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General Category => Other Sports => Topic started by: ugarte on November 04, 2025, 01:42:56 AM

Title: Wrestling 2025-26
Post by: ugarte on November 04, 2025, 01:42:56 AM
The season started this past weekend, so I may as well blend the results with a bit of a season preview, such as it is. This is going to be a bit of a punt season, with an incredible freshman class coming in next season, one of our best starters out with a medical redshirt and a few of our starters taking off the fall semester. That said, we still have a few potential All-Americans in the current lineup and a couple more coming back for the Spring.

125: 2025 will begin with Marcello Milani as the starter. He stepped up last season when Greg Diakomihalis got hurt and Brett Ungar could no longer make the cut to 125. His reward was a clutch performance in the Ivy tournament, an autobid to NCAA and a win in the pigtail match between the 32/33 seeds. He comes into this season as the starter for the fall semester, but Greg D. is expected to take back the role in the spring. If Milani can hold him off that will be very impressive; he also needs it to happen because next season top recruit Anthony Knox comes off his greyshirt season and is expected to step into the lineup as an All American out of the gate.

At Clarion:

Cornell: At the season-opening Clarion Open, Milani had an excellent start, beating Kilkeary (a former top recruit now caught in an embarrassment of riches at 125 for tOSU) straight up and a narrow 1-0 loss to a 2x NCAA qualifier, the starter for Ohio State.

SCRTC: The aforementioned Knox dominated most of his opponents but did lose to exchanged takedowns with tOSU's Bouzakis but the real problem was (1) throwing away an early escape point by firing off a shot before he had achieved separation at the end of the first period and (2) giving up a clean reversal. Bouzakis had over a minute of RT in the first and Knox really needed the escape. He's very talented but green and will have to learn to respect the skill level at the top of D1. Bouzakis is ALSO at tOSU, apparently dropping down from 125 to avoid Davino (see 133) and a 2x champ at 141.

133: Returning National Qualifier Tyler Ferrara and 2x NQ at 125 Brett Ungar will fight for the spot in the starting lineup. Last year, Ungar was too big for 125 but not yet strong enough to compete at 133. In the abstract, if Ungar can get his strength up after a year of training for it, he's probably who would get the role on paper. The heir apparent, though, is coming next year as well.

At Clarion:
Cornell: Ferrara went 4-1, but with no wins of note. He lost 10-3 in the final to Ben Davino, a potential AA from Ohio State. Ungar didn't compete.

SCRTC: The heir apparent, Isaiah Cortez, lost to Davino as well, but in a match that went to SV. Great result.

141: Joshua Saunders, last years NQ, is the likely starter for at least the first semester. In the spring, Vince Cornella - the starter and NQ in 2023 - returns to the lineup after an injury riddled '23-'24 season and a year to recover. The tournament time starter remains to be seen, but my money is on Cornella if he can stay healthy.

At Clarion:

SCRTC: Isaiah's twin brother Elijah Cortez had no problem with the field. MD over a Penn State RSFR (Herring), tech over a tOSU backup, fall over a second year starter at SIUE and a pair of wins over other D1 starters.

Cornell didn't send Saunders or Cornella so only a glimpse of the future, not the present.

149: Another wrestler who is taking the fall off, 2x NQ Ethan Fernandez, is going to have a hard time breaking back into the lineup. Freshman Jaxon Joy, coming off a great greyshirt season, is a heavy favorite to keep the starting role even when Fernandez returns. A shame for Fernandez, who would definitely be an NQ again, though he lacks Joy's AA potential.

At Clarion:
Cornell: Jaxon Joy blitzed the field until running into a high school phenom Bassett, a two-time age group world medalist, who will arrive at VT next year as a title contender. In the QF, though, he pinned a returning AA. Clean TD right to a cradle. Great start to his college career.

157: Another deferral, this time 2x AA Meyer Shapiro is trying to maximize his health since he's had a number of concussions in his first two college seasons. He didn't compete internationally this year, after winning age group world titles in 2021 and 2023. In the meantime, Benny Rogers will probably start in his place. Nate Wade didn't compete at Clarion but he is a possible fill-in as well.

