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General Category => Hockey => Topic started by: Trotsky on December 04, 2025, 11:42:29 PM

Title: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 04, 2025, 11:42:29 PM
Intended (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Guide_for_the_Perplexed) to be a continuing thread discussing whom to root for in conference games going forward (conference winning percentage in parens).

I start with just hoping for upsets in all games other than us.  Regress everybody below us towards .490ish til we reach our highest ground (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aM4UOgFMY5w&list=RDaM4UOgFMY5w&start_radio=1).

Friday 12/5:

Cornell .833 > @ Clarkson .167
@ St. Lawrence .167 > Colgate .500
Brown .389 > @ Dartmouth 1.000
Yale .500 > @ Harvard .750
@ RPI .333 > Quinnipiac .667
@ Union .444 > Princeton .583

Saturday 12/6:

Cornell .833 > @ St. Lawrence .167
@ Clarkson .167 > Colgate .500
Yale .500 > @ Dartmouth 1.000
Brown .389 > @ Harvard .750
@ Union .444 > Quinnipiac .667
@ RPI .333 > Princeton .583
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Give My Regards on December 05, 2025, 06:32:43 AM
Great thread, but I need to not look at it early in the morning.  I stupidly spent several minutes expecting win %'s in each game to total 1.000
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 05, 2025, 08:49:30 PM
Well the first one was a red herring.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 12:27:18 AM
ECAC Standings by Derp Points Blown

  0 Dartmouth
  3 Harvard
  5 Princeton
  6 Cornell
  7 Quinnipiac
 12 Colgate
 13 Union
 15 Clarkson
 15 Yale
 17 Brown
 18 RPI
 21 St. Lawrence
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 01:17:47 PM
ECAC Team Stats at the break (sorted by GFG):

Team  GP    GF     GFG    GA     GAG     Sh     Sh%    ShA     SV%   PPG   PPO    PP%  PPGA  PPOA     PK%  SHG SHGA    FOW    FOL    FO%    Blk
Drt    6    28    4.67     8    1.33    170    16.5    119    0.933    5    17    29.4    1    16    93.8    3    0    162    152    51.6    74
Hvd    6    23    3.83    17    2.83    189    12.2    179    0.905    4    21    19.0    0    18    100.    0    1    194    201    49.1    58
Prn    6    22    3.67    12    2.00    164    13.4    148    0.919    3    18    16.7    6    27    77.8    1    1    178    176    50.3    76
Cor    8    29    3.63    14    1.75    226    12.8    206    0.932    7    24    29.2    4    32    87.5    2    0    282    227    55.4    74
Cgt    8    27    3.38    25    3.13    251    10.8    211    0.882    7    30    23.3    5    23    78.3    1    0    243    222    52.3    88
Qpc    6    19    3.17    15    2.50    213     8.9    146    0.897    4    24    16.7    4    20    80.0    1    0    219    139    61.2    75
Clk    8    21    2.63    23    2.88    218     9.6    233    0.901    2    32     6.3    4    25    84.0    0    2    239    251    48.8    88
Uni    8    21    2.63    23    2.88    281     7.5    203    0.887    8    30    26.7    3    26    88.5    0    3    250    233    51.8    78
SLU    8    20    2.50    40    5.00    198    10.1    263    0.848    5    30    16.7    8    24    66.7    0    4    211    277    43.2    109
Yal    8    19    2.38    26    3.25    185    10.3    258    0.899    5    31    16.1    6    29    79.3    0    2    199    281    41.5    100
Brn    8    17    2.13    32    4.00    205     8.3    264    0.879    3    23    13.0    9    33    72.7    2    0    241    241    50.0    121
RPI    8    16    2.00    27    3.38    194     8.2    264    0.898    2    22     9.1    5    29    82.8    4    1    219    237    48.0    100
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 01:28:04 PM
I dunno what it means, but here is the sort by total face offs per game.  There is quite a spread.

