Halloween spookiness at Lynah! LGR
LGR! Finish the job!
Wondering if we'll see some guys draw out today - we have a lot of good players who didn't play last game, and SHU is weak enough that we could probably get away with it.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:02:32 AMLGR! Finish the job!
Wondering if we'll see some guys draw out today - we have a lot of good players who didn't play last game, and SHU is weak enough that we could probably get away with it.
I'm sure we'll see other guys in the lineup tonight, and it won't have anything to do with SHU's perceived "weakness" — they're at least the equivalently of a middle-of-the-pack ECAC team. Given how many guys are on the roster I think Casey will cycle guys in to see who steps up before settling on the "regulars."
Quote from: scoop85 on October 31, 2026, 09:50:57 AMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:02:32 AMLGR! Finish the job!
Wondering if we'll see some guys draw out today - we have a lot of good players who didn't play last game, and SHU is weak enough that we could probably get away with it.
I'm sure we'll see other guys in the lineup tonight, and it won't have anything to do with SHU's perceived "weakness" — they're at least the equivalently of a middle-of-the-pack ECAC team. Given how many guys are on the roster I think Casey will cycle guys in to see who steps up before settling on the "regulars."
Yeah - but if it was Quinnipiac, he'd be icing who he thinks are his 12 best guys, unequivocally. Yk?
CHN stats (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/stats/team/Cornell/18) have TOI, +/- and CHIP.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 03:03:50 PMQuote from: scoop85 on October 31, 2026, 09:50:57 AMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:02:32 AMLGR! Finish the job!
Wondering if we'll see some guys draw out today - we have a lot of good players who didn't play last game, and SHU is weak enough that we could probably get away with it.
I'm sure we'll see other guys in the lineup tonight, and it won't have anything to do with SHU's perceived "weakness" — they're at least the equivalently of a middle-of-the-pack ECAC team. Given how many guys are on the roster I think Casey will cycle guys in to see who steps up before settling on the "regulars."
Yeah - but if it was Quinnipiac, he'd be icing who he thinks are his 12 best guys, unequivocally. Yk?
Top 12, yeah. But top 18... it fractures based on the game plan.
Seems to me we will always, barring injury, see:
Rousseau
Veilleux
Fegaras
Randle
Fisher
Walsh
Ryan
Zadvernyuk
Kraft
Major
Long
And then... choices. Coaching, like life, is full of opportunities to say "oh man I sure fucked that one up!"
26 23 36 on ice today
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 06:24:26 PM26 23 36 on ice today
24 out for sure, 19 too. And 21.
4 16
6 11
26 5
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 06:05:59 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 03:03:50 PMQuote from: scoop85 on October 31, 2026, 09:50:57 AMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:02:32 AMLGR! Finish the job!
Wondering if we'll see some guys draw out today - we have a lot of good players who didn't play last game, and SHU is weak enough that we could probably get away with it.
I'm sure we'll see other guys in the lineup tonight, and it won't have anything to do with SHU's perceived "weakness" — they're at least the equivalently of a middle-of-the-pack ECAC team. Given how many guys are on the roster I think Casey will cycle guys in to see who steps up before settling on the "regulars."
Yeah - but if it was Quinnipiac, he'd be icing who he thinks are his 12 best guys, unequivocally. Yk?
Top 12, yeah. But top 18... it fractures based on the game plan.
Seems to me we will always, barring injury, see:
Rousseau
Veilleux
Fegaras
Randle
Fisher
Walsh
Ryan
Zadvernyuk
Kraft
Major
Long
And then... choices. Coaching, like life, is full of opportunities to say "oh man I sure fucked that one up!"
Would add Ashton to the list.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 06:25:59 PM4 16
6 11
26 5
F rushes MAYBE:
12 14 10
07 09 08
13 20 17
18 15 23
ES 36?
(Mine are backwards fwiw)
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 06:33:02 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 06:25:59 PM4 16
6 11
26 5
F rushes MAYBE:
12 14 10
07 09 08
13 20 17
18 15 23
ES 36?
