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Further debilitate my server with this and other completely OT topics
Re: 2015-16 - 9 years ago
BearLover KeithK Towerroad I agree with your assessment that the a team with a top 10 defense and middle of the pack offense has a good shot at the tournament. That belies the fact that we have a long way to go to get to an average offense and begs the question of whether there are defensive tradeoffs that would have to be made to improve the scoring. The gap between us and the national average iby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: 2015-16 - 9 years ago
Towerroad Tom Lento Towerroad pfibiger Absolutely. Here's the spreadsheet: Thanks, The R squared does not tell the whole story. The t stats on the regression coefficients are significantly different at well beyond the 99% level. There is a significant diffference between Cornell's scoring trend and D1 College Hockey as a whole. Correlation is not causation. The cause is still open to diby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: 2015-16 - 9 years ago
Towerroad pfibiger Absolutely. Here's the spreadsheet: Thanks, The R squared does not tell the whole story. The t stats on the regression coefficients are significantly different at well beyond the 99% level. There is a significant diffference between Cornell's scoring trend and D1 College Hockey as a whole. Correlation is not causation. The cause is still open to discussion, the differby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: 2015-16 - 9 years ago
RichH pfibiger 2002-2015 scoring offense, cornell vs. d-1 average Thanks very much for doing this, pfibiger. That's the exact data I've craved this week, but didn't have the time/patience to find myself. Seconded. Also, I'm updating my hypothesis: either the rule changes haven't impacted (mean) scoring, or else (mean) scoring in college hockey was really headed into the shitter. pfibiger -by Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: 2015-16 - 9 years ago
BearLover Tom Lento bemoan the fact that 2003 was really the only consistently effective team offense in the Schafer era (disclaimer - I don't know if that's actually true, but I suspect it was - 2005-06 and 2009-10 both had sub-3 GFAs despite some good scorers at the top of the lineup). 2005-06 yes (2.83), but 2009-10 was 3.15. 2004-2005 was 3.20. Cornell is currently scoring way too few goalby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: 2015-16 - 9 years ago
ithacat Scersk '97(3) If you're not BC or Minnesota, you might as well build out from a stingy defense. I'm not so sure that's still the case. Even if it is, I'd rather lose at Lynah by a score of 4-3 than 1-0. I think the "it's all your fault" chant is the most intimidating chant we have and I'd rather hear it as much as possible. Of course, I'm an offense and speed freak in any sporby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Should He Stay or Shoul He Go Part 2 - 9 years ago
Trotsky BearLover Cornell has also been unlucky with recruits in the past few years--M. McCarron, De Jong, and Hudson all decommitted/couldn't get in (and maybe some others I'm forgetting).Matt Cimetta, Philipe Hudon and Stephen Miller were also commits who disappeared. Not counting M. McCarron, that's five guys over a very short period who decommitted. Would love to know whether they were juby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: THANK YOU Seniors - 9 years ago
BearLover Jim Hyla BearLover KeithK Swampy Trotsky Some added motivation. No Schafer-coached class has gone its whole career without playing in the ECAC title game. The seniors have yet to do so. Amazing. This was the most heralded class in recent history. Just shows that recruiting is a bit of a crapshoot. How so? This class lived up to its billing. The rest of the team, much less heraldedby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: What a difference one goal makes - 9 years ago
BearLover There was no "analysis" other than a quick demonstration that there was no "aberration" in the non-progress of a group of very skilled freshmen. I'm not sure what you think I was trying to accomplish--it certainly was not some meticulous statistical analysis for the purpose of concluding Schafer Must Go. Literally the only thing I concluded is that most players wby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: What a difference one goal makes - 9 years ago
scoop85 BearLover cbuckser Jim HylaHow about our seniors didn't turn out as good as projected. Ferlin and maybe Ryan and Bardreau gave us something of what I expected. Ryan is still not as good this year as last, lingering injury? Bardreau has not done as well as I expected, after getting picked for Juniors. Lowry probable came close, but of course he's no longer able. Overall I, and I expect mosby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: State of eLynah Address - 9 years ago