At Clarion:
Cornell: Benny Rogers didn't beat anyone of note but lost a close match against another high school phenom. Even that was a pleasant surprise.

165: Freshman Louie Cerchio is the uncontested starter. He is coming off a pretty good greyshirt year. Too early to tell what his potential is but I suspect the floor is NQ.

At Clarion:

Cornell: Cerchio lost in the final to AA contender Paddy Gallagher in a one TD match.

SCRTC: Alessio Perentin, who will arrive next year, also was within a takedown of Gallagher, losing in the semis. Like Cerchio, Gallagher was his only loss.

Between the two, Cerchio's run through the bracket was far more dominant but that competition is a question to be resolved next year.

174: Returning AA Simon Ruiz has this spot on lock. He didn't go to Clarion but he did wrestle 3x NQ and AA contender Lenny Pinto in an All-star exhibition over the weekend, beating him for the third straight time. He's likely to AA again.

184: With Mikey Dellagatta out for the season with an injury, senior Christian Hansen gets his first opportunity in a starting role. He's a gamer so I'm hoping for the best. I don't know how the Ivy stacks up at 184 - it would be cool if he got to go to NCAAs if the conference is weak.

At Clarion:

Damning with faint praise, I suppose, but Hansen had a respectably close loss to 2x R12 Fishback.

197: A hole in the lineup this year with our starter-in-waiting greyshirting. Probable starter Aiden Hanning doesn't have anything in his record to suggest he'll have much success but a couple of key wins would look nice. He skipped Clarion but the backups didn't do anything there to suggest I need to write about them.

At Clarion:

SCRTC: Jude Correa, next year's likely starter, had 4 pins and a single close loss to the probable Ohio State starter.

Hwt: Ashton Davis, last year's starter and NQ, is back. With a very good heavy joining the program next year, he's going to have a lot more competition for the spot. Likely NQ again. 

At Clarion:

Cornell: Ashton Davis dropped a close match to a wrestler from Bellarmine. The loss looks bad on paper but it belies his performance. He was in on multiple shots and while he needs to finish his good shots better than he did, I don't have a lot of doubt that he'd win a rematch. In any event, he clearly separated himself from Henderson as the starter by beating him handily in the 5th place match.

SCRTC: Rocco Dellagatta, on the other hand, looked very good. His only lost was a narrow one to an AA contender from Ohio State.

Shapiro and Ruiz are likely AA. Joy is a strong possibility, as is a healthy Cornella. If Greg D. can stay healthy and if Ungar grew into the weight I can see them on the podium as well.

For next year, though, Knox, the Cortez brothers, Perentin, Correa and the Dellagatta brothers in the lineup look great in a year when we aren't losing many guys to graduation. But that's a preview for 12 months from now.
Title: Re: Wrestling 2025-26
Post by: scoop85 on November 04, 2025, 02:00:22 PM
Thanks as always for your informative summary. If Shapiro is fully healthy, do you think he can win it all or is AA now his ceiling?
Title: Re: Wrestling 2025-26
Post by: ugarte on November 04, 2025, 04:22:31 PM
Quote from: scoop85 on November 04, 2025, 02:00:22 PMThanks as always for your informative summary. If Shapiro is fully healthy, do you think he can win it all or is AA now his ceiling?
he can absolutely win it all. he has to stop bouncing his head off of the mat in funky positions.
Title: Re: Wrestling 2025-26
Post by: ugarte on November 04, 2025, 06:17:08 PM
Here are the first rankings after the start of actual wrestling (references in the notes to moving up or down are relative to preseason rankings, which I forgot to post here). I'm not including the guys taking Fall sabbaticals in the chart until they start wrestling. That means no lines for Greg D., Cornella, Fernandez and Shapiro. That way the chart reflects the guys actually wrestling for us. To the extent that those guys stay in some rankings, I'll put it in the notes below. Ungar and Ferrara, on the other hand, are both rostered right now, as far as I can tell. I'll keep them both in the chart.