(Mine are backwards fwiw)
I WAS RIGHT WOOOOP SKILL UNLOCKED (https://x.com/TylerGoldberg_/status/2116659074716614751)
10 14 12
08 09 07
17 20 13
23 15 18
ES 36
04 16
06 11
26 05
60
Notable: SHU's crimebag #7 scratched.
I'm excited to see Armstrong in action. Hopefully he gets some minutes. I was kind of surprised not to see him in last night's game- but there are a lot of skaters competing for ice time- and the Freshman are already stepping up!
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 06:42:14 PMNotable: SHU's crimebag #7 scratched.
Aww, we'll miss him from behind the penalty box in L :'(
Walsh hurt in first shift?
Was that Walsh going to the locker room?
Is this not the same goalie as last game???
Quote from: The Rancor on October 31, 2026, 07:07:51 PMWas that Walsh going to the locker room?
I think he got nut tapped on the faceoff. Ok now but took him a hot minute.
I do believe at one time we just had 8 guys on the ice. And the linesmen missed it.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 07:08:29 PMIs this not the same goalie as last game???
This is their #3. Last night was their #2.
Quote from: The Rancor on October 31, 2026, 07:07:51 PMWas that Walsh going to the locker room?
Andy (Andy?) said so.
Edit: Jason. Her name is Alberta, she lives in Vancouver.
Awful turnover, they score on a breakaway.
Charlie, I love you, but that 1x3 shit won't work at this level.
SHU much better defense tonight. They made some adjustments.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 07:15:24 PMCharlie, I love you, but that 1x3 shit won't work at this level.
It never fucking works and he keeps trying
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 07:17:13 PMQuote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 07:15:24 PMCharlie, I love you, but that 1x3 shit won't work at this level.
It never fucking works and he keeps trying
tws--- no.
Hiscock to the box.
Make your jokes now.
Damnit. Hiscock in an inappropriate place.
^ Mission accomplished
They don't say how large a paycheck.
10 14
04 11
PK1
20 17
06 ??
PK2
Rousseau gotta watch those juicy rebounds. SHU missing them. Q won't.
Buttazoni being a real buttazoni tonight (don't ask me which one.)
Diego had the goal. Mirko is the playmaker.
Jason mentioned Rayhill jersey guy got the puck.
IT'S NOT DELIVERY IT'S DIGIULIAN
It's not delivery! 1-1!
Buttazoni, Buttazoni and Bongo would be a great sounding law firm.
Lovely goal. Everybody doing their job. What a pass by Long!
Quote from: pjd8 on October 31, 2026, 07:28:09 PMJason mentioned Rayhill jersey guy got the puck.
I don't think he did, but I'll ask
Quote from: sah67 on October 31, 2026, 07:32:09 PMButtazoni, Buttazoni and Bongo would be a great sounding law firm.
(https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/001/503/249/9e2.jpg)
OK, so what is different with the trapezoid this year? Is the goalie safe back there? Is he fair game back there?
Shots 13-8. Didn't feel like it. SHU much better tonight.
Walshy giving an interview to ESPN shortly after complaining at the refs.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 07:37:31 PMOK, so what is different with the trapezoid this year? Is the goalie safe back there? Is he fair game back there?
If he's in the two corners that aren't the trapezoid or past red line, he can't play the puck.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 07:37:31 PMOK, so what is different with the trapezoid this year? Is the goalie safe back there? Is he fair game back there?
IIRC the NCAA went to NHL rules with the trapezoid. basically the goalie can play the puck inside the trapezoid, below the goal line.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 07:32:34 PMQuote from: pjd8 on October 31, 2026, 07:28:09 PMJason mentioned Rayhill jersey guy got the puck.
I don't think he did, but I'll ask
Well at least it sparked some Rayhill reminiscing in the commentary.
Quote from: pjd8 on October 31, 2026, 07:41:40 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 07:32:34 PMQuote from: pjd8 on October 31, 2026, 07:28:09 PMJason mentioned Rayhill jersey guy got the puck.