Team   G    FOW    FOL     FO%     FO    FO/G
Hvd    6    194    201    49.1    395    65.8
Cor    8    282    227    55.4    509    63.6
Clk    8    239    251    48.8    490    61.3
SLU    8    211    277    43.2    488    61.0
Uni    8    250    233    51.8    483    60.4
Brn    8    241    241    50.0    482    60.3
Yal    8    199    281    41.5    480    60.0
Qpc    6    219    139    61.2    358    59.7
Prn    6    178    176    50.3    354    59.0
Cgt    8    243    222    52.3    465    58.1
RPI    8    219    237    48.0    456    57.0
Drt    6    162    152    51.6    314    52.3
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 07, 2025, 01:48:47 PM
Goal margin per game:

Team   GP   GF    GA    MAR      M/G
Drt    6    28     8     20     3.33
Cor    8    29    14     15     1.88
Prn    6    22    12     10     1.67
Hvd    6    23    17      6     1.00
Qpc    6    19    15      4     0.67
Cgt    8    27    25      2     0.25
Clk    8    21    23     -2    -0.25
Uni    8    21    23     -2    -0.25
Yal    8    19    26     -7    -0.88
RPI    8    16    27    -11    -1.38
Brn    8    17    32    -15    -1.88
SLU    8    20    40    -20    -2.50
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on December 07, 2025, 02:06:26 PM
3.63 GF/G and a margin of 1.88... But I was told we can't score.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 19, 2025, 06:05:02 PM
Brown is playing their conference game at Princeton on Sunday, December 28.  That is certainly a choice.

Freaky travel partner singletons happen from time to time, but that scheduling is weird.  Pathetically, I will be so hard up for ECAC hockey by then I'll most likely watch.  Go, uh, Brown?  I guess?

2 weeks down and 2 to go.  La petit mort is a bitch.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: pjd8 on December 19, 2025, 11:27:45 PM
This game is curious. Brown and Princeton are scheduled to play three times this year, twice at Princeton. None of the three games are listed as nc on CHN. On BrownBears.com, neither of the two games at Princeton have the ECAC logo underneath them like the other conference games do (including the one played at Brown). I don't know if that's relevant.

Likewise none of the games are listed nc on Princeton's schedule on CHN, and they use a similar web service for their schedule, but they have the ECAC logo under the first and third games, not the December one.

I had to resort to checking USCHO. It lists the Dec game as nc, which makes sense. The Feb 6-7 weekend looks like a regular travel partner weekend for P/Q/Y/B.

Why, yes, I am avoiding doing laundry. How did you know?
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: ugarte on December 19, 2025, 11:37:41 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 19, 2025, 06:05:02 PMLa petit mort is a bitch.
it was nice to win comfortably but not that nice
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on December 20, 2025, 05:30:47 PM
Quote from: pjd8 on December 19, 2025, 11:27:45 PMThis game is curious. Brown and Princeton are scheduled to play three times this year, twice at Princeton. None of the three games are listed as nc on CHN. On BrownBears.com, neither of the two games at Princeton have the ECAC logo underneath them like the other conference games do (including the one played at Brown). I don't know if that's relevant.

Likewise none of the games are listed nc on Princeton's schedule on CHN, and they use a similar web service for their schedule, but they have the ECAC logo under the first and third games, not the December one.

I had to resort to checking USCHO. It lists the Dec game as nc, which makes sense. The Feb 6-7 weekend looks like a regular travel partner weekend for P/Q/Y/B.

Why, yes, I am avoiding doing laundry. How did you know?


I actually thought I fixed that - maybe it was for some other team.  But this is a by-product of the Ivy teams finding out late that they could add a 30th game.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 21, 2025, 02:15:05 PM
Quote from: ugarte on December 19, 2025, 11:37:41 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 19, 2025, 06:05:02 PMLa petit mort is a bitch.
it was nice to win comfortably but not that nice
Speak for yourself.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 24, 2025, 12:22:52 PM
Nice team stats (https://www.uscho.com/stats/conference/ecac/2025-2026/Teams) page on USCHO but  I do not see how to filter for conference games only.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 24, 2025, 12:26:14 PM
Holiday break NC schedule.

