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Discussions about the Cornell men's and women's hockey teams
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Re: 2023 ECAC Post Season - 1 year ago
dag14 if anyone is posting from LP, can you please let the rest of us know when our game will start? Thanks ~8:37by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: 2023 ECAC Post Season - 1 year ago
FYI from Cornell ticket site: “Cornell fans are encouraged to purchase tickets in Section 3 - which can be accessed by visiting the Lake Placid Olympic Center ticketing site, clicking the lock icon on the top of the screen and entering the access code ‘CORNELL23’” You also save $10 using the code.by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: Cornell - Northeastern - 5 years ago
Tickets from Cornell are in the 105-106 cornerby jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: Lake Placid 2019 Roll Call - 5 years ago
I forget exactly what I needed to do and I don't have a computer around to try again. I know that you do need to enable flash for the site and then I think there should be a button that appears to select seats. I think it's above the select price button. You may have to click the seat map.by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: Mathematical Models - 6 years ago
The Dealing With Perfection section on this page discusses this. It did used to be used in KRACH, but it was found that there are better ways to handle it.by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
jkahn adamw jfeath17 adamw BTW - I can't read your charts, so I have no idea what they're telling me. If there's an English translation, feel free. My one sentence summary is that the current KRACH probabilities are biased towards the higher ranked team, a very simple modification which would greatly increase the accuracy is to change the formula to P(A Winning) = .749*(KRACH_A/(KRACH_A+KRACH_Bby jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
KGR11 Many thanks to jfeath for this awesome work. One think I'd be curious to know is how the R-squared for the KRACH, Logistic Regression, and Linear Fit on Gaussian Average varies from year to year. This could give an indication of the extent (if any) that KRACH is a lesser predictor than your outputs. I can try this out to just as a sanity check to make sure the models aren't overfitting. Iby jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
adamw BTW - I can't read your charts, so I have no idea what they're telling me. If there's an English translation, feel free. My one sentence summary is that the current KRACH probabilities are biased towards the higher ranked team, a very simple modification which would greatly increase the accuracy is to change the formula to P(A Winning) = .749*(KRACH_A/(KRACH_A+KRACH_B)) + .126by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - ECAC tournament draw - 6 years ago
KGR11 Trotsky Another method: start on game 1 and just march through the list constantly recalculating KRACH and using that as the prediction against the next game. Or since obviously KRACH gets better as the season goes on, iterate through say the first 10% of games and only start predicting after that. Now get your accuracy score. That's truly abusing KRACH as predictive. I think yourby jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: USCHO PWR discussion - 6 years ago
I think they were more talking about recent results. Cornell hasn't won by more than 1 goal since Dartmouth and their age goal differential over the past 6 games is only 0.5by jfeath17 - Hockey
NCAA D1 Mens Hockey Revenues - 6 years ago
This was posted on the r/collegehockey subreddit and I thought it may be of interest here.by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - 6 years ago
Some more details: I used data from the past two complete seasons. I hope to add more seasons, but the dates for games on USCHO from 3 years ago seem to be in a mix of d/m/y and m/d/y which kinda breaks things. (On that note, if anyone knows of a easily parsable database of game results that would be great since I'm currently copying the table from USCHO into excel and exporting it as a csv.)by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: 2018 ECAC Permutations - 6 years ago
I started doing some analysis on how accurate using KRACH is to predict results. I will follow up in the next post with some more details on what I did, but the basic gist was I collected the KRACH based projected winning percentage for the better ranked team and the result of the game (win/tie/loss). I then used a logistic regression to this data using the KRACH prediction as the independent varby jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: Cornell on TV 2017-18 - 6 years ago
Beeeej Al DeFlorio beepityboopity Ivy league network is kind of garbage. Not starting the webcast until after the anthem and then cutting it off seconds after the final whistle is really bush...and completely unnecessary as the equipment is in place and the announcers still doing a wrap-up. But at least the camera trails the play so badly sometimes that the only reason we know there was a shotby jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology Starts - 6 years ago
I may be wrong, but I spent some time playing with the conference standings and I believe Cornell can clinch a first round bye with a sweep this weekend.by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology Starts - 6 years ago
"The outcome of each game in each simulation is determined by random draw, with the probability of victory for each team set by their relative KRACH ratings. So, if the simulation set included a contest between team A with KRACH 300 and team B with KRACH 100, team A will win the game in very close to 75% of the simulations. I don’t simulate ties or home ice advantage." Seems to bby jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: Bracketology Starts - 6 years ago
I prefer this site. Shows where in the pairwise each team will finish based versus how many of their remaining games they win.by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: How to get tickets. - 6 years ago
upprdeck they really should give the students the otion up front, much like they do for the playoff tickets.. let the kids decide if they want tickets over break when then buy them. Well they got rid of that option too. They all come with the playoff tickets now.by jfeath17 - Hockey
Re: How to get tickets. - 6 years ago
Student season tickets don't include those games. First time they've done that.by jfeath17 - Hockey
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