I don't think he did, but I'll ask
Well at least it sparked some Rayhill reminiscing in the commentary.
And god bless!
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 07:39:38 PMWalshy giving an interview to ESPN shortly after complaining at the refs.
No audio
Sacred heart played well. We were flat. Its a tie game. Hopefully that means when we decide to get going, we pull ahead
Another scrum after XV gets tripped. Devlin and another SHU player take matching roughs. Captainly yapathon is on. 2 mins PP.
Looks like another trip against Arend. Back to the PP.
Man what a save on Zadvernyuk.
BIG CAT!!!
Also, the reason for the stop, Rousseau has a helmet issue. He's using a spare rn.
Great shift by Catalano, Coco and Hiscock gets rewarded: 2-1!
Rousseau white helmet brings us good fortune
Ivan teaching Taos some Russian. Taos doesn't seem like he likes it.
Catalano damned near tipped in another there. We were saying we needed a guy down low...
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:08:19 PMAlso, the reason for the stop, Rousseau has a helmet issue. He's using a spare rn.
it is the one he wore last night.
Shots now 26-12. Again, doesn't feel like it.
E, F, G, H, I all close to empty.
This looks like a SHU pp. No likey.
We have been in the dzone for approximately twenty seven years.
Coco doing this cool thing called "going to the net". Good chance.
Coco with the fright wig.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:30:36 PMCoco doing this cool thing called "going to the net". Good chance.
He's been making the most of his limited minutes.
The Devlin-Major pairing is a sick experiment in which each is maximally irritated.
Split powerplay for us.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:32:24 PMThe Devlin-Major pairing is a sick experiment in which each is maximally irritated.
Expand? 😂
Soft call. I approve.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:20:47 PME, F, G, H, I all close to empty.
On the biggest party night in a year when frat parties have been banned
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:33:11 PMQuote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:32:24 PMThe Devlin-Major pairing is a sick experiment in which each is maximally irritated.
Expand? 😂
One is droning DEFENSIVE RESPONSIBILITY; the other is screaming LEEEEEEROY JENKINS!!!
End 2nd.
I need to take up drinking.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:34:37 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:33:11 PMQuote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:32:24 PMThe Devlin-Major pairing is a sick experiment in which each is maximally irritated.
Expand? 😂
One is droning DEFENSIVE RESPONSIBILITY; the other is screaming LEEEEEEROY JENKINS!!!
😂😂😂
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:35:38 PMEnd 2nd.
I need to take up drinking.
(https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36f48f2a-ded3-455a-9183-050d9c7aff2d_467x480.png)
Please tell me you get this reference.
Q took the belt to #5 {PROVICED tonight.
Lame ass intermission muzak.
(https://a.ltrbxd.com/resized/sm/upload/3v/b9/xi/hk/tumblr_p2979uv7Yz1r29478o1_1280-0-600-0-900-crop.jpg?v=532e2220e2)
Current NPI:
1. Michigan
2. Cornell
3. Union
6. Quinnipiac
9. Princeton
12. Yale
Dartmouth kicking the snot outta Alaska-Fairbanks and so about to join.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:37:28 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:35:38 PMEnd 2nd.
I need to take up drinking.
(https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36f48f2a-ded3-455a-9183-050d9c7aff2d_467x480.png)
Please tell me you get this reference.
I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue...
Rousseau's helmet fixed.
QuoteI picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue...
From..?
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:49:58 PMRousseau's helmet fixed.
Can you get us some pictures of the paint job?
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:50:12 PMQuoteI picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue...
From..?
Airplane, duh. THAT I know.
Gio upends Spicer and somehow lives to tell the tale. That was restraint.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:53:35 PMQuote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:50:12 PMQuoteI picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue...
From..?
Airplane, duh. THAT I know.
I've been burned before.