2025-12-27    5:00 ET    Arizona State (8-9-1)    @    Dartmouth (11-1-0)
2025-12-28    3:00 ET    Arizona State (8-9-1)    @    Dartmouth (11-1-0)
2025-12-29    6:00 ET    RIT (10-7-0)             @    Clarkson (7-11-0)   
2026-01-02    7:00 PT    Yale (4-8-0)            vs    St. Cloud State (8-10-0)             
2026-01-02    7:00 ET    Stonehill (3-13-1)       @    St. Lawrence (2-15-1)             
2026-01-02    7:00 ET    Omaha (6-10-0)           @    Cornell (7-4-0)         
2026-01-03    TBD        TBD                     vs    Yale (4-8-0)             
2026-01-03    6:00 ET    Clarkson (7-11-0)        @    Niagara (7-9-0)               
2026-01-03    5:00 ET    Stonehill (3-13-1)       @    St. Lawrence (2-15-1)               
2026-01-03    7:00 ET    Merrimack (7-10-0)       @    Brown (3-10-0)                 
2026-01-03    7:00 ET    Omaha (6-10-0)           @    Cornell (7-4-0)                 
2026-01-03    7:00 ET    Colgate (6-10-2)         @    New Hampshire (10-7-0)               
2026-01-03    6:00 ET    RPI (5-13-0)             @    Vermont (5-10-0)               
2026-01-04    7:00 ET    Colgate (6-10-2)         @    New Hampshire (10-7-0)               
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on December 28, 2025, 11:12:25 PM
Dartmouth splits with ASU.  Cornell rises again in NPI:


  4 Dartmouth
 10 Harvard
 12 Quinnipiac
 14 Cornell
 21 Princeton
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 02, 2026, 09:34:12 PM
Princeton beats Dartmouth, 5-4.

Hamden is federal PMITA prison for Harvard, 9-1.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: pjd8 on January 02, 2026, 09:52:51 PM
Looks like Dartmouth pulled their goalie with about three minutes to go, Princeton got an empty netter, then Dartmouth came back to within one before time ran out.

Not sure if that says more about Dartmouth or Princeton.

I do think the Hamden score indicates that Harvard is overrated.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Iceberg on January 02, 2026, 09:58:13 PM
Cashman pulls his goalies way too early but Princeton has clearly been playing better this year under Syer.

As for Harvard, we already know their defense isn't great and Hamden is their house of horrors like Hanover is for us
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 03, 2026, 08:20:15 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 24, 2025, 12:22:52 PMNice team stats (https://www.uscho.com/stats/conference/ecac/2025-2026/Teams) page on USCHO but  I do not see how to filter for conference games only.

SMH - the guy even sends me Happy New Year cards.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: BearLover on January 03, 2026, 09:55:27 PM
Looking like a 5-team race for the 4 byes among P, D, Cor, Q, H. So chances are pretty good.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 04, 2026, 04:43:39 AM
For the first time in what feels like... ever?, the top half are partners:

1 Prn / 4 Qpc
2 Cor / 6 Cgt
3 Drt / 5 Hvd

7 Uni / 11 RPI
8 Yal / 10 Brn
9 Clk / 12 SLU

First games out of the shoot after UAF are 1, 4, 3, 5.  All at Lynah.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 04, 2026, 04:48:29 AM
Quote from: adamw on January 03, 2026, 08:20:15 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 24, 2025, 12:22:52 PMNice team stats (https://www.uscho.com/stats/conference/ecac/2025-2026/Teams) page on USCHO but  I do not see how to filter for conference games only.

SMH - the guy even sends me Happy New Year cards.
Did I miss how to do?
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 04, 2026, 08:49:59 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on January 04, 2026, 04:48:29 AM
Quote from: adamw on January 03, 2026, 08:20:15 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 24, 2025, 12:22:52 PMNice team stats (https://www.uscho.com/stats/conference/ecac/2025-2026/Teams) page on USCHO but  I do not see how to filter for conference games only.

