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Messages - Dafatone

#1
Hockey / Re: Cornell 3 Nebraska-Omaha 2, 1/3/26
January 05, 2026, 10:15:59 PM
Quote from: BearLover on January 05, 2026, 01:15:06 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 05, 2026, 12:03:29 PM
Quote from: ugarte on January 05, 2026, 11:50:28 AM
Quote from: BearLover on January 05, 2026, 10:57:06 AM... with the ultimate goal of rolling four lines who can score.
Realistically, does anyone, anywhere have this? Yes, better is better but it's also tautological.
I don't think even the heavyweight programs this year have four scoring lines. Besides, you do kinda want a shutdown/checking line, if only to match up against harder competition and give your other guys a break.

If you can have 7 or so forwards that are a scoring threat, and even 2 D, you're in a good spot. Part of the game involves not being scored on.
7 and 2 is much too low IMO. Really need at least 9 and 3, and that's not even counting guys out to injury (of which we currently have none). That way, we can roll 3 full lines that can score and 3 D pairings with one major threat to score. We can also have one checking line and complement each offensive D with a defensive D.

The best way to not be scored on is to possess the puck in the other team's offensive zone.

I'm not a huge NHL analytics knower, but as I understand it, one attempt at coming up with a WAR for NHL measures offense, defense, and finishing.

I like this distinction between offense and finishing. All four of our lines seem pretty good at "offense": getting the puck into the offensive zone and generating chances. It's the finishing, as in turning those chances into goals, where we don't quite have the results through all four lines.

That being said, we just scored 9 goals this past weekend (admittedly against a team that wasn't exactly playing defense), so we are scoring.
#2
Hockey / Re: Cornell vs Nebraska-Omaha, 1/3/26
January 03, 2026, 06:39:28 PM
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82 on January 03, 2026, 06:30:37 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 03, 2026, 06:26:26 PMKeopple first on the ice for warmies. Hope that doesn't mean he's starting.

Usually does. 

How badly did Cournoyer play last night?  Could Casey be sitting him because of performance?

He didn't seem to play badly, in my opinion, but he didn't play well, either.

We gave up a few really bad chances and he didn't make great saves on them. There are worse things than giving Keopple a start here and there (and I'm kinda down on Keopple).
#3
Hockey / Re: Cornell vs Nebraska-Omaha, 1/2/26
January 02, 2026, 09:56:08 PM
Quote from: BearLover on January 02, 2026, 09:51:45 PM
Quote from: Dafatone on January 02, 2026, 09:46:44 PMWeird thing to say when we scored six goals, but I thought UNO's goalie played very well. We could have had eight or nine pretty easily.
CHN's box score has our expected goals at 4.6 and UNO's at 1.7. (I have no idea how reliable CHN's xG metric is.) We dominated this game, even accounting for the 5-to-2 PP disparity.

I'm not sure I want to say Cournoyer had a bad game, exactly, because he was really hung out to dry on some of those goals. But we could have used a robbery or two.

Still, they're all line drives in the scorebook. On to tomorrow.
#4
Hockey / Re: Cornell vs Nebraska-Omaha, 1/2/26
January 02, 2026, 09:46:44 PM
Weird thing to say when we scored six goals, but I thought UNO's goalie played very well. We could have had eight or nine pretty easily.
#5
Hockey / Re: Cornell vs Nebraska-Omaha, 1/2/26
January 02, 2026, 06:15:41 PM
I feel like face off dominance has been one of the most consistent features of Cornell hockey since I started watching in 2004-2005.
#6
Hockey / Re: Recruits 2026 and Beyond
December 18, 2025, 05:26:42 PM
Quote from: BearLover on December 18, 2025, 05:15:26 PM
Quote from: stereax on December 18, 2025, 04:51:44 PM
Quote from: BearLover on December 18, 2025, 04:26:41 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 18, 2025, 04:14:15 PM
Quote from: BearLover on December 18, 2025, 04:04:21 PMWeren't people on here saying that Bancroft got a huge signing bonus/contract?

https://www.spotrac.com/nhl/player/_/id/99798/dalton-bancroft
Just to be clear, that $950,000 is his salary even if he spends the entire year in the AHL?
Nope. Checked on PuckPedia. Here.

It's an ELC, so they're kind of limited in how much they can guarantee a player. Plus, Bancroft is making 98000 in signing bonus. 85000 is his minors salary. If he plays 5 games with the NHL Bruins, he gets a performance bonus of 25000. (Plus the pro-rated NHL salary for that point.)
Thanks. So he gets 85K plus the 97.5K signing bonus if he spends the entire year in the AHL (likely)? Or is the signing bonus prorated too? It's unfortunate for him that he left Cornell, he has 1 assist and 0 goals through 16 AHL games and I think that same contract would have been available after his senior year.