(https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRrcSrg2Y7UnfugtxDNKXt3gBfJTa8qA6v3Udg5_ASKeA&s=10)
Equivalent movie relative to me that I am grilling stereax on:
(https://bonjourparis.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/12507780655_accc810bcf_o-1.jpg)
Rayhill Jersey Guy gets the puck that went in the bench from Gio and confirms it is his second of the day. Bastard, hoarding all the pucks 😂
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 08:57:44 PMEquivalent movie relative to me that I am grilling stereax on:
(https://bonjourparis.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/12507780655_accc810bcf_o-1.jpg)
George Melies, Journey to the Moon.
Play in the other end for a bit, lads.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:57:47 PMRayhill Jersey Guy gets the puck that went in the bench from Gio and confirms it is his second of the day. Bastard, hoarding all the pucks 😂
He's collecting good hockey karma for supporting Rayhill.
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:58:00 PMGeorge Melies, Journey to the Moon.
Fun fact, that movie (1902) is equidistant in time between today (2026) and the death of Rousseau (1778).
And that gets us back to hockey.
2-2.
Quote from: pjd8 on October 31, 2026, 08:59:41 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:57:47 PMRayhill Jersey Guy gets the puck that went in the bench from Gio and confirms it is his second of the day. Bastard, hoarding all the pucks 😂
He's collecting good hockey karma for supporting Rayhill.
True!
Bah.
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 09:03:14 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 08:58:00 PMGeorge Melies, Journey to the Moon.
Fun fact, that movie (1902) is equidistant in time between today (2026) and the death of Rousseau (1778).
And that gets us back to hockey.
Ugh, let's go back to movie facts.
Looks like a high stick? Penalty maybeee?
In other news, damn good play by Hiscock and Armstrong.
If you can make a joke outta that...
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:10:35 PMLooks like a high stick? Penalty maybeee?
Not penalty but o-zone draw at least.
Being a goon after the whistle is apparently encouraged by the refs.
Plenty of time, guys.
2-3. FUCK.
Terrible turnover by XV behind the net ends up in it. 3-2 SHU.
OK so now we learn something about this team.
It's going to be a long season if they don't figure out how to clear their own zone. They've given the game away.
And now we're on the PK.
Awesome!
Well at least our PK doesn't suck.
PP.
YOU BETTER FIGURE IT OUT BOYS.
Why have we not pulled yet?
Ah. There Mathis goes. Maybe. We're using TO.
Pulled.
OK. Do or do not.
Casey having words with X and George.
Aaaaaand... 3 left...
Aaaaaand... this one is gonna bite us in the ass in NPI later, huh.
Do not.
44 SOG in the game but only managed 1 with the extra attacker on. ::)
Go back to the white helmet
Not excellent.
We played like it smells outside tonight
And our next game is QPac.
UGH.
Seemed like this weekend Rousseau gave up two goals that a taller goalie would have saved (yesterday's tying goal and today's winning goal). Neither of the two auditions for the sixth D inspired confidence (and I believe the sixth D was on the ice for the majority of goals allowed this weekend).
I believe tonight was the worst attended game in the last 30 years, and possibly since 1966.
SHU played better tonight but I didn't like some of the defensive breakdowns and I thought the GWG was not a good one to give up (another tight angle goal from the near post). Better to have these games now than later in the season
Quote from: Bluelightning on October 31, 2026, 09:37:23 PMWe played like it smells outside tonight
Damn you were right it REALLY smells out here
Now to figure out what I personally did wrong that caused us to lose... 😂
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:47:58 PMNow to figure out what I personally did wrong that caused us to lose... 😂
it's all your fault, sieve
Quote from: imafrshmn on October 31, 2026, 10:00:00 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:47:58 PMNow to figure out what I personally did wrong that caused us to lose... 😂
it's all your fault, sieve
you gotta understand, my therapist gave up on trying to figure out what is wrong with me. it IS my fault until i figure out what i did wrong.
it might've been because i brought my own newspaper and didn't take hyla's.
or i didn't stop by empire after the game. that could definitely be it too.
or maybe it was me dunking on the smoke shop. i might have to go there to set the cosmic order back in place again.
yes i know logically there is no basis in reality for "annoying bitch from section C changes pre/postgame ritual to fix hockey team that barely knows she exists". it makes ME feel better and more in control, however.
