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Messages - ursusminor

#1
Hockey / Re: Enkele interessante gidsen om te delen
April 11, 2026, 02:58:01 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on April 10, 2026, 04:58:09 AMA Møøse once bit my sister

Someone who plays for the Manitoba Moose (AHL)?
#2
Quote from: RichH on April 11, 2026, 09:33:38 AM
Quote from: Trotsky on April 11, 2026, 01:00:50 AM2026 NCAA D1 All American East First Team :

G Michael Hrabal, JR, Massachusetts
D Brandon Holt, SR, Maine
D Cole Hutson, SO, BU
F James Hagens, SO, BC
F Hayden Stavroff, SO, Dartmouth
F Ethan Wyttenbach, FR, Quinnipiac

Second Team:

G Lawton Zacher, JR, Northeastern
D Tyler Dunbar, JR, Union
D Chris Hedden, SR, U.S. Air Force
F Dylan Hryckowian, JR, Northeastern
F Jack Musa, JR, Massachusetts
F Felix Trudeau, SR, Sacred Heart




Air Force is East?

Riiiiiight. "Atlantic" Hockey. I forgot.

2 of the 3 seniors are from the AHA.
#3
Quote from: CU2007 on April 06, 2026, 10:11:08 PM
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82 on April 06, 2026, 07:27:32 PM
Quote from: 617BigRed on April 06, 2026, 06:42:01 PMMaybe likely we could play in this, as a NY state school?

www.uscho.com/2026/04/06/liu-announces-new-holiday-tournament

If it's only NY schools, there's not a lot of advantage to us.  The only schools are in Atlantic Hockey, which is a weak conference in terms of SOS, and our own conference, which does nothing in terms of out-of-conference record and precious little for SOS.

But it's more games in the NYC area which is good for alumni engagement (and of course donations)
A post on USCHO https://fanforum.uscho.com/threads/2026-27-schedules-thread.37285/post-2976645 stated that the participants are LIU, FSU, Army, and SLU. Last I heard, Ferris is not in NY. :)
#4
Hockey / Re: Alumni in the pros 25-26
April 04, 2026, 07:10:55 AM
Quote from: adamw on April 04, 2026, 06:21:56 AM
Quote from: ursusminor on April 03, 2026, 03:09:22 PMAny coach who could get AIC to win anything is talented. He might get attracted elsewhere if RPI makes the NCAA tourney in the next couple of years. I will be happy next year if RPI makes Lake Placid for the first time ever.

I couldn't tell if this was a joke I missed or an exaggeration - but RPI won the 1995 ECAC Tournament in Lake Placid and made it a bunch of other times. Unless you mean since the tournament returned to LP.

Yes, that is what I meant. Sorry.
#5
Hockey / Re: Alumni in the pros 25-26
April 04, 2026, 01:33:58 AM
Quote from: ursusminor on April 03, 2026, 02:27:39 PMSorry that I originally posted the following on the wrong thread.

I just felt like doing this for RPI.

It is obvious to me that only half of this list is of comparible NHL achievement to all of Cornell's. This makes me even happier that the currently known recruit list for 2026 is IMHO significantly better than Cornell's. (I add that neither Heisenberg's list nor CHN agrees with the 8 players Coach Lang hinted at recently. CHN includes these eight but also others who are unlikely to be arriving this year or in some cases ever. The coach said that he wants to add up to four more including from the evil portal.) BTW, I did not give Neil Little any credit for all the times that the Flyers recalled him only to be the backup sieve. The advantages of having an AHL team in the same town.

1. Adam Oates
2. Daren Puppa
3. Joé Juneau
4. Mike McPhee
5. Brian Pothier
6. Brandon Pirri
7. John Carter
8. Ken Hammond
9. Kraig Nienhuis
10.. Graeme Townshend

I must stop bragging about RPI on this forum, as it often comes back to haunt me. The RPI 2026 forward recruit with the best scoring stats in the past season, Josh Evaschesen, is considering returning to the WHL. He was 67-33-40-73-35 in the regular season.
https://x.com/MarTheReporter/status/2040220126252020019
#6
Hockey / Re: Castagna and Walsh - The Worry Zone
April 04, 2026, 01:15:13 AM
Quote from: stereax on April 03, 2026, 11:50:53 PM
Quote from: The Rancor on April 03, 2026, 11:25:58 PMCouns is 6'4 and already was a QMJHL goalie... Seems Michigan State needs a goalie? I'm just teasing, of course, but it is a real possibility. And as others stated, yes, NCAA does develop goaltending. Ours just don't always work out, because of, ahem, The System.
Scrivens had a pretty good NHL career, I'd say. And, FWIW, he's the Team Manager for Denver. Think on that. (if true)
Mich State is getting Ravensbergen I think

Yes. Thankfully, he isn't going to an ECAC school, or RPI's projected backup, Ethan McCallum, may be in trouble.
https://www.instagram.com/reels/DU12nIwjJQZ/
They do smile at the end, so maybe this was staged.
#7
Hockey / Re: Alumni in the pros 25-26
April 03, 2026, 03:09:22 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on April 03, 2026, 02:50:19 PM
Quote from: ursusminor on April 03, 2026, 02:27:39 PMThis makes me even happier that the currently known recruit list for 2026 is IMHO significantly better than Cornell's.