Unless he had some sort of horrifying injury, which is a risk.
#7
Hockey / Re: Dartmouth 2026 ECAC Tournament Seed
December 17, 2025, 01:40:28 PM
My vote is purely based on spite and has no connection to reality.
#8
Hockey / Re: Cornell vs Nebraska-Omaha, 1/2/26
December 16, 2025, 10:21:51 PM
Quote from: chimpfood on December 16, 2025, 10:00:59 PMLooks like UNO's goalie went out with an injury a minute into fridays game and wasn't dressed Saturday. Omaha plays Augustana this weekend so they could help us out and pick up some NPI points there.

How dare you suggest we root against the good Vikings of Sioux Falls.
#9
Hockey / Re: Lynah Attendance
December 10, 2025, 08:37:00 AM
Quote from: adamw on December 09, 2025, 11:45:01 PMThis has been an evergreen topic in all of college hockey for 20 years. Steady decline everywhere, except for a handful of places. And even those places are subject to decline when their team falls out of the top 20. Even Western Michigan - known for its "lunatics" and fresh off a national championship, had extremely meh attendance this past weekend against a good Duluth team.

I don't like it either - but it's not a Cornell problem - and there's likely very little anyone can do about it. Cornell has to be a consistent top 5 team for like half a season in order to fill Lynah like it used to.

Definitely the general trend. I'm a bit surprised regardless, because it seemed like Lynah had picked up in crowd size and intensity a little over the last two years.
#10
Hockey / Re: Cornell @ St. Lawrence, 12/6/25
December 06, 2025, 10:06:27 PM
Quote from: stereax on December 06, 2025, 08:21:23 PMSTOP. COMMITTING. CRIMES. YOU. ABSOLUTE. MUPPETS.

Are you planning on going into criminal defense?
#11
Hockey / Re: Cornell @ Clarkson 12-5-25
December 05, 2025, 10:26:09 PM
Quote from: chimpfood on December 05, 2025, 10:20:22 PMWe're at 17 in the NPI, far from disastrous but we'll need a good run in our next 5 games that aren't gonna give us much NPI juice.

For better or worse, I think NPI needs some time to come into focus. BU is 8-7-1 and suddenly up to 26. UMass is 8-8-0 and all the way down at 45. Strength of schedule and all that, but it's iffy to use 16 games as both rankings and SoS since it's a smaller sample.

Long story short, we gotta see where a lot of things shake out.
#12
Hockey / Re: Cornell @ Clarkson 12-5-25
December 05, 2025, 10:18:26 PM
Quote from: BearLover on December 05, 2025, 10:13:06 PMPer CHN box score, Cornell's xG was 3.1 and Clarkson's was 2.3. Which indicates that (as usual) we were unlucky. But (1) I've read that CHN's xG model is flawed because it looks only at shot location and not at shot type, (2) xG doesn't account for goalie difference, and tonight Cournoyer let in a soft goal, and (3) honestly, Clarkson seems like a pretty bad team so it feels really bad to lose to them. The total lack of discipline and inability to spread out the Clarkson defense were the most glaring things. It was a horrible los that nuked our chances even though the underlying metrics were fine.

It did not nuke our chances.
#13
Hockey / Re: Cornell @ Clarkson 12-5-25
December 05, 2025, 09:42:02 PM
Again, hard to follow that stream on my phone, but it looked like we got suckered into a chippiness party and committed some bad penalties behind the play in the third and otherwise lost focus.

Hopefully this a good lesson and whatnot.
#14
Hockey / Re: Cornell @ Clarkson 12-5-25
December 05, 2025, 07:55:35 PM
It's hard to follow the action watching this 1986 camera feed on my phone, but the wave off seemed iffy.

Just keep playing hard.
#15
Hockey / Re: Cornell @ Clarkson 12-5-25
December 05, 2025, 06:59:12 PM
Quote from: stereax on December 05, 2025, 06:39:52 PMIf someone can explain to me what exactly putting DeSantis with Catalano and Wallace is supposed to accomplish, I would be grateful... I thought the point of our fourth line as constructed was to be "Certified Boy-Meat" (Snowball's words, not mine) and to outmuscle/outgrind other teams. How exactly does DeSantis work there?

DeSantis hasn't produced much, at least in terms of points, so why not try something new, I suppose.