I have paid my dues twice over to the Bodega Gods, may they bless us with two wins next week.
(https://i.ibb.co/S4tyJ1qt/IMG20261031222058.jpg) (https://ibb.co/67HwNp6H)
NPI 43rd, motherfuckers! 8)
Quote from: Trotsky on October 31, 2026, 10:29:15 PMNPI 43rd, motherfuckers! 8)
You know, I didn't actually need to know this 💜
Quote from: BearLover on October 31, 2026, 09:40:54 PMSeemed like this weekend Rousseau gave up two goals that a taller goalie would have saved (yesterday's tying goal and today's winning goal). Neither of the two auditions for the sixth D inspired confidence (and I believe the sixth D was on the ice for the majority of goals allowed this weekend).
I believe tonight was the worst attended game in the last 30 years, and possibly since 1966.
Extreme levels of sloppiness aside, this game boiled down to questions in goal and defensive depth. I think the defensive depth should be fine. I'm surprised Tuminaro can't crack the lineup, he was drafted as an overager just a few months ago. Re: goaltending will need to see more.
Expand the tournament to 43 teams!
I thought the Catalano/Armstrong/?? Line played with the best energy tonight.
Quote from: Bluelightning on October 31, 2026, 10:56:05 PMExpand the tournament to 43 teams!
I thought the Catalano/Armstrong/?? Line played with the best energy tonight.
Armstrong, Arend, Hiscock all had very good games. Catalano too.
Quote from: BearLover on October 31, 2026, 10:40:07 PMQuote from: BearLover on October 31, 2026, 09:40:54 PMSeemed like this weekend Rousseau gave up two goals that a taller goalie would have saved (yesterday's tying goal and today's winning goal). Neither of the two auditions for the sixth D inspired confidence (and I believe the sixth D was on the ice for the majority of goals allowed this weekend).
I believe tonight was the worst attended game in the last 30 years, and possibly since 1966.
Extreme levels of sloppiness aside, this game boiled down to questions in goal and defensive depth. I think the defensive depth should be fine. I'm surprised Tuminaro can't crack the lineup, he was drafted as an overager just a few months ago. Re: goaltending will need to see more.
I believe Jason said last night that Tuminaro is banged up but should be able to play soon.
Feels like a silver lining is that most teams have been pretty up and down this season so far. Q lost to Army. Michigan lost to Ohio State. Etc, etc.
Sacred fart has split with everyone, this is far from an NPI disaster but is certainly a set back. Absolutely need at least 3 points next weekend, ideally 4+.
There's no "need" in November, other than Tuesday.
Play well for 60 minutes.
Quote from: chimpfood on November 01, 2026, 12:42:39 AMSacred fart has split with everyone, this is far from an NPI disaster but is certainly a set back. Absolutely need at least 3 points next weekend, ideally 4+.
Feels like the kinda game that in February, we'll be like "if we managed to win this one, we'd be fifth in NPI, but we're twelfth and on the cusp" 😭
I've said this for years, but it's unfair that Cornell and Princeton are the only teams that open their season against an opponent who has already played a bunch of games. (Brown almost always plays Yale, and Harvard almost always plays Dartmouth, to start the season). Putting ourselves in a Pairwise hole to start the season is so stupid. Cornell and Princeton should talk to the ECAC about playing their conference game against each other to open the season every year.
Also, only playing one exhibition was really dumb.
Quote from: BearLover on November 01, 2026, 07:28:35 AMI've said this for years, but it's unfair that Cornell and Princeton are the only teams that open their season against an opponent who has already played a bunch of games. (Brown almost always plays Yale, and Harvard almost always plays Dartmouth, to start the season). Putting ourselves in a Pairwise hole to start the season is so stupid. Cornell and Princeton should talk to the ECAC about playing their conference game against each other to open the season every year.
Also, only playing one exhibition was really dumb.
