Because this is going to be the blackest box we will ever have to deal with.
I am very surprised how hopeful people are given the roster will have so many unknowns.
Quote from: TrotskyI am very surprised how hopeful people are given the roster will have so many unknowns.
Is it hope or just an assessment of the relative weakness of the rest of the ECAC? Setting aside the bold dreamers with FF expectations, most people seem to think a finish in the top half of the ECAC with some possibility of an NCAA appearance is reasonable. It's kind of hard to argue with that based on Cornell's results over the last (*gasp*) 25 years.
Quote from: Tom LentoQuote from: TrotskyI am very surprised how hopeful people are given the roster will have so many unknowns.
Is it hope or just an assessment of the relative weakness of the rest of the ECAC? Setting aside the bold dreamers with FF expectations, most people seem to think a finish in the top half of the ECAC with some possibility of an NCAA appearance is reasonable. It's kind of hard to argue with that based on Cornell's results over the last (*gasp*) 25 years.
I think it's the tendency to assume past performance will repeat. None of us really know anything about the incoming players. We know that in the ECAC and in our program specifically incoming classes vaguely replicate the relative strengths of the immediate past. Since our coaching staff hasn't changed and the program didn't undergo any serious
unique issue, we assume the train will keep rolling.
The alternate hypothesis is the incoming 50-70% of the rosters will be a crapshoot and our most likely finish is around .500 or perhaps a little lower factoring in the year head start 4 teams have.
Cornell is pretty much in the same boat as 8 of the other 12 teams, so that somewhat levels the playing field. Plus I believe both Quinnipiac and Clarkson had some would-be seniors leave early for the pros. I can't say we will be a strong team within the context of all of Division 1, but I think we will be descent within the ECAC itself.
The only reasonably predictable variable is coaching.
we could be pretty solid, or it may take a couple yrs to get back to being solid.. no one really knows we lost the core of a good deep team and time will tell how quickly it comes back. Lots of teams had the same issues. It could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
Quote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
Quote from: TrotskyQuote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
I didn't vote as I can't even begin to guess until seeing the roster. The goalie position scares the hell out of me right now.
Quote from: ithacatQuote from: TrotskyQuote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
I didn't vote as I can't even begin to guess until seeing the roster. The goalie position scares the hell out of me right now.
Will seeing the roster even matter? I mean, it's going to be something on the order of this (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/reports/roster/Cornell/18). All it tells us is "yes, there are people there." We won't really know
anything until around Christmas.
Quote from: TrotskyAll it tells us is "yes, there are people there."
Boy you'll feel dumb when Schafer reveals an all-robot team.
Quote from: French RageQuote from: TrotskyAll it tells us is "yes, there are people there."
Boy you'll feel dumb when Schafer reveals an all-robot team.
"...and starting in goal for the Big Red, seventeen ferrets in a trench coat!" (wild applause)
Quote from: BeeeejQuote from: French RageQuote from: TrotskyAll it tells us is "yes, there are people there."
Boy you'll feel dumb when Schafer reveals an all-robot team.
"...and starting in goal for the Big Red, seventeen ferrets in a trench coat!" (wild applause)
If they can stretch out the trench coat to 4 x 6 we've got a chance.
Quote from: TrotskyQuote from: ithacatQuote from: TrotskyQuote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
I didn't vote as I can't even begin to guess until seeing the roster. The goalie position scares the hell out of me right now.
Will seeing the roster even matter? I mean, it's going to be something on the order of this (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/reports/roster/Cornell/18). All it tells us is "yes, there are people there." We won't really know anything until around Christmas.
I certainly don't know how accurate the Cornell roster on CHN is, but if it is anything like the RPI roster there, it is inaccurate. Compare this (https://www.collegehockeynews.com/reports/roster/Rensselaer/48/20212022) to this (https://rpiathletics.com/sports/mens-ice-hockey/roster/2021-22). Most of the differences are recruits who won't be arriving until at least 2022, six of them I think. There is also a player missing who is sticking around an extra year and one who left for another team listed.
Quote from: French RageQuote from: TrotskyAll it tells us is "yes, there are people there."
Boy you'll feel dumb when Schafer reveals an all-robot team.
Dumb
er.
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82Quote from: BeeeejQuote from: French RageQuote from: TrotskyAll it tells us is "yes, there are people there."
