Any hope of an at large bid with the bonus factor?
I haven't done the math myself, but my guess would be it would take an extraordinary set of victories by unlikely teams for Cornell to move up to #14 or higher in the pairwise rankings.
I've been playing with the recently updated You Are the Committee feature on USCHO. Doesn't look promising/possible whatsoever.
the best i could get us is #16, which puts us 2 out of the tournament due to the AQ's under us
me too
16 is the best i could get us to too
anyone play around with getting two teams in the tourney from the ecac? i wonder if 'gate and the winner of the ecac tourney if they lose could both get in?
Colgate can lose the semifinal and win the consolation and end up in a three way tie for 12 with Michigan State and Notre Dame. Each team wins one (and loses one) comparison with another so I assume RPI would be the deciding factor - and Colgate has the lowest RPI of the three.
thanks nyc94 that would be cool :)
Let's be honest. We don't deserve to play for the national championship this year. Let those who earned a shot go for it, enjoy the hockey and look forward to next year.
What are Harvard's chance of being a TUC? That would get us two wins.
Harvard IS a TUC... still not very likely we will make it :-/
Had we won a few of those non conference games that we tied or lost early this year, we probably would have had a chance in spite of our playoff meltdown. I hope we get off to a strong start next year and clean up in our NC games. Not only do they mean the most for getting an at large bid, they build respect for the maligned ECAC.
The early non-conf games had a big impact on our PWR this season. I can believe we might still be in contention for a bid had we swept WMU and beaten BGSU and Mercyhurst. (I still would think we didn't deserve to go to the tournament after losing on home ice in the quarters, but that's a different issue...) Keep in mind though that the early season non-conf troubles were not unexpected to those who were paying attention. We had inexperienced defense and goaltending, which needed time to adjust. This shouldn't be as much of a problem next fall. A quick start is much more likely.
It also didn't help much to have a non-conf schedule with four games against relatively weak teams and three bubbles. No idea about next years slate except for Estero, but hopefully we can get a slightly better non-conf SoS. BC in Estero should help, if nothing else.
Not that it matters much but Clarkson is now a TUC (their RPI is .5006) and 31st in the PWR.
Colgate is still better off losing the semifinal and winning the consolation than losing in the final.
edit: changed numbers to reflect Thursday night results.