I don't think this has been a particularly big deal for Cornell given the opening weekend OOC records the past few years, and there's no way the league would mess with the travel partnerships to accomodate Cornell and Princeton playing each other in October.
Quote from: BearLover on November 01, 2026, 07:28:35 AMI've said this for years, but it's unfair that Cornell and Princeton are the only teams that open their season against an opponent who has already played a bunch of games. (Brown almost always plays Yale, and Harvard almost always plays Dartmouth, to start the season). Putting ourselves in a Pairwise hole to start the season is so stupid. Cornell and Princeton should talk to the ECAC about playing their conference game against each other to open the season every year.
Also, only playing one exhibition was really dumb.
I'd rather be tuned up for the regular season as opposed to being tuned up for those first two out of conference games. I do agree though that a lot of times two exhibition games are enough to get them ready for the first two games.
No fretting. The analytics say we are undefeated. I'm going with that. Not worried that we got shut down by sacred Heart's third goalie.
Last night was the type of game that I was worried they were going to play Friday night. Not the type of game that I thought they would play after Friday night.
From the second period ice scrape pretty much through the end of the game they were on their heels.
Many of the things that they did with relative ease Friday night (protect the puck, get out of their zone, get into the SHU zone, get pucks to the net on the power play) proved to be much more difficult last night.
Their goalie was the difference in the game. He made some incredible saves. He had one double banger in the second that was very impressive.
It was kind of nice not having those blooper type goals go in last year. Rousseau is supposed to be our best option so I hope that he can prove next weekend that he is. Veilleux had two chances to clear the puck on that go ahead goal. That felt very uncharacteristic of him to need two tries and not take advantage of either.
The Catalano goal was quite pretty. Hiscock did an amazing job of not rushing the pass despite two defenders right on top of him. What a finish too. I was happy to hear COCO as the response when they announced the Armstrong assist. Well done students.
How many of DiGiulian's goals have come from that exact spot? One play I really liked by him was when he covered for Veilleux and SHU ended up with a two on two. Their guy went right at the backward skating forward but Gio snuffed out the play at the blue line. Nice going.
SHU made that game very boring. There's no way I was expecting a split after Friday.
Will note that we did well in the faceoff dot both nights, led by Walsh (unsurprising) and Brad Gardiner. I feel he's probably not leaving the lineup.
As per CHN advanced stats, we won Night 1 with xG (expected goals) of 4.66 to 2.28, and Night 2 with xG of 3.97 to 2.12. Meaning, in Night 2, their goalie saved (cumulatively, xG is counted in increments) 2 goals that should have gone in, and Rousseau let in 1 goal he should have saved.
RMS Hockey has different numbers - we won Night 2 in xG around 3.7 to 1.9, and Night 1 around 3.2 to 1.8. (He does bar graphs and I need to poke at them more than reading them off Twitter.)
Of course, xG can be a faulty metric - think teams that pepper with low-danger chances - but overall it tends to be one of the better ways to value future results. For instance, the Devils (I hear your tired sighs) in the first two weeks or so of the season STRUGGLED to score, but were outgenerating other teams massively - they've just concluded a 5-1-0 road trip where the loss was all but scheduled (back half of B2B against the Avs in Colorado while the Avs were rested). If Cornell continues to play this way, they should do very well in general.
Will also mention, looking at CHN stats for 25-26, it looked like we took a lot longer to settle in last year than this year. Some of that may be the opponent, but we only crested 4 xGF 4 times last season (Omaha 1, home Dartmouth OTW, away Brown, home Colgate OTL). SHU night 1 would have been our second best for chance generation last year (away Brown being the best) and SHU night 2 would have been the fifth best.
For reference here, Denver this year has not crested a 4 xG game in their 5-2-1 record; their best is 3.48 and they tend to hover in the high 2s. Wisconsin, a perfect 6-0 record, generally has xG of a 3.8-4.3 this year. (They have, however, played Robert Morris, Minn State, and Notre Dame twice each). Offensive powerhouse BU has hit 4 xG once (almost twice) in 8 games. Michigan (7-1-0) has cranked out 3 games of xG in the 5s... against Bowling Green (x1) and Anchorage (x2). The rest of the time, they are high 2s to low 3s.