                Flo WIN IM TOM AWN BEG WSt SHP CR   RPI
125: Milani 24 -- 26 NR xx -- 33 -- --   --
133: Ferrara xx -- 24 NR NR -- 18 -- --   --
133: Ungar 23 -- xx NR NR -- 28 -- --   --
141: Saunders xx -- xx NR xx -- 28 -- --   --
149: Joy 10 -- 7 12 15 --   3 -- --   --
157: Rogers xx -- NR NR xx -- 56 -- --   --
165: Cerchio NR -- 26 NR NR -- 63 -- --   --
174: Ruiz 3 -- 3 3 4 --   6 -- --   --
184: Hansen  NR -- NR NR NR -- 48 -- --   --
197: Hanning NR -- NR NR NR -- 43 -- --   -- 
285: Davis 33 -- 29 NR NR -- 25 -- --   --
TEAM NCAA: 13 -- 18 14 -- --   6 -- --   --
TEAM DUAL:      -- -- 13 14 -- -- 14 -- --   --

Flo (https://www.flowrestling.org/rankings/14300895-2025-26-ncaa-di-wrestling-rankings/54812-p4p-mitchell-mesenbrink) ranks to 33. Joy jumps six spots. Cerchio falls out of the rankings because some other fringy guys had good wins, I guess. Cornella moves up to 15 due to an upset loss above him. Davis falls to 33 as Mayer (Bellarmine) leapfrogs him in typical Flo ranking fashion. Shapiro stays at 3. He's also 12 in P4P, in a block of 157s from 10-12.
WIN ranks to 20. Site doesn't seem to be updating at all, not just the rankings. Is it dead?
Intermat (https://intermatwrestle.com/rankings.html/ncaa-di-r55/) ranks to 33. Ferrara replaces Ungar as the Cornell rep; IM is ranking the lineup as it is, not as it will be. Joy jumps two spots into AA range. Cerchio moves up 5. Davis slides down 3. Tournament rankings drop but dual rankings up a pip.
Open Mat (https://news.theopenmat.com/rankings/ncaa_d1/125) ranks to 20. Ferrara falls out of the rankings behind some guys who haven't lost yet, even if I doubt they've faced anyone as good as Davino. Joy up 4. Still listing Shapiro.
AWN (https://amateurwrestlingnews.com/) ranks to 20. Joy enters the rankings at 15. Still Greg D. at 13, Cornella at 18, Shapiro at 3.
BEG Rank to 33. TK?
WrestleStat (https://www.wrestlestat.com/team/20/cornell/profile) ELO updated. Joy from 198 to 3 (lol). Cerchio from 165 to 63. The huge jump for Joy (sorry) along with some smaller jumps and keeping Shapiro in the lineup also boosted the team tournament ranking to 6.
SHP DII SHP's Dual Impact TK, but not this week. (explainer (https://wrestlingbypirate.wordpress.com))

Coaches Ranking and official RPI won't be out for a while. I'll probably add in the WrestleStat RPI ranking when it's closer to meaningful.
Title: Re: Wrestling 2025-26
Post by: mountainred on November 05, 2025, 02:38:17 PM
Quote from: ugarte on November 04, 2025, 04:22:31 PM
Quote from: scoop85 on November 04, 2025, 02:00:22 PMThanks as always for your informative summary. If Shapiro is fully healthy, do you think he can win it all or is AA now his ceiling?
he can absolutely win it all. he has to stop bouncing his head off of the mat in funky positions.
ugarte doesn't need my support when it comes to wrestling, but I will second his opinion.  A healthy Shapiro is national champion quality. I can absolutely see him making a Nahshon or Vito like run through nationals telling the field: "This is my title, have fun competing for second."  Yes, I know Nahshon's win in the championship was 7-6, but it was the most lopsided 7-6 win in wrestling history.
Title: Re: Wrestling 2025-26
Post by: ugarte on November 05, 2025, 03:39:52 PM
Quote from: mountainred on November 05, 2025, 02:38:17 PM
Quote from: ugarte on November 04, 2025, 04:22:31 PM
Quote from: scoop85 on November 04, 2025, 02:00:22 PMThanks as always for your informative summary. If Shapiro is fully healthy, do you think he can win it all or is AA now his ceiling?
he can absolutely win it all. he has to stop bouncing his head off of the mat in funky positions.
ugarte doesn't need my support when it comes to wrestling, but I will second his opinion.  A healthy Shapiro is national champion quality. I can absolutely see him making a Nahshon or Vito like run through nationals telling the field: "This is my title, have fun competing for second."  Yes, I know Nahshon's win in the championship was 7-6, but it was the most lopsided 7-6 win in wrestling history.
couple of bullshit stalls at the end, right? and that was after a 20 second semifinal match IIRC.