BMac Vibe's been weak for a while. How many actual undergrads come here anymore? Seems like it's just an old guard thing now. Let's be honest, it's been an old guard thing for a very long time. I suspect a big part of the problem is it's a custom login on a custom domain for an online message board. How many college students routinely use standalone message boards for stuff like this these daysby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Tonight's game v. Penn State - 9 years ago
adamw KeithKIMO sports analytics proponents have a tendency to draw conclusions that are too strong given the available data. That is exactly the issue I have with hit. Not that it isn't useful - but that some people - particularly the secondary proponents/disciples of the original statisticians - are too absolute in their conclusions. People who don't have a strong understanding of statisticby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: New Rules? - 9 years ago
ftyuv Josh '99 Tom Lento Josh '99 Jim Hyla Here they are. I like them, especially the little tweaks toward offense and the warning track.I generally do too, except for:Faceoff Location – Offensive Scoring Opportunity: If the offensive team is attempting to score and the puck goes out of play — the faceoff will remain in the attacking zone.This to me is counterintuitive, and I generally disagree wby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: New Rules? - 9 years ago
Josh '99 Jim Hyla Here they are. I like them, especially the little tweaks toward offense and the warning track.I generally do too, except for:Faceoff Location – Offensive Scoring Opportunity: If the offensive team is attempting to score and the puck goes out of play — the faceoff will remain in the attacking zone.This to me is counterintuitive, and I generally disagree with rules that are counteby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Should He Stay or Should He Go 2014 - 10 years ago
Trotsky Schafer's record of championships is impressive, but his record of not having any prolonged downturns during his 19 seasons is even moreso. Put it this way: Schafer's teams have finished out of the bye 5 times in 19 years. Clarkson has finished out of the bye 6 times in the last 6 years. Someone was talking about Schafer catching lightning in a bottle for the 5 year run from 2002 throby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: LP Games - 10 years ago
Kyle Rose BearLoverMy point is that Cornell is devoid of any offensive talent. It has more than Union, at least according to people who have skin in the game (NHL scouts). I repeat: there is simply no evidence that a lack of talent ("the recruiting gap" ) is Cornell's problem. I would go even further and say *developing* individual offensive talent is not a meaningful issue, either. Iby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Annual Awards - 10 years ago
Chris '03 Josh '99 Chris '03 RichH I guess the ECAC awards are announced tonight, right? ------------------------------------------------ Dryden Award: Michael Garteig, SO, QU (24-8-6, 1.88, 0.912) Colin Stevens, JR, Union (22-4-2, 1.95, 0.931) Andy Iles, SR, Cornell (16-9-5, 2.11, 0.921) Charlie Finn, FR, Colgate (15-6-4, 2.38, 0.918) Steve Perry, FR, Clarkson (11-10-3, 2.05, 0.917)by Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Lake Placid Attendance - 10 years ago
Kyle Rose I think shagwell ("Yeah, baby... yeah!!" ) may be attempting to recreate the glory years, such as they were, of post-HE ECAC tournament attendance, but I suspect he'll find that Placid had the best numbers despite its location, not because of it. Making it as easy as possible for the fans to justify a weekend spent watching hockey is going to put the most asses in seats as isby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Game 3: Cornell 1, Clarkson 0 (OT) - 10 years ago
KeithK Jim Hyla Icy The Bardreau save at 12:30 in the first period, part 2: (1) Josephs brings the puck to his forehand (2) Shoots as Bardreau dives in front of him (3) And Bardraux blocks the shot with his stick. Thank god for a bad backhand, he certainly could have scored if he felt good about it. Definitely. I would score 9 out of 10 times from that spot with a backhand so no doubt Josephby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Favorite Harvard Game Memory - 10 years ago
Josh '99 Beeeej It's worth mentioning that the context of the 2003 ECAC title game was one of the factors that made it so special. The previous title game, 2002 in Lake Placid, there was a general feeling among the Lynah Faithful who'd made the trip that this should be our year. Yes, we'd had our usual crapfest in the Florida tournament, but we finished strong, and dispatched Yale and RPI prettyby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Hockey Analytics: What Does It Mean For Cornell? - 10 years ago