As for the xGA, 2.28 and 2.12 fit right in with what last year's Cornell teams produced and are solid numbers. As Rousseau gets more game action and familiarizes himself more with the system, he'll post better numbers. I'm not concerned there, either. I'm gonna go run Cournoyer's xGA to actual GA numbers from last year, and maybe Shane's from 2023, to give perspective there. Be back later.
Also, Adam Wodon, if you're still reading - this chart (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/stats/team/Cornell/18/gamebygame,20252026) could use a line for GSAx - especially because final box score is already spread out over the left columns and a pain to find when reading on mobile 😅
Quote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 10:04:13 PMQuote from: imafrshmn on October 31, 2026, 10:00:00 PMQuote from: stereax on October 31, 2026, 09:47:58 PMNow to figure out what I personally did wrong that caused us to lose... 😂
it's all your fault, sieve
you gotta understand, my therapist gave up on trying to figure out what is wrong with me. it IS my fault until i figure out what i did wrong.
it might've been because i brought my own newspaper and didn't take hyla's.
or i didn't stop by empire after the game. that could definitely be it too.
or maybe it was me dunking on the smoke shop. i might have to go there to set the cosmic order back in place again.
yes i know logically there is no basis in reality for "annoying bitch from section C changes pre/postgame ritual to fix hockey team that barely knows she exists". it makes ME feel better and more in control, however.
Our kiddo mentioned after the game that he wore different shoes than Friday. Even though he knows better you should know that you can't take full responsibility for this one. We'll help shoulder the load.
Quote from: BearLover on November 01, 2026, 07:28:35 AMAlso, only playing one exhibition was really dumb.
We're generally not supposed to share things Casey shares at the Coach's Club lunches (and dinners), but I can't imagine he'd have an issue with me sharing the following:
At the dinner Thursday night Casey talked about the fact that the Ivy League allowed the scheduling of one more game this year. Casey and staff had been hoping to schedule that game for the weekend between the Waterloo exhibition and Sacred Heart, but given the short lead time were unable to.
Personally I think almost getting a real game is a pretty solid reason for not having a second exhibition game. I would guess most or even all here would agree.
Quote from: andyw2100 on November 01, 2026, 09:26:25 PMQuote from: BearLover on November 01, 2026, 07:28:35 AMAlso, only playing one exhibition was really dumb.
We're generally not supposed to share things Casey shares at the Coach's Club lunches (and dinners), but I can't imagine he'd have an issue with me sharing the following:
At the dinner Thursday night Casey talked about the fact that the Ivy League allowed the scheduling of one more game this year. Casey and staff had been hoping to schedule that game for the weekend between the Waterloo exhibition and Sacred Heart, but given the short lead time were unable to.
Personally I think almost getting a real game is a pretty solid reason for not having a second exhibition game. I would guess most or even all here would agree.
So, that is in addition to the one more they allowed last season? Now 31 games?
Quote from: The Rancor on November 01, 2026, 09:30:54 PMQuote from: andyw2100 on November 01, 2026, 09:26:25 PMQuote from: BearLover on November 01, 2026, 07:28:35 AMAlso, only playing one exhibition was really dumb.
We're generally not supposed to share things Casey shares at the Coach's Club lunches (and dinners), but I can't imagine he'd have an issue with me sharing the following:
At the dinner Thursday night Casey talked about the fact that the Ivy League allowed the scheduling of one more game this year. Casey and staff had been hoping to schedule that game for the weekend between the Waterloo exhibition and Sacred Heart, but given the short lead time were unable to.
Personally I think almost getting a real game is a pretty solid reason for not having a second exhibition game. I would guess most or even all here would agree.
So, that is in addition to the one more they allowed last season? Now 31 games?
Oh, I don't know. I thought Casey mentioned the number 30, so maybe the change is not as new as I thought. (I must have missed or forgotten about the change last year.)
