a RPI > 0.5000, dont understand the second part. But if you set the TUC to be RPI > 0.4990 we would be ranked 4th overall.[/q]


sorry i think i made a typo.
i meant a tuc being defined by winning percentage >= .500 AND rpi >= .500

[jkahn]

The committee juggles things around to send Mich to GR and pairs 8-9 UNH-Harv. in a region with #3.  If they could do all this, you'd think they could've put the #5 team in a region with #3 and kept us east.