We look forward to their transfers.


That wouldn't surprise me, but we will see in a year. I suspect that most, if not all, RPI's losses this offseason will be players whom we want to lose.

Any coach who could get AIC to win anything is talented. He might get attracted elsewhere if RPI makes the NCAA tourney in the next couple of years. I will be happy next year if RPI makes Lake Placid for the first time ever.
#8
Hockey / Re: Alumni in the pros 25-26
April 03, 2026, 03:00:26 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on April 03, 2026, 02:36:08 PM
Quote from: ursusminor on April 03, 2026, 02:27:39 PMSorry that I originally posted the following on the wrong thread.

I just felt like doing this for RPI.

It is obvious to me that only half of this list is of comparible NHL achievement to all of Cornell's. This makes me even happier that the currently known recruit list for 2026 is IMHO significantly better than Cornell's. (I add that neither Heisenberg's list nor CHN agrees with the 8 players Coach Lang hinted at recently. CHN includes these eight but also others who are unlikely to be arriving this year or in some cases ever. The coach said that he wants to add up to four more including from the evil portal.) BTW, I did not give Neil Little any credit for all the times that the Flyers recalled him only to be the backup sieve. The advantages of having an AHL team in the same town.

1. Adam Oates
2. Daren Puppa
3. Joé Juneau
4. Mike McPhee
5. Brian Pothier
6. Brandon Pirri
7. John Carter
8. Ken Hammond
9. Kraig Nienhuis
10.. Graeme Towhshend

Half that team was on the ice at the same time.  RPI '85 was something to see.

Wasn't Barrasso RPI, or have I gone insane?

Was Townshend the guy who Adessa (the coach is fat!!!) made his you can't do that clap clap, clap clap clap about?

Barrasso was drafted by Buffalo the same year that Puppa was, but he never played for RPI or any college. I vaguely recall that someone recruited him.

Townshend supposedly caused Adessa to be fired.

Five of those did play for the 1985 NCAA championship team (Oates, Puppa, Carter, Hammond, Nienhuis). So did Mike Dark, Tim Friday, and George Servinis each of whom did play at least some in the NHL. I think that is all. I suspect that Mark Jooris could have.
#9
Hockey / Re: Alumni in the pros 25-26
April 03, 2026, 02:27:39 PM
Sorry that I originally posted the following on the wrong thread.

I just felt like doing this for RPI.

It is obvious to me that only half of this list is of comparible NHL achievement to all of Cornell's. This makes me even happier that the currently known recruit list for 2026 is IMHO significantly better than Cornell's. (I add that neither Heisenberg's list nor CHN agrees with the 8 players Coach Lang hinted at recently. CHN includes these eight but also others who are unlikely to be arriving this year or in some cases ever. The coach said that he wants to add up to four more including from the evil portal.) BTW, I did not give Neil Little any credit for all the times that the Flyers recalled him only to be the backup sieve. The advantages of having an AHL team in the same town.

1. Adam Oates
2. Daren Puppa
3. Joé Juneau
4. Mike McPhee
5. Brian Pothier
6. Brandon Pirri
7. John Carter
8. Ken Hammond
9. Kraig Nienhuis
10.. Graeme Townshend
#10
Podcast interview about RPI's past season and the future with coach Eric Lang. (interviewers Stephen Zenack, Brendan O'Gara, and Chris McGarvey)

https://www.rpifieldhouse.com/p/season-wrap-up-with-coach-lang
#12
I assume an April Fools joke.

https://www.instagram.com/p/DWmE69XDiHq/
#13
Quote from: adamw on April 01, 2026, 01:08:53 PMColgate, Union, St. Lawrence will probably all lose their top players.

My Part 2 Special Report is posted today, if anyone is interested:

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/news/2026/03/31_CHN-Special-Report-Part-.php

Very informative and scary article. I am sure that you know that RIT is not in the ECAC, although it is in the Liberty League in other sports with the four ECAC D-III schools.
#14
Quote from: BearLover on March 30, 2026, 11:45:34 AM
Quote from: ursusminor on March 30, 2026, 11:42:26 AM
Quote from: BearLover on March 29, 2026, 11:20:28 PM
Quote from: Tom Lento on March 29, 2026, 11:14:19 PM
Quote from: BearLover on March 29, 2026, 01:55:24 PM
Quote from: Tom Lento on March 29, 2026, 01:47:10 PM
Quote from: BearLover on March 28, 2026, 10:03:58 AMHarvard/Dartmouth was their best weekend for sure, but it was also their only great weekend the entire season. This never felt like a top 10 team. That's how the computer rankings shook out, though. KRACH has us down at 12 but that's still really good. I don't believe our underlying metrics were that great even if our results (wins and losses, accounting for SOS) were very good.