Boy you'll feel dumb when Schafer reveals an all-robot team.
"...and starting in goal for the Big Red, seventeen ferrets in a trench coat!" (wild applause)
If they can stretch out the trench coat to 4 x 6 we've got a chance.
(https://i.etsystatic.com/14530163/r/il/c710d7/1723523549/il_fullxfull.1723523549_avza.jpg)
Quote from: ithacatQuote from: TrotskyQuote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
I didn't vote as I can't even begin to guess until seeing the roster. The goalie position scares the hell out of me right now.
Yeah, we haven't had this much goaltending uncertainty since—well, I can't even remember. MacDonald's never played, and Howe and Shane have had up-and-down careers in juniors. My rather wild guess is that Howe probably has the most upside, but I imagine it will be pretty wide open.
Quote from: scoop85Quote from: ithacatQuote from: TrotskyQuote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
I didn't vote as I can't even begin to guess until seeing the roster. The goalie position scares the hell out of me right now.
Yeah, we haven't had this much goaltending uncertainty since—well, I can't even remember. MacDonald's never played, and Howe and Shane have had up-and-down careers in juniors. My rather wild guess is that Howe probably has the most upside, but I imagine it will be pretty wide open.
Howe (https://www.eliteprospects.com/player/530045/joe-howe) had a fine 20-21 after a shaky 19-20. Shane (https://www.eliteprospects.com/player/499320/ian-shane) has been all over the place but never put up impressive numbers outside of Prep.
I assume that even if we suffer through a down year in goaltending we should be able to recruit the blue chippah who stayed away while Galajda was still here.
Quote from: TrotskyQuote from: Jeff Hopkins '82Quote from: BeeeejQuote from: French RageQuote from: TrotskyAll it tells us is "yes, there are people there."
Boy you'll feel dumb when Schafer reveals an all-robot team.
"...and starting in goal for the Big Red, seventeen ferrets in a trench coat!" (wild applause)
If they can stretch out the trench coat to 4 x 6 we've got a chance.
(https://i.etsystatic.com/14530163/r/il/c710d7/1723523549/il_fullxfull.1723523549_avza.jpg)
That's creepy on so many levels.
Quote from: Jeff Hopkins '82That's creepy on so many levels.
It was actually quite charming (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV8btPW4wU) IRL.
Quote from: TrotskyQuote from: scoop85Quote from: ithacatQuote from: TrotskyQuote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
I didn't vote as I can't even begin to guess until seeing the roster. The goalie position scares the hell out of me right now.
Yeah, we haven't had this much goaltending uncertainty since—well, I can't even remember. MacDonald's never played, and Howe and Shane have had up-and-down careers in juniors. My rather wild guess is that Howe probably has the most upside, but I imagine it will be pretty wide open.
Howe (https://www.eliteprospects.com/player/530045/joe-howe) had a fine 20-21 after a shaky 19-20. Shane (https://www.eliteprospects.com/player/499320/ian-shane) has been all over the place but never put up impressive numbers outside of Prep.
I assume that even if we suffer through a down year in goaltending we should be able to recruit the blue chippah who stayed away while Galajda was still here.
Howe also provides a chant upside, in the grand tradition of goalie/sieve, Underhill/overrated, Duffus/doofus, Elliott/idiot... I'm envisioning maybe "Howe/why?"
Then again, "MacDonald/Taco Bell" might also have potential.
Quote from: TrotskyQuote from: upprdeckIt could be 8 teams all compete and its a pretty close league.
That's my (just as valid as anyone else's) guess. I voted 4-6 in the poll. It wouldn't surprise me if we finished 7 or 8. If we finish in the top 3 Schafer gets to be a god alongside Ned.
Say no, say
NO!
I have not checked any ecac rosters yet. But I'm thinking that the teams with the most returning players will be significantly better teams thank the others
Quote from: abmarksI have not checked any ecac rosters yet. But I'm thinking that the teams with the most returning players will be significantly better teams thank the others
I agree that last season's sociopaths should still enjoy some advantage. They've played together. They've played at a higher level.
There are other teams where the quality improves because they were heavy on now-departed seniors. It's as if the Jets or Giants, take your pick, lost all of last year's QBs, might they not be in a better place this year?