SMH - the guy even sends me Happy New Year cards.
Did I miss how to do?

you just went to the wrong site

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/stats/team/Cornell/18/conf,20252026
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: marty on January 04, 2026, 09:23:19 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 04, 2026, 08:49:59 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on January 04, 2026, 04:48:29 AM
Quote from: adamw on January 03, 2026, 08:20:15 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 24, 2025, 12:22:52 PMNice team stats (https://www.uscho.com/stats/conference/ecac/2025-2026/Teams) page on USCHO but  I do not see how to filter for conference games only.

SMH - the guy even sends me Happy New Year cards.
Did I miss how to do?

you just went to the wrong site

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/stats/team/Cornell/18/conf,20252026

???
When I click through Aiden Long isn't yet credited with the goals he scored this weekend - then I read the heading - conference games!
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 04, 2026, 10:18:13 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 04, 2026, 08:49:59 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on January 04, 2026, 04:48:29 AM
Quote from: adamw on January 03, 2026, 08:20:15 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on December 24, 2025, 12:22:52 PMNice team stats (https://www.uscho.com/stats/conference/ecac/2025-2026/Teams) page on USCHO but  I do not see how to filter for conference games only.

SMH - the guy even sends me Happy New Year cards.
Did I miss how to do?

you just went to the wrong site

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/stats/team/Cornell/18/conf,20252026

Nice.  Thank you.  Can't navigate to it from the overall stats page though. 

Fix your standings page, it blows:

Good (https://www.uscho.com/standings/division-i-men).

Bad (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/reports/standings.php).

Both sites' Scores are good; I prefer USCHO but that's a matter of taste, not content.

And yes, I know the TBRW indexing and site navigation and iPacifier formatting are total shit.  I'm doing the best I can with what little brains I have.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 06, 2026, 12:19:21 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on January 04, 2026, 10:18:13 PMFix your standings page, it blows:

Good (https://www.uscho.com/standings/division-i-men).

Bad (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/reports/standings.php).

beauty is in the eye of the beholder
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: upprdeck on January 06, 2026, 06:08:45 PM
USCHO site looks like someone forgot to actually finish the styling, or has broken style links.

Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on January 06, 2026, 06:23:29 PM
CHN site has been rerouting me to "anti-virus" virus software recently. So there is that.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 06, 2026, 06:36:11 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 06, 2026, 06:23:29 PMCHN site has been rerouting me to "anti-virus" virus software recently. So there is that.

where when exactly? what device? I've not seen anything like that.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on January 06, 2026, 06:38:09 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 06, 2026, 06:36:11 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 06, 2026, 06:23:29 PMCHN site has been rerouting me to "anti-virus" virus software recently. So there is that.

where when exactly? what device? I've not seen anything like that.
my laptop - asus zenbook. it's been doing it on incognito for a little bit. kicks me to a "safevirus.info" style site that's fake Norton.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: BearLover on January 06, 2026, 07:52:40 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 06, 2026, 06:23:29 PMCHN site has been rerouting me to "anti-virus" virus software recently. So there is that.
Me too. Other sketchy ads as well.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Chris '03 on January 06, 2026, 10:05:46 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 06, 2026, 06:36:11 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 06, 2026, 06:23:29 PMCHN site has been rerouting me to "anti-virus" virus software recently. So there is that.

where when exactly? what device? I've not seen anything like that.

Happened to me reading team of the week piece on chrome for ios today.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 08, 2026, 10:41:24 AM
thanks - I need to figure that out - shouldn't be happening. Ads are normal - sketchy ones should not be. Unless all you people are just sketchy yourselves.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 08, 2026, 10:43:55 AM
I can't really seem to replicate this. I've clicked all over.  I get the google ad on top and side. And the ad at the bottom (Which is not google and is sometimes a problem) - is just an ad for Avatar or Star Trek or something.  But nothing crazy.  Will keep trying. But if anyone has any other info, feel free to pass along.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 08, 2026, 11:25:28 AM
I've asked our whole staff to click around and see if they see anything bad. No one else can replicate it either. I've not gotten any other emails or user complaints about it either. Maybe you are all infected by the BearLover virus? I've heard it's nasty.