He definitely said that they had hoped to schedule a regular game during the week between.
Quote from: stereax on November 01, 2026, 02:19:15 PMAs for the xGA, 2.28 and 2.12 fit right in with what last year's Cornell teams produced and are solid numbers. As Rousseau gets more game action and familiarizes himself more with the system, he'll post better numbers. I'm not concerned there, either. I'm gonna go run Cournoyer's xGA to actual GA numbers from last year, and maybe Shane's from 2023, to give perspective there. Be back later.
Hi kids! Do you like numbers?
(https://i.ibb.co/vCCCRrc5/image.png) (https://ibb.co/NgggbkFh)
I ran the stats:
On average last year, we generated 2.94 xGF and 2.33 xGA. (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/stats/team/Cornell/18/gamebygame,20252026)
Night 1 SHU, we generated 4.66 xGF to 2.28 xGA.
Night 2 SHU, we generated 3.97 xGF to 2.12 xGA.
So we did REALLY well offensively last weekend, and better defensively than our average game last year.
Four games last year are marked as "stolen" (the GSAx is larger than the margin of victory). In none of these cases is the steal more than a full GSAx over the margin. One of those steals was Keopple on senior night. Three were Cournoyer's. You can argue that the RPI tie is also a steal by Keopple, and this one by over a full expected goal against, but that was a tie and not a win, so.
Per game with Cournoyer in net, we generated 3.07 xGF and 2.38 xGA. (Keopple you can see as well, but since he only played like, 6 games, it's not enough to really conclude anything.)
Per game with Cournoyer in net, we actually scored 3.21 G and gave up 2.11 G.
That means, per my Excelling, Courns had a per-game GSAx of 0.27 - every game, on average, he would save 1/4 extra goals over expected.
As per the data here (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/stats/overall-goalie.php?season=20252026#xGa%2B), on the season, Courns saved a
total of 1.02 goals above expected. Probably the biggest reason for the difference in my data and CHN's is that mine doesn't natively filter empty-net goals, and I'm just a little too lazy right now to go and find all of the ENGF and ENGA and figure out what to do with them. Fun fact, Keopple here has a 3.17 GSAx.
I stuck Cournoyer with the loss against Union because he let in all those goals. If I accurately split the stats (and I can't really, without doing way too much work and trying to figure out who had which GSAx), this would only benefit Keopple more.
Anywho, moving to Rousseau: Night 1 he saves 2.28 xGA on 2 GA, so his GSAx is .28. Night 2 he saves 2.12 xGA on 3 GA, making his GSAx -.88. Neither night had empty net goals. Night 1 is right in line with your average Cournoyer performance, Night 2 is obviously not your best night but still not terrible.
Per game last year, we averaged a 55.42% xGF. With Courns in net, 56.13%.
Night 1 vs SHU: 67.15%
Night 2 vs SHU: 65.19%
We absolutely dominated play against them. If we can hold even a 60% xGF across the season, we're winning the natty unless the hockey gods hate us.
For reference, the first game last year where we crested 65% xGF was in January. We did that six times over the entire season - Omaha 1, Dartmouth home, Colgate home (despite being down Walsh and then Castagna), SLU home, and then Harvard 1 and 2.
While SHU may end up pretty low in the NPI, it's a very encouraging sign that we can (analytically) put belt to ass against them.
So I'm gonna hazard a guess and say:
We'll be okay.
I might run these numbers later with the 24-25 team too - the first one on the CHN site to have xGF and xGA for each game. Would there be interest in that?
Excel file available upon request.
Note: all of this uses CHN stats, and I may be wrong, and they may be wrong as well - different models show different expected goals.
It's 30 games. It was 29 + at most 2 exhibition games and the rule change was going to 30 games + at most 1 exhibition game.
It was not "really dumb." It was the rules. The blowhard knows nothing; ignore it long enough and it will ooze back to whatever Incel site it seeped from.
Perhaps if we hit a few more Russian warehouses it will cease to exist altogether.