ELynah Forum

General Category => Hockey => Topic started by: Trotsky on December 04, 2025, 11:42:29 PM

Title: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 04, 2025, 11:42:29 PM
Intended (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Guide_for_the_Perplexed) to be a continuing thread discussing whom to root for in conference games going forward (conference winning percentage in parens).

I start with just hoping for upsets in all games other than us.  Regress everybody below us towards .490ish til we reach our highest ground (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aM4UOgFMY5w&list=RDaM4UOgFMY5w&start_radio=1).

Friday 12/5:

Cornell .833 > @ Clarkson .167
@ St. Lawrence .167 > Colgate .500
Brown .389 > @ Dartmouth 1.000
Yale .500 > @ Harvard .750
@ RPI .333 > Quinnipiac .667
@ Union .444 > Princeton .583

Saturday 12/6:

Cornell .833 > @ St. Lawrence .167
@ Clarkson .167 > Colgate .500
Yale .500 > @ Dartmouth 1.000
Brown .389 > @ Harvard .750
@ Union .444 > Quinnipiac .667
@ RPI .333 > Princeton .583
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Give My Regards on December 05, 2025, 06:32:43 AM
Great thread, but I need to not look at it early in the morning.  I stupidly spent several minutes expecting win %'s in each game to total 1.000
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 05, 2025, 08:49:30 PM
Well the first one was a red herring.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 12:27:18 AM
ECAC Standings by Derp Points Blown

  0 Dartmouth
  3 Harvard
  5 Princeton
  6 Cornell
  7 Quinnipiac
 12 Colgate
 13 Union
 15 Clarkson
 15 Yale
 17 Brown
 18 RPI
 21 St. Lawrence
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 01:17:47 PM
ECAC Team Stats at the break (sorted by GFG):

Team  GP    GF     GFG    GA     GAG     Sh     Sh%    ShA     SV%   PPG   PPO    PP%  PPGA  PPOA     PK%  SHG SHGA    FOW    FOL    FO%    Blk
Drt    6    28    4.67     8    1.33    170    16.5    119    0.933    5    17    29.4    1    16    93.8    3    0    162    152    51.6    74
Hvd    6    23    3.83    17    2.83    189    12.2    179    0.905    4    21    19.0    0    18    100.    0    1    194    201    49.1    58
Prn    6    22    3.67    12    2.00    164    13.4    148    0.919    3    18    16.7    6    27    77.8    1    1    178    176    50.3    76
Cor    8    29    3.63    14    1.75    226    12.8    206    0.932    7    24    29.2    4    32    87.5    2    0    282    227    55.4    74
Cgt    8    27    3.38    25    3.13    251    10.8    211    0.882    7    30    23.3    5    23    78.3    1    0    243    222    52.3    88
Qpc    6    19    3.17    15    2.50    213     8.9    146    0.897    4    24    16.7    4    20    80.0    1    0    219    139    61.2    75
Clk    8    21    2.63    23    2.88    218     9.6    233    0.901    2    32     6.3    4    25    84.0    0    2    239    251    48.8    88
Uni    8    21    2.63    23    2.88    281     7.5    203    0.887    8    30    26.7    3    26    88.5    0    3    250    233    51.8    78
SLU    8    20    2.50    40    5.00    198    10.1    263    0.848    5    30    16.7    8    24    66.7    0    4    211    277    43.2    109
Yal    8    19    2.38    26    3.25    185    10.3    258    0.899    5    31    16.1    6    29    79.3    0    2    199    281    41.5    100
Brn    8    17    2.13    32    4.00    205     8.3    264    0.879    3    23    13.0    9    33    72.7    2    0    241    241    50.0    121
RPI    8    16    2.00    27    3.38    194     8.2    264    0.898    2    22     9.1    5    29    82.8    4    1    219    237    48.0    100
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 01:28:04 PM
I dunno what it means, but here is the sort by total face offs per game.  There is quite a spread.