But seriously, if anyone can figure out any other info to help me fix it, let me know. You can email me at adamw@collegehockeynews.com
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on January 08, 2026, 01:03:58 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 08, 2026, 10:43:55 AMI can't really seem to replicate this. I've clicked all over.  I get the google ad on top and side. And the ad at the bottom (Which is not google and is sometimes a problem) - is just an ad for Avatar or Star Trek or something.  But nothing crazy.  Will keep trying. But if anyone has any other info, feel free to pass along.
It's not an ad that we're clicking, at least not for me, it's a reroute. Like when you go on a shady ass site and it sends you through six websites before telling you to spin a wheel for a thousand bucks.

If I get it again, I'll let you know.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: adamw on January 08, 2026, 01:24:12 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 08, 2026, 01:03:58 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 08, 2026, 10:43:55 AMI can't really seem to replicate this. I've clicked all over.  I get the google ad on top and side. And the ad at the bottom (Which is not google and is sometimes a problem) - is just an ad for Avatar or Star Trek or something.  But nothing crazy.  Will keep trying. But if anyone has any other info, feel free to pass along.
It's not an ad that we're clicking, at least not for me, it's a reroute. Like when you go on a shady ass site and it sends you through six websites before telling you to spin a wheel for a thousand bucks.

If I get it again, I'll let you know.

I wasn't suggesting it's an ad you're clicking. But there are ads out there that hijack sites simply when the page loads. I've never seen it on CHN and no one else has ever said anything - but I know they exist - and if so, it would come from our 3rd party ad server - or from a massive hack.  Both of which I'd need to fix - which is impossible to do without seeing it.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on January 08, 2026, 02:13:23 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 08, 2026, 01:24:12 PM
Quote from: stereax on January 08, 2026, 01:03:58 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 08, 2026, 10:43:55 AMI can't really seem to replicate this. I've clicked all over.  I get the google ad on top and side. And the ad at the bottom (Which is not google and is sometimes a problem) - is just an ad for Avatar or Star Trek or something.  But nothing crazy.  Will keep trying. But if anyone has any other info, feel free to pass along.
It's not an ad that we're clicking, at least not for me, it's a reroute. Like when you go on a shady ass site and it sends you through six websites before telling you to spin a wheel for a thousand bucks.

If I get it again, I'll let you know.

I wasn't suggesting it's an ad you're clicking. But there are ads out there that hijack sites simply when the page loads. I've never seen it on CHN and no one else has ever said anything - but I know they exist - and if so, it would come from our 3rd party ad server - or from a massive hack.  Both of which I'd need to fix - which is impossible to do without seeing it.
Gotcha. Makes more sense now - will keep an eye out :)
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 08, 2026, 07:35:22 PM
Quote from: adamw on January 08, 2026, 10:43:55 AMI can't really seem to replicate this. I've clicked all over.  I get the google ad on top and side. And the ad at the bottom (Which is not google and is sometimes a problem) - is just an ad for Avatar or Star Trek or something.  But nothing crazy.  Will keep trying. But if anyone has any other info, feel free to pass along.
Not happening on desktop.  Can't speak for iPacifier.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Iceberg on January 09, 2026, 09:45:22 PM
All higher ranked ECAC teams won tonight and Princeton is still undefeated at home
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 09, 2026, 09:48:49 PM
Quote from: Iceberg on January 09, 2026, 09:45:22 PMAll higher ranked ECAC teams won tonight and Princeton is still undefeated at home
Are we sure Dartmouth won?  Seems to be stuck with :02 to go.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 09, 2026, 10:45:52 PM
Dartmouth did win.