I haven't looked since a few weeks before the end of the RS, but at least in aggregate Cornell's advanced metrics seemed to me to be in line with a solidly top 15 team. Top 10 in the ratings was maybe lucky, but not egregiously so.

If you've gone through the numbers a bit more it'd be interesting to get more detail there. I didn't get to watch the team much this season but I got the feeling from following along here and checking some xG/Corsi/Fenwick data that Cornell's play style results in more possession than it seems based on the eye test.

That may be because they've got a metrics-sound approach that doesn't yield enough sustained pressure (from what I understand Corsi and Fenwick, in particular, can suffer from this), or it may be because everybody around here got used to watching Schafer's endless cycle approach to puck possession, or it may just be noise.
If you're looking at the publicly available data on eg. CHN, those aren't adjusted for SOS. So top 15 possession metrics in the ECAC is in reality worse than top 15. I don't have access to anything better than what's publicly available, and even the CHN xG stat is not precise as it does not take into account type of shot, so I can't really comment with any greater degree of certainty.

Yeah that's a good point. I don't really know how to discount the stats accordingly so unless someone wants to do a more rigorous analysis this will all be on vibes.

My take after a quick look at today's Corsi/Fenwick numbers is still that Cornell (~12th on aggregate possession metrics) was a solid top 15 but probably not a top 10. That's not bad for a rebuilding year, and getting that big incoming class an up close look at a title contender is a real positive even if the game itself was pretty rough.
Cornell had a below average SOS. I think last I looked it was like 34th, but I can't seem to find it now on CHN. I'm not sure how you account for that exactly, but if a team that's eg. 16th in possession metrics has the 5th hardest SOS, they should be ahead of Cornell. @sezenack is an RPI fan who maintains a blog and I think he was tracking SOS-adjusted possession stats. @ursusminor, perhaps you can ping him? Would be interesting to see.

You can send a message to him yourself as I would have to decypher messages which I have not been reading. He is often a slow respondent because he works for a living.
No worries. I meant ping him somewhere other than this forum, which I assume he never checks. Hopefully he checks it again someday.

He will get a message from eLynah if you send him a PM using the link you posted to his eLynah page.
#15
Quote from: BearLover on March 29, 2026, 11:20:28 PM
Quote from: Tom Lento on March 29, 2026, 11:14:19 PM
Quote from: BearLover on March 29, 2026, 01:55:24 PM
Quote from: Tom Lento on March 29, 2026, 01:47:10 PM
Quote from: BearLover on March 28, 2026, 10:03:58 AMHarvard/Dartmouth was their best weekend for sure, but it was also their only great weekend the entire season. This never felt like a top 10 team. That's how the computer rankings shook out, though. KRACH has us down at 12 but that's still really good. I don't believe our underlying metrics were that great even if our results (wins and losses, accounting for SOS) were very good.


I haven't looked since a few weeks before the end of the RS, but at least in aggregate Cornell's advanced metrics seemed to me to be in line with a solidly top 15 team. Top 10 in the ratings was maybe lucky, but not egregiously so.

If you've gone through the numbers a bit more it'd be interesting to get more detail there. I didn't get to watch the team much this season but I got the feeling from following along here and checking some xG/Corsi/Fenwick data that Cornell's play style results in more possession than it seems based on the eye test.

That may be because they've got a metrics-sound approach that doesn't yield enough sustained pressure (from what I understand Corsi and Fenwick, in particular, can suffer from this), or it may be because everybody around here got used to watching Schafer's endless cycle approach to puck possession, or it may just be noise.
If you're looking at the publicly available data on eg. CHN, those aren't adjusted for SOS. So top 15 possession metrics in the ECAC is in reality worse than top 15. I don't have access to anything better than what's publicly available, and even the CHN xG stat is not precise as it does not take into account type of shot, so I can't really comment with any greater degree of certainty.

Yeah that's a good point. I don't really know how to discount the stats accordingly so unless someone wants to do a more rigorous analysis this will all be on vibes.

My take after a quick look at today's Corsi/Fenwick numbers is still that Cornell (~12th on aggregate possession metrics) was a solid top 15 but probably not a top 10. That's not bad for a rebuilding year, and getting that big incoming class an up close look at a title contender is a real positive even if the game itself was pretty rough.
Cornell had a below average SOS. I think last I looked it was like 34th, but I can't seem to find it now on CHN. I'm not sure how you account for that exactly, but if a team that's eg. 16th in possession metrics has the 5th hardest SOS, they should be ahead of Cornell. @sezenack is an RPI fan who maintains a blog and I think he was tracking SOS-adjusted possession stats. @ursusminor, perhaps you can ping him? Would be interesting to see.

You can send a message to him yourself as I would have to decypher messages which I have not been reading. He is often a slow respondent because he works for a living.