adamw Oh my - so "happy" to have stumbled upon this ..... I have major problems with the advanced hockey metrics folks. Not as people, of course, but their conclusions. I believe at least 50% of this stuff is bunk - in the sense that the conclusions reached are flawed, and the people making the conclusions make them much too definitively. Corsi is a useful indicator if taken wby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Princeton - 10 years ago
Kyle Rose I think the early-00 squads were simply playing against older-style offenses not coached to specifically counter The System. I suspect the success of The System was a window that has closed, at least temporarily, as a result of changes to other systems. I don't know, this makes The System sound like it deserves the capital letters. Cornell plays pretty basic defensive hockey. It's a mby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Frozen Four Results - 11 years ago
kaelistus Am I the only person who really loves our style of Hockey? The vision I have of the 2003 team was not our good goal scoring, it was watching a player shoot the puck and then seeing three Cornell skaters slide into it's path as if we had four goalies. It was fantastic, and I've never seen another school be so dynamic at defense. I'll take that over high scoring breakaway heavy games aby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Cornell @ Harvard Lax - other Ivy results - 11 years ago
billhoward About what you'd expect: Cornell 14, Harvard 12 -- a little closer than I expected (hoped?) Yale 7, Dartmouth 5 -- shouldn't have been so close Penn 10, Brown 3 -- maybe should have been closer Syracuse 13, Princeton 12 -- Syracuse scored the last 3 goals, at Princeton Ivy records Cornell 4-0 to play at Brown, Princeton @ Meadowlands in Ivies Princeton 2-1 to plby Tom Lento - Other Sports
Re: Should He Stay or Should He Go - 11 years ago
Ben Tom Lento Ben Are we paying coaches for journeys? If so, Schafer had better be leading Senior Week rafting trips. Actually, Cornell does pay coaches for things other than wins and championships. Historically, the AD has been willing to keep coaches with frankly terrible records around provided they were under contract and running the program the right way. In light of this, think about theby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Should He Stay or Should He Go - 11 years ago
Ben KeithK adamw Since it directly applies, here is the commentary I just wrote on the Gwozdecky firing: My favorite bit from your piece: "But the cutthroat, winning-is-the-only thing mentality has infiltrated college hockey as it has other big-time college sports." The older I get the more I understand that winning is fun but it's the journey that makes sports fun. Are we paying coaby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: NCAA Tournament - 11 years ago
Josh '99 kingpin248 Trotsky Oh, I'd call this a sweet, sweet challenge either to John or somebody of similar skill. Doesn't have quite the visual flair, but here are the Bradley-Terry based probabilities for the Sweet 16. And since I have the spreadsheet set up to handle a 16-team bracket, here are the probabilities for the NCAA hockey tournament.No offense, but you're wasting your time. Itby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: Women this weekend on ESPN3 - 11 years ago
Towerroad KeithK scoop85 But comparing the cost to purchase the video feed to the cost of a ticket only makes sense if actually attending the game is a realistic option. That's your take. I get it and it's not unreasonable. But oftentimes our perception of value is influenced by other similar products. It doesn't matter that I'm in California and (mostly) can't attend Cornell game sin person. I sby Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: General Women's Thread - 11 years ago
Kyle Rose JasonN95 Tom Lento scoop85 Jim Hyla Women win 4-2. Finals at 1 tomorrow. Taylor Woods with the hat trick -- scored game winner on a re-direction of a beautiful Jenner feed with about 1:35 left. Hat trick highlight reel: That pass from Jenner was a thing of beauty. Is there a way to see the video without joining Facebook? Perhaps someone can also find a version that doesn'by Tom Lento - Hockey
Re: General Women's Thread - 11 years ago
RichH Rita JasonN95 Kyle Rose JasonN95 Tom Lento scoop85 Jim Hyla Women win 4-2. Finals at 1 tomorrow. Taylor Woods with the hat trick -- scored game winner on a re-direction of a beautiful Jenner feed with about 1:35 left. Hat trick highlight reel: That pass from Jenner was a thing of beauty. Is there a way to see the video without joining Facebook? Perhaps someone can also find aby Tom Lento - Hockey