Overall home record (https://www.uscho.com/standings/division-i-men) of the top 4 ECAC teams is now 35-3-2.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 11, 2026, 12:10:28 AM
NPI:

  7 Dartmouth
  9 Cornell
 10 Quinnipiac
 15 Princeton
 20 Harvard
 21 Union
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 13, 2026, 01:10:59 AM
With Dartmouth returning to Earth, Cornell has opened up a big lead in defense among conference teams in al games played:

1.87 Cor
2.12 Drt
2.29 Uni
2.36 Qpc
2.69 Prn
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 16, 2026, 09:42:00 PM
Dartmouth picked up the extra point against Clarkson in the shootout.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 17, 2026, 04:13:18 PM
Interesting groupings in the NPI going into tonight:

  8 Drt
  9 Cor v Qpc
 10 Qpc @ Cor

 19 Prn
 20 Uni

 26 Clk @ Hvd
 27 Hvd v Clk
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: marty on January 17, 2026, 07:00:29 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on January 17, 2026, 04:13:18 PMInteresting groupings in the NPI going into tonight:

  8 Drt
  9 Cor v Qpc
 10 Qpc @ Cor

 19 Prn
 20 Uni

 26 Clk @ Hvd
 27 Hvd v Clk


20 behind 62 by a score of 2-1 with 13 minutes left in the 3rd.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 17, 2026, 09:52:41 PM
Colgate shut out Princeton; that helps.

Harvard edged Clarkson 2-1 at Bright on a ppg inside 3 minutes to play in regulation.

By derp pct:

.788 Drt
.778 Qpc
.700 Cor
.636 Hvd
.611 Prn


Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: BearLover on January 17, 2026, 10:04:01 PM
There's a sizable gap between Quinnipiac and Cornell. I thought Q being without one of their top forwards and their top defensive defenseman might narrow that gap, but they still outshot and outchanced Cornell at Lynah. So, clear edge to them IMO. I guess having professional players on your team is a nice advantage. I would expect Q to get the 1-seed.

It also seems likely that Cornell is better than Dartmouth, Harvard, Princeton, Clarkson, and Union, but I'm not sure of the gap there. It's not a great sign that we've been in dogfights at home against the likes of Omaha, Alaska, and Princeton. But our talent and results combined suggest to me we're better than these other ECAC teams. Next weekend will be interesting.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 18, 2026, 05:36:17 AM
NPI after That Never Happened:

  8 Drt
  9 Qpc
 11 Cor
 21 Hvd
 25 Prn
 28 Uni
 31 Clk
 47 Cgt
 52 Yal
 55 RPI
 57 Brn
 63 SLU
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 18, 2026, 05:41:04 AM
This coming week's contenders' games:

Monday, as Harvard prepares to lose the Beanpot in 2 weeks:

Uni @ Hvd

The weekend:

Hvd @ Cgt
Drt @ Cor

Hvd @ Cor
Drt @ Cgt

The North Country home-and-home is also this weekend.

After this weekend the differences in GP conference-wide will have been almost entirely evened out.  You know how we have banked "DP at hand"?  This weekend is our chance to cash them in.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 19, 2026, 07:12:13 PM
Welp, Hahvahd just built an authoritative wall (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/box/final/20260119/uni/har/) between 5 and 6.

DP%:

1 .788 Drt
2 .778 Qpc
3 .700 Cor
4 .667 Hvd
5 .611 Prn
------------------
6 .500 "The Movie Star and the Rest..."
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 23, 2026, 12:15:14 PM
Since travel pairs (http://www.tbrw.info/index.html?/weekly_Updates/cornell_H2H_Trips.html) began in 1985, you can count on one hand the number of times the Dartmouth game was as important as Fish N Fowl.

Also: we have not swept since 2019.  The time has come for someone to put their foot down.  And that foot is us.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 23, 2026, 10:12:02 PM
After tonight, by DP%:

.778 Qpc
.750 Drt
.697 Cor
.692 Hvd
.611 Prn

DP blown (roughly the equivalent of losses behind in MLB):

  8 Qpc
  9 Drt
 10 Cor
 12 Hvd
 14 Prn

Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 24, 2026, 09:58:36 PM
NPI right now:

  9 Cor
 10 Qpc
 12 Drt
------
 19 Hvd
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 24, 2026, 10:00:21 PM
ECAC DP%:

.778 Qpc
.722 Cor
.692 Drt
.643 Hvd
.611 Prn
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 26, 2026, 03:06:01 AM
Because I know it is universally loved and respected, PlayoffStatus.com (https://www.playoffstatus.com/ecachockey/ecacstandings.html) odds as of today:

ECAC RS Finish

Team    1   2   3   4
Qpc    53  25  13   6
Drt    11  24  28  22
Hvd     3  13  24  32
Cor    31  32  22  10
Prn     1   4   9  18


ECAC Tournament Finish

Team   SF   F   1
Qpc    88  56  32
Cor    82  48  26
Drt    69  34  17
Hvd    57  24  10
Prn    35  13   5
Uni    27  11   5
Cgt    17   6   2
Clk    15   5   2


NCAA Seed Band

Team    1   2   3   4  Out
Qpc    13  46  28   6   6
Cor    13  35  26   8  15
Drt     4  22  28  15  31
Hvd    <1   3  12  12  72


NCAA Tournament Finish

Team   QF  SF   F   1
Qpc    49  23  11   5
Cor    42  19   8   4
Drt    29  12   5   2
Hvd    10   4   1   1




Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: andyw2100 on January 26, 2026, 09:05:17 AM
Quote from: Trotsky on January 26, 2026, 03:06:01 AMBecause I know it is universally loved and respected, PlayoffStatus.com (https://www.playoffstatus.com/ecachockey/ecacstandings.html) odds as of today:



NCAA Seed Band

Team    1  2  3  4  Out
Qpc    13  46  28  6  6
Cor    13  35  26  8  15
Drt    4  22  28  15  31
Hvd    <1  3  12  12  72



I know there's rounding, but even so, something seems wrong with the NCAA Seed Band. (Please see screenshot annotated badly, attached.)
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on January 26, 2026, 09:50:24 AM
There are 3 issues.

1. Rounding.
2. I counted <1 seeds as 0, probably should have used 1.
3. I no add good.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: andyw2100 on January 26, 2026, 10:48:31 AM
Quote from: Trotsky on January 26, 2026, 09:50:24 AMThere are 3 issues.

1. Rounding.
2. I counted <1 seeds as 0, probably should have used 1.
3. I no add good.

I only even mentioned it because the other three were 100, 99, and 99+. Our 97 seemed to be an outlier.

Thanks for the work!
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 06:08:52 AM
NPI:

  7 Cor
  9 Qpc
 10 Drt
 18 Hvd
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: pjd8 on February 02, 2026, 11:02:05 AM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 06:08:52 AMNPI:

  7 Cor
  9 Qpc
 10 Drt
 18 Hvd


If Harvard beats BC tonight, they bump up to 15, regardless of how the second Beanpot game goes, not that that's likely. But when was the last time anyone could entertain the idea of four ECAC teams in the NCAA tourney?
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: BearLover on February 02, 2026, 11:08:44 AM
Quote from: pjd8 on February 02, 2026, 11:02:05 AM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 06:08:52 AMNPI:

  7 Cor
  9 Qpc
 10 Drt
 18 Hvd


If Harvard beats BC tonight, they bump up to 15, regardless of how the second Beanpot game goes, not that that's likely. But when was the last time anyone could entertain the idea of four ECAC teams in the NCAA tourney?
2023
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: pjd8 on February 02, 2026, 11:20:11 AM
Quote from: BearLover on February 02, 2026, 11:08:44 AM
Quote from: pjd8 on February 02, 2026, 11:02:05 AM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 06:08:52 AMNPI:

  7 Cor
  9 Qpc
 10 Drt
 18 Hvd


If Harvard beats BC tonight, they bump up to 15, regardless of how the second Beanpot game goes, not that that's likely. But when was the last time anyone could entertain the idea of four ECAC teams in the NCAA tourney?
2023

Ah, the last year of my intense parenting era. There's a significant gap in my historical knowledge due to that. Now that I look back at historical pairwise, there were a few good years for the ECAC. I really want to see the conference to be more than just us and Q on a regular basis. Dartmouth and Princeton have the potential to be part of that story. Princeton's got a bigger uphill battle at the moment, but I think Syer can do good things there.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: scoop85 on February 02, 2026, 11:39:17 AM
Quote from: pjd8 on February 02, 2026, 11:20:11 AM
Quote from: BearLover on February 02, 2026, 11:08:44 AM
Quote from: pjd8 on February 02, 2026, 11:02:05 AM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 06:08:52 AMNPI:

  7 Cor
  9 Qpc
 10 Drt
 18 Hvd


If Harvard beats BC tonight, they bump up to 15, regardless of how the second Beanpot game goes, not that that's likely. But when was the last time anyone could entertain the idea of four ECAC teams in the NCAA tourney?
2023

Ah, the last year of my intense parenting era. There's a significant gap in my historical knowledge due to that. Now that I look back at historical pairwise, there were a few good years for the ECAC. I really want to see the conference to be more than just us and Q on a regular basis. Dartmouth and Princeton have the potential to be part of that story. Princeton's got a bigger uphill battle at the moment, but I think Syer can do good things there.

Don't ruin BearLover's day with such talk.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 11:52:51 AM
Quote from: scoop85 on February 02, 2026, 11:39:17 AMDon't ruin BearLover's day with such talk.

Stahp (https://parenting.kars4kids.org/what-is-positive-parenting-and-why-is-it-better-than-what-our-parents-did/).
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Dafatone on February 02, 2026, 12:47:15 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 11:52:51 AM
Quote from: scoop85 on February 02, 2026, 11:39:17 AMDon't ruin BearLover's day with such talk.

Stahp (https://parenting.kars4kids.org/what-is-positive-parenting-and-why-is-it-better-than-what-our-parents-did/).

Parenting.kars4kids.org. What a world.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on February 02, 2026, 01:25:48 PM
Quote from: Dafatone on February 02, 2026, 12:47:15 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 02, 2026, 11:52:51 AM
Quote from: scoop85 on February 02, 2026, 11:39:17 AMDon't ruin BearLover's day with such talk.

Stahp (https://parenting.kars4kids.org/what-is-positive-parenting-and-why-is-it-better-than-what-our-parents-did/).

Parenting.kars4kids.org. What a world.
Are Trotsky and BearLover divorcing again? Am I going to have to grow up in a divided home? 🥺
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on February 06, 2026, 02:33:56 PM
Quote from: stereax on February 02, 2026, 01:25:48 PMAre Trotsky and BearLover divorcing again? Am I going to have to grow up in a divided home? 🥺

BL is a newbie.  Mom and Dad around here are Al and Jim.  It's a rocky marriage, but it's held.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: stereax on February 06, 2026, 02:35:25 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 06, 2026, 02:33:56 PM
Quote from: stereax on February 02, 2026, 01:25:48 PMAre Trotsky and BearLover divorcing again? Am I going to have to grow up in a divided home? 🥺

BL is a newbie.  Mom and Dad around here are Al and Jim.  It's a rocky marriage, but it's held.
We might end up with a whole ass family tree...
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on February 06, 2026, 02:35:55 PM
Quote from: Dafatone on February 02, 2026, 12:47:15 PMParenting.kars4kids.org. What a world.

"1-877-Use Plan B"
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on February 06, 2026, 02:36:12 PM
Quote from: stereax on February 06, 2026, 02:35:25 PM
Quote from: Trotsky on February 06, 2026, 02:33:56 PM
Quote from: stereax on February 02, 2026, 01:25:48 PMAre Trotsky and BearLover divorcing again? Am I going to have to grow up in a divided home? 🥺

BL is a newbie.  Mom and Dad around here are Al and Jim.  It's a rocky marriage, but it's held.
We might end up with a whole ass family tree...
The ass part certainly.
Title: Re: ECAC Guide for the Perplexed
Post by: Trotsky on February 06, 2026, 02:45:49 PM
For whom to root:

Union at SLU: SLU.
Dartmouth at Harvard: Harvard I know I know.
RPI at Clarkson: Throw RPI a bone FFS.
Yale at Princeton: New Haven > New Jersey.
Brown at Q: let's just close our eyes and use the Think Method.

Union at Clarkson: Uh.  Clarkson I suppose?  Fuck Union so yeah.
RPI at SLU: cf. bones, above.
Yale at Q: look any given Saturday amirite?
Brown at Princeton: Lovecraft > Fitzgerald