ELynah Forum

General Category => Hockey => Topic started by: imafrshmn on December 20, 2009, 05:00:00 AM

Title: Poll: If it is true that Cornell will play NU at MSG next year, will you attend?
Post by: imafrshmn on December 20, 2009, 05:00:00 AM
Choose the answer that holds the greatest probability.
Title: Re: Poll: If it is true that Cornell will play NU at MSG next year, will you attend?
Post by: imafrshmn on December 28, 2009, 01:55:23 AM
Marginal numbers after 94 votes:

Of those (71/94) who were at MSG this year,
69% would go next year
23% say they wouldn't
8% are unsure

Of those (23/94) who were not at MSG this year,
4% would go next year
52% say they wouldn't
43% are unsure

If we say that the probability of someone actually attending the game next year if they answered 'yes' is 98%, 'no' is 2%, and 'unsure' is 50%, then the expected number (out of the 94 voters) of attendees next year is 65.6, or about 70% of voters, representing a small decrease from the 76% of voters who were there this year.  That doesn't give any indication of what might happen next year, for obvious reasons.  It was still interesting to do this poll.  Thanks for voting.