Team   G    FOW    FOL     FO%     FO    FO/G
Hvd    6    194    201    49.1    395    65.8
Cor    8    282    227    55.4    509    63.6
Clk    8    239    251    48.8    490    61.3
SLU    8    211    277    43.2    488    61.0
Uni    8    250    233    51.8    483    60.4
Brn    8    241    241    50.0    482    60.3
Yal    8    199    281    41.5    480    60.0
Qpc    6    219    139    61.2    358    59.7
Prn    6    178    176    50.3    354    59.0
Cgt    8    243    222    52.3    465    58.1
RPI    8    219    237    48.0    456    57.0
Drt    6    162    152    51.6    314    52.3
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 01:48:47 PM
Goal margin per game:

Team   GP   GF    GA    MAR      M/G
Drt    6    28     8     20     3.33
Cor    8    29    14     15     1.88
Prn    6    22    12     10     1.67
Hvd    6    23    17      6     1.00
Qpc    6    19    15      4     0.67
Cgt    8    27    25      2     0.25
Clk    8    21    23     -2    -0.25
Uni    8    21    23     -2    -0.25
Yal    8    19    26     -7    -0.88
RPI    8    16    27    -11    -1.38
Brn    8    17    32    -15    -1.88
SLU    8    20    40    -20    -2.50
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on December 07, 2025, 02:06:26 PM
3.63 GF/G and a margin of 1.88... But I was told we can't score.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 19, 2025, 06:05:02 PM
Brown is playing their conference game at Princeton on Sunday, December 28.  That is certainly a choice.

Freaky travel partner singletons happen from time to time, but that scheduling is weird.  Pathetically, I will be so hard up for ECAC hockey by then I'll most likely watch.  Go, uh, Brown?  I guess?

2 weeks down and 2 to go.  La petit mort is a bitch.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: pjd8 on December 19, 2025, 11:27:45 PM
This game is curious. Brown and Princeton are scheduled to play three times this year, twice at Princeton. None of the three games are listed as nc on CHN. On BrownBears.com, neither of the two games at Princeton have the ECAC logo underneath them like the other conference games do (including the one played at Brown). I don't know if that's relevant.

Likewise none of the games are listed nc on Princeton's schedule on CHN, and they use a similar web service for their schedule, but they have the ECAC logo under the first and third games, not the December one.

I had to resort to checking USCHO. It lists the Dec game as nc, which makes sense. The Feb 6-7 weekend looks like a regular travel partner weekend for P/Q/Y/B.

Why, yes, I am avoiding doing laundry. How did you know?
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: ugarte on December 19, 2025, 11:37:41 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 19, 2025, 06:05:02 PMLa petit mort is a bitch.
it was nice to win comfortably but not that nice
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on December 20, 2025, 05:30:47 PM
Quote from: pjd8 on December 19, 2025, 11:27:45 PMThis game is curious. Brown and Princeton are scheduled to play three times this year, twice at Princeton. None of the three games are listed as nc on CHN. On BrownBears.com, neither of the two games at Princeton have the ECAC logo underneath them like the other conference games do (including the one played at Brown). I don't know if that's relevant.

Likewise none of the games are listed nc on Princeton's schedule on CHN, and they use a similar web service for their schedule, but they have the ECAC logo under the first and third games, not the December one.

I had to resort to checking USCHO. It lists the Dec game as nc, which makes sense. The Feb 6-7 weekend looks like a regular travel partner weekend for P/Q/Y/B.

Why, yes, I am avoiding doing laundry. How did you know?


I actually thought I fixed that - maybe it was for some other team.  But this is a by-product of the Ivy teams finding out late that they could add a 30th game.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 21, 2025, 02:15:05 PM
Quote from: ugarte on December 19, 2025, 11:37:41 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 19, 2025, 06:05:02 PMLa petit mort is a bitch.
it was nice to win comfortably but not that nice
Speak for yourself.