the field is closer to shapiro than i think anyone realized when he was coming out of high school but the top 3 157s are all coinflips. Kasak has the muscle, Shapiro the funk and Taylor the guy who was close second on both and won the title. Ignore the guys who took second and fourth. The former got a little lucky to beat Kasak and is up at 165 now. The latter got an incredibly lucky draw, not facing any of the top three until the third place match and graduated anyway.

That said, if Shapiro is totally healthy at the end of the year, I think he's the champ.
Title: Re: Wrestling 2025-26
Post by: ugarte on November 11, 2025, 02:41:16 PM
We didn't wrestle this week but the rankers still watched everyone else.

As previously noted, I'm dropping the Fall sabbaticals from the chart until they start wrestling. That means say goodbye to the lines for Greg D., Cornella, Fernandez and Shapiro. That way the chart reflects the guys actually wrestling for us. To the extent that they stay in the rankings, I'll put it in the notes below. Ungar and Ferrara, on the other hand, are both rostered right now ( as far as I can tell) and competing internally to start at 133 when it matters. I'll keep them both in the chart.

                Flo WIN IM TOM AWN BEG WSt SHP CR   RPI
125: Milani 25 -- 25 NR xx -- 34 -- --   --
133: Ferrara xx -- 26 NR 20 -- 20 -- --   --
133: Ungar 23 -- xx NR NR -- 31 -- --   --
141: Saunders xx -- NR NR xx -- 25 -- --   --
149: Joy 9 -- 7 10 10 --   3 -- --   --
157: Rogers xx -- NR NR xx -- 56 -- --   --
165: Cerchio NR -- 24 NR NR -- 61 -- --   --
174: Ruiz 3 -- 3 3 4 --   5 -- --   --
184: Hansen  NR -- NR NR NR -- 47 -- --   --
197: Hanning NR -- NR NR NR -- 46 -- --   -- 
285: Davis NR -- 29 NR NR -- 28 -- --   --
TEAM NCAA: 13 -- 17 25 -- --   8 -- --   --
TEAM DUAL:      -- -- 13 14 -- -- 12 -- --   --

Flo (https://www.flowrestling.org/rankings/14300895-2025-26-ncaa-di-wrestling-rankings/54872-p4p-mitchell-mesenbrink) ranks to 33. Milani down a pip, Joy up one. Cornella moves up to 14. Davis falls out of the rankings; perils of life on the bubble. Shapiro tentatively moves up to 2 with Kasak likely redshirting and PJ Duke not yet "qualified" for Flo's rankings.
WIN ranks to 20. Contacted WIN; they are issuing rankings in the print edition but are holding off on posting them online until the dust settles a little and various lineup decisions shake out.
Intermat (https://intermatwrestle.com/rankings.html/ncaa-di-r56/) ranks to 33. Minor shuffling.
Open Mat (https://news.theopenmat.com/rankings/ncaa_d1/125) ranks to 20. Typo last week; Joy was not at 4. He's at 10 this week.
AWN (https://amateurwrestlingnews.com/) ranks to 20. Ferrara enters the rankings at 20. Joy up to 10. Shapiro at 2 but they've stopped including Greg D. and Cornella.
BEG No longer lists rankings in the site menu. Rankings from a Cornell partisan so I'd like to see his rose-colored rankings.
WrestleStat (https://www.wrestlestat.com/team/20/cornell/profile) ELO updated.
SHP DII SHP's Dual Impact Index TK mid-Decemberish. (explainer (https://wrestlingbypirate.wordpress.com))

CR and RPI won't be out for a while.